Carolina Panthers
Chicago Bears
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Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears Prediction For 10/6/2024
Panthers vs Bears Betting Odds
Spread: | Carolina Panthers 3.5, Chicago Bears -3.5 |
Over/Under: | 41.5 |
Moneyline: | Carolina Panthers 165, Chicago Bears -190 |
Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Carolina Panthers - 37% | Carolina Panthers - 46% |
Chicago Bears - 63% | Chicago Bears - 54% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears Betting Preview
Their last head-to-head matchup was a low scoring affair. In Week 10 of 2023 the Bears won at home beating the Panthers 16-13. Oddsmakers were dead on for that game. The Bears entered that game as a 3 point favorite and they won by exactly 3 resulting in a push or no action. The Game Total for that game was 38.0 and which the Under hit.
Chicago's primary disadvantage this season has been their offense, which has ranked #25 in football with a low 260 yards per game. They've been so ineffective on offense in large part because of their ground attack, clocking in at #31 in the league with just 3.13 yards per carry. Perhaps because they routinely failt to successfully establish the run, Chicago has also lacked effectiveness through the air. They've scraped together a measly 5.62 yards per target, ranking the bottom 10 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Bears check in at #10 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 189 yards per game against Chicago this year (#25 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #12 against them with 4.8 yards per ground attempt. This Bears defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, keeping them in check at just 6.57 yards per target (#2-best in the league). Chicago's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have scorched them for 7.6 yards per target (#1-worst in the league).
Carolina's biggest weakness has been their offense, ranking #32 in the league with a mere 200 yards per game. They've failed so much on offense in large part because of their passing attack, which checks in at #1-worst in football with 140 yards per game. And when a defense doesn't have to worry about the pass, they can key in on the run, which has led to just 3.59 yards per carry for the Panthers -- bottom 10 in the league. In terms of their defense, the Panthers have ranked #19 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 223 yards per game through the air against them (#14 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #3 with 4.92 yards per carry. Carolina has been most effective in shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to 4.17 yards per target (#1-best). Carolina has been least effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, giving up a 67.6% completion rate (#8-highest).
Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears Prediction
Final Score: Carolina Panthers 19.74 vs Chicago Bears 21.68
**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.
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Carolina Panthers
Chicago Bears