Joe Burrow projections and prop bets for Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns on Oct 20, 2024
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -125
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -104
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 61.9% red zone pass rate.
The model projects Joe Burrow to throw 36.5 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-most out of all QBs.
Joe Burrow's passing precision has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 67.2% to 71.9%.
With an exceptional ratio of 2.00 per game (90th percentile), Joe Burrow stands among the best touchdown throwers in the NFL this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
A rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.
This year, the imposing Browns defense has surrendered a puny 60.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-best rate in football.
The Browns defense has given up the 7th-fewest passing touchdowns in the NFL: 1.00 per game this year.
Projection For Joe Burrow Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 1.5 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 34.5 over: 104
- Pass Attempts 34.5 under: -135
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The model projects Joe Burrow to throw 36.5 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-most out of all QBs.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
A rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.
Projection For Joe Burrow Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 34.7 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 3.5 over: 116
- Carries 3.5 under: -152
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
A rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 37.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's collection of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.
Projection For Joe Burrow Carries Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 3.3 Carries in this weeks game.
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 22.5 over: -125
- Completions 22.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The model projects Joe Burrow to throw 36.5 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-most out of all QBs.
Joe Burrow's passing precision has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 67.2% to 71.9%.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Cleveland's unit has been lousy this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
A rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.
This year, the imposing Browns defense has surrendered a puny 60.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-best rate in football.
Projection For Joe Burrow Completions Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 22.3 Completions in this weeks game.
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 10.5 over: -120
- Rushing Yards 10.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
A rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
Joe Burrow's 16.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year signifies a significant progression in his running proficiency over last year's 10.0 figure.
Joe Burrow's 5.90 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year conveys a substantial gain in his rushing talent over last year's 5.11 figure.
The Browns defense has produced the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing 5.10 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 37.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.
Joe Burrow profiles as one of the bottom QBs in the NFL at generating extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 0.86 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 25th percentile.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's collection of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.
Projection For Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 12.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -121
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -107
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The model projects Joe Burrow to throw 36.5 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-most out of all QBs.
Cleveland's defense profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year when it comes to inducing interceptions, notching just 0.17 per game.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Cleveland's unit has been lousy this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
A rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.
Projection For Joe Burrow Interceptions Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 0.5 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 252.5 over: -115
- Passing Yards 252.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The model projects Joe Burrow to throw 36.5 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-most out of all QBs.
With a terrific total of 257.0 adjusted passing yards per game (87th percentile), Joe Burrow rates as one of the leading passers in the league this year.
Joe Burrow's passing precision has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 67.2% to 71.9%.
Joe Burrow's 7.66 adjusted yards-per-target this season conveys a meaningful progression in his throwing efficiency over last season's 6.6% mark.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
A rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.
This year, the fierce Cleveland Browns defense has yielded a puny 209.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the 9th-best in the NFL.
This year, the imposing Browns defense has surrendered a puny 60.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-best rate in football.
Projection For Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 245.8 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
