Geno Smith Projections & Prop Bets

Geno Smith projections and prop bets for Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons on Oct 20, 2024

Geno Smith Player Prop Bet: Interceptions

Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Interceptions 0.5 over: -125
• Interceptions 0.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their standard game plan.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 63.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seahawks are anticipated by the model to run 67.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.

The Seahawks have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.5 plays per game.

In racking up a staggering 1.02 interceptions per game this year, Geno Smith places among the worst quarterbacks in football (15th percentile).

Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet

In regards to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Seahawks ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year.

The Falcons have intercepted 0.92 passes per game this year, ranking as the 9th-best defense in the league by this stat.

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Atlanta's unit has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.

Projection For Geno Smith Interceptions Prop Bet

Geno Smith is projected to have 0.7 Interceptions in this weeks game.

Geno Smith Player Prop Bet: Completions

Completions Prop Bet Odds:

• Completions 25.5 over: 100
• Completions 25.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their standard game plan.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 63.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seahawks are anticipated by the model to run 67.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.

Geno Smith's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 65.3% to 68.3%.

This year, the deficient Falcons defense has been torched for a whopping 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 6th-biggest rate in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet

In regards to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Seahawks ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year.

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Atlanta's unit has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.

Projection For Geno Smith Completions Prop Bet

Geno Smith is projected to have 26.7 Completions in this weeks game.

Geno Smith Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards

Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Passing Yards 269.5 over: 100
• Passing Yards 269.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their standard game plan.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 63.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seahawks are anticipated by the model to run 67.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.

The Seahawks have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.5 plays per game.

Geno Smith has thrown for many more adjusted yards per game (291.0) this year than he did last year (237.0).

Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet

In regards to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Seahawks ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year.

This year, the formidable Falcons defense has conceded the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a paltry 6.9 yards.

The Falcons defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.68 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Atlanta's unit has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.

Projection For Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop Bet

Geno Smith is projected to have 275.2 Passing Yards in this weeks game.

Geno Smith Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Rushing Yards 12.5 over: -125
• Rushing Yards 12.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seahawks are anticipated by the model to run 67.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.

The Seahawks have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.5 plays per game.

Geno Smith's 25.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year reflects a noteable improvement in his running ability over last year's 11.0 mark.

Geno Smith's 10.04 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season indicates a substantial gain in his running proficiency over last season's 5.63 figure.

This year, the porous Falcons run defense has surrendered a colossal 153.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 4th-most in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their standard game plan.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to run on 36.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

With a lousy total of 0.63 yards-after-contact (17th percentile), Geno Smith rates among the worst rushing QBs in football this year.

The Falcons defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best group of DTs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

Projection For Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Geno Smith is projected to have 13.8 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.

Geno Smith Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

• Carries 2.5 over: -135
• Carries 2.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seahawks are anticipated by the model to run 67.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.

The Seahawks have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.5 plays per game.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their standard game plan.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to run on 36.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Falcons defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best group of DTs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

Projection For Geno Smith Carries Prop Bet

Geno Smith is projected to have 3.2 Carries in this weeks game.

Geno Smith Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts

Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:

• Pass Attempts 36.5 over: -105
• Pass Attempts 36.5 under: -125

Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their standard game plan.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 63.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seahawks are anticipated by the model to run 67.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.

The Seahawks have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Projection For Geno Smith Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Geno Smith is projected to have 38.7 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.

Geno Smith Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

• Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -114
• Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their standard game plan.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 63.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (60.5% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.

Geno Smith's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 65.3% to 68.3%.

This year, the deficient Falcons defense has been torched for a whopping 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 6th-biggest rate in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

In regards to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Seahawks ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year.

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Atlanta's unit has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.

Projection For Geno Smith Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Geno Smith is projected to have 1.8 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.