Dalton Kincaid projections and prop bets for Buffalo Bills at Seattle Seahawks on Oct 27, 2024
Dalton Kincaid Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 38.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 38.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect Dalton Kincaid to accumulate 5.7 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
After accumulating 36.0 air yards per game last season, Dalton Kincaid has shown good development this season, currently sitting at 43.0 per game.
Dalton Kincaid's 44.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 35.1.
Dalton Kincaid rates as one of the leading pass-game tight ends this year, averaging a stellar 39.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (62.0) to tight ends this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Bills are a big 9.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
The predictive model expects the Bills to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are anticipated by the projection model to run only 62.1 total plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.
The Bills have called the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 51.4 plays per game.
Dalton Kincaid's 68.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a meaningful decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 81.6% mark.
Projection For Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Dalton Kincaid is projected to have 38 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Dalton Kincaid Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: -150
- Receptions 3.5 under: 120
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The projections expect Dalton Kincaid to accumulate 5.7 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Dalton Kincaid's 44.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 35.1.
This year, the porous Seahawks pass defense has yielded a colossal 83.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 4th-largest rate in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The Bills are a big 9.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
The predictive model expects the Bills to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are anticipated by the projection model to run only 62.1 total plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.
The Bills have called the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 51.4 plays per game.
Dalton Kincaid's pass-catching performance declined this season, averaging just 3.5 adjusted catches compared to 4.6 last season.
Projection For Dalton Kincaid Receptions Prop Bet
Dalton Kincaid is projected to have 4 Receptions in this weeks game.
