Aaron Jones projections and prop bets for Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings on Oct 20, 2024
Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 49.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 49.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
In this contest, Aaron Jones is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 75th percentile among RBs with 10.8 carries.
Out of all RBs, Aaron Jones grades out in the 84th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 53.4% of the workload in his team's running game.
Aaron Jones has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (76.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).
With a fantastic record of 5.36 adjusted yards per carry (83rd percentile), Aaron Jones ranks among the leading RBs in football this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to run on 37.1% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.6 plays per game.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
Since the start of last season, the poor Detroit Lions run defense has been gouged for a massive 3.81 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 31st-largest rate in the league.
The Lions safeties project as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
Projection For Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Aaron Jones is projected to have 48.6 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: -105
- Receptions 3.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
The Lions defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (42.2 per game) this year.
With a stellar 3.5 adjusted catches per game (95th percentile) this year, Aaron Jones stands among the top pass-game running backs in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.6 plays per game.
The Lions pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (74.5%) versus RBs since the start of last season (74.5%).
The Lions safeties grade out as the best safety corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection For Aaron Jones Receptions Prop Bet
Aaron Jones is projected to have 3.4 Receptions in this weeks game.
Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 12.5 over: -135
- Carries 12.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
In this contest, Aaron Jones is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 75th percentile among RBs with 10.8 carries.
Out of all RBs, Aaron Jones grades out in the 84th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 53.4% of the workload in his team's running game.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to run on 37.1% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.6 plays per game.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
The Lions safeties project as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
Projection For Aaron Jones Carries Prop Bet
Aaron Jones is projected to have 10.6 Carries in this weeks game.
Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 21.5 over: -140
- Receiving Yards 21.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
The Lions defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (42.2 per game) this year.
Aaron Jones has accrued a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (41.0) this year than he did last year (20.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.6 plays per game.
This year, the daunting Detroit Lions defense has yielded a feeble 26.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the 4th-best in the NFL.
The Lions pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (74.5%) versus RBs since the start of last season (74.5%).
The Lions safeties grade out as the best safety corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection For Aaron Jones Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Aaron Jones is projected to have 25.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
