D.J. Moore projections and prop bets for Chicago Bears at Washington Commanders on Oct 27, 2024
D.J. Moore Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 59.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 59.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Bears rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 61.9% pass rate.
At only 28.05 seconds per snap, the Chicago Bears offense checks in as the 9th-quickest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.
The model projects D.J. Moore to earn 7.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among wideouts.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency versus wide receivers this year, yielding 8.58 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-most in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
After averaging 100.0 air yards per game last season, D.J. Moore has seen a big downtick this season, currently sitting at 69.0 per game.
D.J. Moore's 58.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 76.9.
D.J. Moore has notched a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (56.0) this season than he did last season (77.0).
D.J. Moore's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 73.2% to 68.7%.
Projection For D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop Bet
D.J. Moore is projected to have 57.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
