CeeDee Lamb projections and prop bets for Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers on Oct 27, 2024
CeeDee Lamb Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 69.5 over: -155
- Receiving Yards 69.5 under: 120
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A passing game script is implied by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog in this week's game.
The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are projected by our trusted projection set to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cowboys this year (a staggering 60.3 per game on average).
The predictive model expects CeeDee Lamb to notch 9.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among WRs.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
CeeDee Lamb has been a much smaller part of his offense's pass game this season (23.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (30.2%).
CeeDee Lamb has notched far fewer air yards this year (84.0 per game) than he did last year (109.0 per game).
The Dallas O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
CeeDee Lamb has put up quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (71.0) this season than he did last season (103.0).
This year, the strong San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded a puny 56.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 2nd-best rate in the league.
Projection For CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop Bet
CeeDee Lamb is projected to have 74.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
CeeDee Lamb Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 6.5 over: 110
- Receptions 6.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
A passing game script is implied by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog in this week's game.
The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are projected by our trusted projection set to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cowboys this year (a staggering 60.3 per game on average).
The predictive model expects CeeDee Lamb to notch 9.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among WRs.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
CeeDee Lamb has been a much smaller part of his offense's pass game this season (23.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (30.2%).
The Dallas O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
CeeDee Lamb's play as a receiver has tailed off this season, totaling just 5.4 adjusted catches vs 7.9 last season.
CeeDee Lamb's 62.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a noteable reduction in his pass-catching ability over last year's 74.7% mark.
This year, the strong San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded a puny 56.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 2nd-best rate in the league.
Projection For CeeDee Lamb Receptions Prop Bet
CeeDee Lamb is projected to have 6 Receptions in this weeks game.
