The Dallas Cowboys and Las Vegas Raiders will meet on Monday Night Football to close out Week 11 of the NFL season. The Cowboys and Raiders both have losing records to this point in the season. But one of them can get a win in this matchup from Allegiant Stadium. Before kickoff from the desert, you can continue scrolling to get my Cowboys vs Raiders prediction.
Our Cowboys vs Raiders Pick
- Pick: Over 49.5
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders
- Date & Time: Monday, November 17, 2025, 8:15 p.m. ET
- Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: ESPN / ABC
Key Storylines
Las Vegas is averaging just 15.4 points per game through nine contests, placing the unit near the bottom of the league offensively. But Dallas is allowing 397.4 yards per game and a whopping 30.8 points per game, also ranking among the worst in the NFL. If there is a defense that the Raiders can find a way to generate points against, it might just be the defense of the Cowboys.
Dallas will also try to get its offense up and running with most of its big stars healthy again. Dak Prescott is on the field and playing well, while CeeDee Lamb is back after missing time early in the year. The passing attack of the Cowboys is especially important given how many points the Cowboys have given up on defense throughout the season.
Quarterback Play
Dak Prescott remains the focal point of the Cowboys offense. He has completed 228 of 329 passes for 2,319 yards with 17 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. His efficiency and readiness to throw deep make him an asset when Dallas chooses to air it out rather than grind things out on the ground.
Raiders quarterback Geno Smith has been under pressure this year. The lack of consistent production from the offense puts additional strain on Smith to avoid turnovers and create big plays. But he hasn’t avoided turnovers at all, throwing 11 touchdown passes and 12 interceptions this year. He needs to avoid putting the ball in the hands of the Cowboys to win this game.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Both teams are 4-5 against the spread going into this game.
- The under has cashed in 6 of the Raiders’ first 9 games of the season.
- The over is 6-3 through the first 9 games for Dallas this season.
- In the last meeting between these teams, Las Vegas won 36‑33 in overtime back in 2021.
Cowboys vs Raiders Model Projection
Score Projection: Dallas 30 – Las Vegas 27
Win Probability: Dallas 63% / Las Vegas 37%
Final Thoughts
No matter who wins this game, I’m expecting a high-scoring affair from Las Vegas. Both teams have struggled on defense this year and both teams at least have the capability of moving the ball through the air. As long as Geno Smith avoids a complete disaster of a performance, the over should cash in this Monday night matchup to close out Week 11.
