Garrett Wilson projections and prop bets for New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers on Oct 20, 2024
Garrett Wilson Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: -125
- Receptions 4.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
With a 68.3% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league has been the Jets.
Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
Our trusted projections expect Garrett Wilson to garner 7.7 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs.
The New York offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Garrett Wilson's 6.9 adjusted catches per game this year shows a noteworthy growth in his receiving ability over last year's 5.6 rate.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call just 63.0 offensive plays in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
While Garrett Wilson has accounted for 31.0% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller part of New York's pass game in this contest at 24.5%.
Projection For Garrett Wilson Receptions Prop Bet
Garrett Wilson is projected to have 4.3 Receptions in this weeks game.
Garrett Wilson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 49.5 over: -140
- Receiving Yards 49.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 68.3% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league has been the Jets.
Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
Our trusted projections expect Garrett Wilson to garner 7.7 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Garrett Wilson's 80.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year indicates a significant boost in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 63.0 rate.
This year, the porous Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a whopping 9.11 yards.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call just 63.0 offensive plays in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
While Garrett Wilson has accounted for 31.0% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller part of New York's pass game in this contest at 24.5%.
After accruing 104.0 air yards per game last year, Garrett Wilson has produced significantly less this year, currently averaging 91.0 per game.
Projection For Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Garrett Wilson is projected to have 51.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
