David Njoku projections and prop bets for Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns on Oct 27, 2024
David Njoku Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: -128
- Receptions 4.5 under: -102
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The Browns will be rolling out backup quarterback Jameis Winston this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 41.1 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
With an excellent 5.0 adjusted catches per game (95th percentile) this year, David Njoku stands among the best TEs in the pass game in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
David Njoku's 36.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 41.5.
The Browns offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense stats across the board.
Projection For David Njoku Receptions Prop Bet
David Njoku is projected to have 5.1 Receptions in this weeks game.
David Njoku Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 54.5 over: -114
- Receiving Yards 54.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Browns will be rolling out backup quarterback Jameis Winston this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Cleveland Browns.
Opposing teams have averaged 41.1 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
David Njoku has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (36.0 per game).
David Njoku's 36.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 41.5.
The Browns offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense stats across the board.
David Njoku has accrued a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (42.0) this season than he did last season (55.0).
With a subpar 6.5 adjusted yards per target (25th percentile) this year, David Njoku rates among the bottom pass-game TEs in the NFL.
Projection For David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop Bet
David Njoku is projected to have 52.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
