Bijan Robinson projections and prop bets for Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons on Oct 20, 2024
Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 60.5 over: -145
- Rushing Yards 60.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 135.1 total plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
In this game, Bijan Robinson is predicted by the predictive model to rank in the 81st percentile among running backs with 14.0 rush attempts.
With a remarkable record of 57.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (78th percentile), Bijan Robinson places as one of the leading pure runners in football this year.
The Seahawks defense owns the 2nd-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering 5.43 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Falcons to run on 39.1% of their plays: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
Projection For Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson is projected to have 62.2 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: -120
- Receptions 3.5 under: -108
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 60.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 135.1 total plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
The projections expect Bijan Robinson to earn 4.6 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
Bijan Robinson ranks as one of the best pass-game running backs this year, averaging an impressive 3.5 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
Bijan Robinson's 14.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 24.9.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (78.1%) vs. running backs this year (78.1%).
The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the 8th-best safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
Projection For Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson is projected to have 3.2 Receptions in this weeks game.
Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 13.5 over: -140
- Carries 13.5 under: 108
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 135.1 total plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
In this game, Bijan Robinson is predicted by the predictive model to rank in the 81st percentile among running backs with 14.0 rush attempts.
Bijan Robinson has been a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this season (61.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (41.7%).
When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Seattle's group of safeties has been lousy this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Falcons to run on 39.1% of their plays: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
Projection For Bijan Robinson Carries Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson is projected to have 13.6 Carries in this weeks game.
Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 21.5 over: -140
- Receiving Yards 21.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 60.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 135.1 total plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
The projections expect Bijan Robinson to earn 4.6 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
Bijan Robinson rates as one of the top RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a stellar 26.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 90th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
Bijan Robinson has totaled quite a few less air yards this season (-10.0 per game) than he did last season (1.0 per game).
Bijan Robinson's 14.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 24.9.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (78.1%) vs. running backs this year (78.1%).
Projection For Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson is projected to have 24.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
