Carolina Panthers

Carolina Panthers

Oct 6, 2024

Chicago Bears

Chicago Bears
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears Prediction For 10/6/2024

Panthers vs Bears Betting Odds

Spread: Carolina Panthers 3.5, Chicago Bears -3.5
Over/Under: 41.5
Moneyline: Carolina Panthers 165, Chicago Bears -190

Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Carolina Panthers - 37% Carolina Panthers - 46%
Chicago Bears - 63% Chicago Bears - 54%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears Betting Preview

Their last head-to-head matchup was a low scoring affair. In Week 10 of 2023 the Bears won at home beating the Panthers 16-13. Oddsmakers were dead on for that game. The Bears entered that game as a 3 point favorite and they won by exactly 3 resulting in a push or no action. The Game Total for that game was 38.0 and which the Under hit.

Chicago's primary disadvantage this season has been their offense, which has ranked #25 in football with a low 260 yards per game. They've been so ineffective on offense in large part because of their ground attack, clocking in at #31 in the league with just 3.13 yards per carry. Perhaps because they routinely failt to successfully establish the run, Chicago has also lacked effectiveness through the air. They've scraped together a measly 5.62 yards per target, ranking the bottom 10 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Bears check in at #10 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 189 yards per game against Chicago this year (#25 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #12 against them with 4.8 yards per ground attempt. This Bears defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, keeping them in check at just 6.57 yards per target (#2-best in the league). Chicago's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have scorched them for 7.6 yards per target (#1-worst in the league).

Carolina's biggest weakness has been their offense, ranking #32 in the league with a mere 200 yards per game. They've failed so much on offense in large part because of their passing attack, which checks in at #1-worst in football with 140 yards per game. And when a defense doesn't have to worry about the pass, they can key in on the run, which has led to just 3.59 yards per carry for the Panthers -- bottom 10 in the league. In terms of their defense, the Panthers have ranked #19 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 223 yards per game through the air against them (#14 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #3 with 4.92 yards per carry. Carolina has been most effective in shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to 4.17 yards per target (#1-best). Carolina has been least effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, giving up a 67.6% completion rate (#8-highest).

Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears Prediction

Final Score: Carolina Panthers 19.74 vs Chicago Bears 21.68

**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.5/-108
46% CAR
-3.5/-112
54% CHI

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+154
8% CAR
-185
92% CHI

Total Pick Consensus

41.0/-112
17% UN
41.0/-108
83% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Passing
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

CAR
Team Stats
CHI
4
G
4
73
PTs
75
18.2
PPG
18.8
1164
YDS
1182
291
YDS/G
295.5
8
TD
7
2
TD/G
1.8
29.8
SC%
33.3
10.6
TO%
16.7

Defense/Offense

CAR
Team Stats
CHI
4
G
4
129
PTs
77
32.2
PPG
19.2
1432
YDS
1012
358
YDS/G
253
15
TD
6
3.8
TD/G
1.5
51.1
SC%
29.5
8.9
TO%
11.4

Offense/Defense

CAR
Rushing
CHI
4
G
4
98
ATT
107
434
YDS
484
108.5
Y/G
121.0
4.4
Y/A
4.5
3
TD
5
0.8
TD/G
1.2

Defense/Offense

CAR
Rushing
CHI
4
G
4
128
ATT
100
595
YDS
349
148.8
Y/G
87.3
4.6
Y/A
3.5
6
TD
3
1.5
TD/G
0.8

Offense/Defense

CAR
Passing
CHI
82
CMP
72
135
ATT
117
60.7
CMP%
61.5
182.5
YDS/GM
174.5
5.8
Y/A
6.6
5.1
NY/A
5.5
4
INT
5
8
SK
10

Defense/Offense

CAR
Passing
CHI
82
CMP
87
115
ATT
141
71.3
CMP%
61.7
209.2
YDS/GM
165.8
7.5
Y/A
5.6
7.0
NY/A
4.2
3
INT
4
5
SK
16

Offense/Defense

CAR
Special Teams
CHI
7
Punts/Ret
9
62
Punt/Yds
77
8.9
Punt/Y/R
8.6
14
Kick Off/Ret
9
368
Kick Off/Yds
255
26.3
Kick Off/Y/rt
28.3

Defense/Offense

CAR
Special Teams
CHI
7
Punts/Ret
9
78
Punt/Yds
85
11.1
Punt/Y/R
9.4
10
Kick Off/Ret
6
237
Kick Off/Yds
170
23.7
Kick Off/Y/rt
28.3

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
CAR CHI
CAR CHI
Consensus
+3.5 (-107)
-3.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-107)
-3.5 (-114)
+4.0 (-108)
-4.0 (-105)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-102)
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-102)
-3.5 (-120)
+3.5 (-107)
-3.5 (-114)
+3.5 (-107)
-3.5 (-114)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
CAR CHI
CAR CHI
Consensus
+158
-189
+163
-195
+160
-192
+154
-185
+156
-186
+168
-200
+160
-200
+160
-195
+180
-220
+162
-195
+185
-225
+155
-190
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
41.5 (-108)
41.5 (-113)
41.0 (-110)
41.0 (-111)
42.0 (-110)
42.0 (-110)
41.0 (-108)
41.0 (-112)
41.5 (-105)
41.5 (-115)
41.5 (-105)
41.5 (-115)
41.5 (-109)
41.5 (-112)
41.0 (-110)
41.0 (-110)
41.5 (-110)
41.5 (-110)
41.0 (-110)
41.0 (-110)
43.5 (-110)
43.5 (-110)
41.0 (-110)
41.0 (-110)