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Los Angeles Chargers

Nov 3, 2024

Cleveland Browns

Cleveland Browns
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David Njoku Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

David Njoku projections and prop bets for Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns on Oct 27, 2024

David Njoku Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 4.5 over: -128
  • Receptions 4.5 under: -102

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The Browns will be rolling out backup quarterback Jameis Winston this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 41.1 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

With an excellent 5.0 adjusted catches per game (95th percentile) this year, David Njoku stands among the best TEs in the pass game in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

David Njoku's 36.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 41.5.

The Browns offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

Projection For David Njoku Receptions Prop Bet

David Njoku is projected to have 5.1 Receptions in this weeks game.


David Njoku Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 54.5 over: -114
  • Receiving Yards 54.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Browns will be rolling out backup quarterback Jameis Winston this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Cleveland Browns.

Opposing teams have averaged 41.1 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

David Njoku has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (36.0 per game).

David Njoku's 36.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 41.5.

The Browns offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

David Njoku has accrued a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (42.0) this season than he did last season (55.0).

With a subpar 6.5 adjusted yards per target (25th percentile) this year, David Njoku rates among the bottom pass-game TEs in the NFL.

Projection For David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop Bet

David Njoku is projected to have 52.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • Total Receptions
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Longest Reception
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Longest Reception
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
6
6
6
6
Consensus
-101
-128
+107
-131
-104
-131
+104
-142
+105
-130
+110
-125
+102
-132
+108
-132
+100
-135
+105
-130
+100
-130
+110
-140
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+4000
+3500
+17000
+15000
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+850
-
+850
Consensus
-
+500
-
+550
Consensus
-
+500
-
+500
Consensus
-
+1100
-
+1200
Consensus
-
+900
-
+900
Consensus
-
+1100
-
+1100
Consensus
-352
+228
-348
+225
-
+900
-
+900
-
+550
-
+500
-
+500
-
+550
-
+1100
-
+1400
-
+900
-
+850
-
+1100
-
+1100
-
+260
-
+250
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
53
51
52
54
8
10
51
53
52
54
8
10
53
51
52
54
8
10
51
53
52
54
8
10
Consensus
-114
-
-116
-116
-
-
-
-113
-114
-116
-
-
-112
-
-116
-114
-
-
-
-113
-113
-117
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-115
-114
-
-
-
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-113
-115
-125
-
-125
-117
-
-
-
-117
-113
-117
-
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-
-
-
-109
-117
-117
-
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-110
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-110
-110
-115
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
-110
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-110
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-113
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-113
-120
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-120
-110
-115
-
-
-110
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
19
20
18
19
18
20
19
20
18
19
18
20
Consensus
-126
-109
-
-107
-
-125
-118
-107
-
-110
-
-122
-125
-108
-
-113
-
-127
-127
-108
-
-109
-
-127
-108
-
-115
-125
-113
-
-104
-
-125
-128
-114
-
-120
-105
-
-105
-
-120
-125
-110
-
-110
-
-125
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+115
+105
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+2000
+1900
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+500
+490

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