Houston Texans

Houston Texans

Oct 31, 2024

New York Jets

New York Jets
  • Overview
  • Props

Breece Hall Projections & Prop Bets

Breece Hall projections and prop bets for New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers on Oct 20, 2024

Breece Hall Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 3.5 over: -146
  • Receptions 3.5 under: 112

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

With a 68.3% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league has been the Jets.

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

Breece Hall has gone out for more passes this year (62.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (47.8%).

The projections expect Breece Hall to earn 5.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The Steelers pass defense has been gouged for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (91%) versus running backs this year (91.0%).

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Breece Hall's 79.6% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a substantial decrease in his receiving skills over last season's 85.1% mark.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's safety corps has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL.

Projection For Breece Hall Receptions Prop Bet

Breece Hall is projected to have 3.7 Receptions in this weeks game.


Breece Hall Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 60.5 over: -110
  • Rushing Yards 60.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

In this contest, Breece Hall is projected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 93rd percentile among RBs with 17.4 carries.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The Jets rank as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 31.7% run rate.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

Breece Hall's 48.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents a noteable reduction in his running ability over last year's 58.0 figure.

This year, the tough Pittsburgh Steelers run defense has given up a mere 86.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 4th-best in the league.

Projection For Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Breece Hall is projected to have 69.8 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


Breece Hall Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 14.5 over: -120
  • Carries 14.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

In this contest, Breece Hall is projected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 93rd percentile among RBs with 17.4 carries.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

The Jets rank as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 31.7% run rate.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

Breece Hall has been a more important option in his team's offense this season, playing on 75.4% of snaps vs just 55.3% last season.

When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Pittsburgh's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the best in the league.

Projection For Breece Hall Carries Prop Bet

Breece Hall is projected to have 16.1 Carries in this weeks game.


Breece Hall Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 24.5 over: -139
  • Receiving Yards 24.5 under: 108

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

With a 68.3% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league has been the Jets.

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

Breece Hall has gone out for more passes this year (62.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (47.8%).

The projections expect Breece Hall to earn 5.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The Steelers pass defense has been gouged for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (91%) versus running backs this year (91.0%).

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Breece Hall's 79.6% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a substantial decrease in his receiving skills over last season's 85.1% mark.

Breece Hall's 6.38 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a remarkable drop-off in his effectiveness in space over last year's 7.5% figure.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's safety corps has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL.

Projection For Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Breece Hall is projected to have 30.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • First Rush Attempt
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Record 90+ Rushing Yards
  • To Score A Touchdown and Player's Team to Win
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • First Rush Attempt
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Record 90+ Rushing Yards
  • To Score A Touchdown and Player's Team to Win
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+390
-
+410
Consensus
-106
-120
-113
-124
Consensus
-
+550
-
+490
Consensus
-
+490
-
+490
Consensus
-
+190
-
+170
Consensus
-
+370
-
+360
Consensus
-
+200
-
+200
-
+370
-
+410
-
-130
-
-140
-
+550
-
+500
-
+460
-
+550
-
+180
-
+200
-
+340
-
+370
-
+200
-
+190
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
4
4
4
4
Consensus
-105
-125
-105
-125
-105
-125
-105
-125
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
5
4
5
4
5
4
5
4
Consensus
+120
-
-164
-
+127
-
-159
-
+123
-
-169
-
+112
-
-154
-
+125
-
-165
-
+120
-
-155
-
+118
-
-148
-
+114
-
-154
-
+120
-175
-155
+130
+125
-175
-160
+130
+125
-
-165
-
+140
-
-175
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
4
5
31
32
33
30
36
29
4
5
31
32
33
30
36
29
4
5
31
32
33
30
36
29
4
5
31
32
33
30
36
29
Consensus
-108
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-113
-116
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-116
-113
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-116
-119
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-133
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-125
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-106
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-110
-120
-
-120
-
-
-115
-120
-120
-110
-
-110
-
-
-120
-110
-110
-120
-
-120
-
-
-110
-110
-120
-110
-
-110
-
-
-105
-
-
-
+100
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-130
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
+100
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-130
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+19000
+13000
+15000
+16000
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
17
17
17
17
Consensus
-120
-110
-115
-108
-120
-120
-120
-110
-120
-115
-125
-115
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
16
17
16
17
16
17
16
17
Consensus
-148
-
+103
-
-142
-
+103
-
-145
-
+115
-
-125
-
+105
-
-146
-
+108
-
-140
-
+112
-
-130
+100
-110
-140
-135
+105
+100
-135
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
16
17
68
67
66
71
69
70
65
16
17
66
68
67
69
70
71
65
16
17
68
67
66
71
69
70
65
16
17
66
68
67
69
70
71
65
Consensus
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-113
-115
-117
-
-114
-116
-
-
-
-110
-115
-114
-116
-115
-
-
-
-
-116
-114
-117
-
-115
-114
-
-
-
-110
-116
-112
-114
-119
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-133
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-125
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-105
-110
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-120
-125
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-105
-110
-105
-115
-115
-
-
-114
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-113
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-113
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-113
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-110
-110
-120
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-110
-120
-
-110
-
-
-115
-110
-115
-
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-115
-115
-110
-120
-120
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-120
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
15
14
15
14
15
14
15
14
Consensus
-106
-127
-122
-105
-110
-125
-123
-111
-109
-129
-125
-104
-117
-123
-127
-106
-105
-130
-120
-105
-105
-130
-120
-110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
24
23
25
106
105
100
101
104
103
102
107
24
25
23
103
102
106
104
105
101
100
107
24
23
25
106
105
100
101
104
103
102
107
24
25
23
103
102
106
104
105
101
100
107
Consensus
-110
-118
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-118
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-114
-116
-
-
-116
-116
-
-
-
-
-
-116
-
-119
-116
-119
-
-
-
-
-
-
-116
-116
-
-
-116
-119
-
-
-
-
-
-116
-
-116
-117
-116
-
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-
-
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-
-
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-117
-110
-118
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-114
-
-114
-115
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-
-
-
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-115
-114
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-120
-115
-110
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-110
-115
-
-
-
-115
-110
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-110
-115
-110
-115
-110
-120
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-320
+265
-320
+265
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-210
+180
-210
+180
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+2233
+2300
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+470
+458

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