George Kittle projections and prop bets for San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Nov 10, 2024
George Kittle Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 59.5 over: 105
- Receiving Yards 59.5 under: -135
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (39.7 per game) this year.
In this week's game, George Kittle is expected by the projection model to slot into the 95th percentile among tight ends with 7.1 targets.
After accumulating 55.0 air yards per game last year, George Kittle has posted big gains this year, currently averaging 68.0 per game.
George Kittle's 55.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 48.4.
George Kittle's 76.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year marks a substantial improvement in his receiving prowess over last year's 60.0 mark.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the 49ers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their normal approach.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 53.3% of their chances: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The model projects the 49ers to run the 7th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
George Kittle's 4.72 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season conveys an impressive regression in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 6.9% rate.
Projection For George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop Bet
George Kittle is projected to have 62.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
