Brian Thomas Jr. projections and prop bets for New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars on Oct 20, 2024
Brian Thomas Jr. Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: 110
- Receptions 4.5 under: -144
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-focused team in the league (64.1% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
The New England Patriots pass defense has surrendered the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.9%) to wideouts this year (68.9%).
As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New England's LB corps has been very bad this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
This game's line suggests a running game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jaguars are predicted by the projections to run only 62.3 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a measly 54.2 per game on average).
Projection For Brian Thomas Jr. Receptions Prop Bet
Brian Thomas Jr. is projected to have 3.7 Receptions in this weeks game.
Brian Thomas Jr. Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 54.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 54.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-focused team in the league (64.1% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
The New England Patriots pass defense has surrendered the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.9%) to wideouts this year (68.9%).
As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New England's LB corps has been very bad this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This game's line suggests a running game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jaguars are predicted by the projections to run only 62.3 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a measly 54.2 per game on average).
The New England Patriots pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.77 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-fewest in the NFL.
Projection For Brian Thomas Jr. Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Brian Thomas Jr. is projected to have 49.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
