Utah Jazz

Utah Jazz

Mar 28, 2025

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Pick – 3/28/2025


On March 28, 2025, the Utah Jazz will face off against the Denver Nuggets in a highly anticipated divisional matchup at Ball Arena, set to tip off at 9:00 PM ET. This clash carries extra significance given the rivalry between the two teams, with both looking to bolster their respective positions.

The Nuggets enter the game as heavy favorites, with a spread of -17.5 and a moneyline of -1800, reflecting an impressive 91% implied win probability. Currently boasting a record of 46-28, the Nuggets have been in good form, winning 32 of their last 50 games. Their recent victory over the Milwaukee Bucks, where they triumphed 127-117, showcases their offensive prowess and ability to compete at a high level.

In stark contrast, the Jazz have struggled this season, holding a record of 16-58. They are currently mired in a brutal streak, having lost 15 consecutive road games and falling to the Houston Rockets 121-110 in their most recent outing. This game marks the second consecutive night of action for the Jazz, which could further amplify their challenges, especially given the fatigue factor from back-to-back games.

With the Jazz having just a 9% implied win probability and coming off a difficult loss, their chances for an upset seem slim against a motivated Nuggets squad. As the game approaches, eyes will be on whether the Jazz can break their road woes or if the Nuggets will continue to assert their dominance in this rivalry.


Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Utah Jazz 104.28 vs Denver Nuggets 128.42


Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Jazz9%4%
Nuggets91%96%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+18.5/-115
48% UTA
-18.5/-105
52% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+1195
7% UTA
-2553
93% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

239.5/-112
22% UN
239.5/-108
78% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

UTA
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
82
Games
82
40.3
FG
43.3
88.7
FGA
93.0
.454
FG%
.466
14.0
3Pt-FG
14.1
39.8
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.350
3Pt%
.365
26.4
2Pt-FG
29.2
48.8
2Pt-FGA
54.4
.540
2Pt%
.538
17.3
FT
16.1
22.4
FTA
20.7
.774
FT%
.777
12.0
ORB
11.7
33.4
DRB
30.7
45.4
TRB
42.5
25.5
AST
29.0
6.8
STL
8.7
4.4
BLK
5.1
17.2
TOV
13.0
18.9
PF
19.0
111.9
PTS
116.9

Defense/Offense

UTA
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
82
Games
82
44.6
FG
45.4
93.0
FGA
89.8
.480
FG%
.506
14.9
3Pt-FG
12.0
41.5
3Pt-FGA
31.9
.358
3Pt%
.376
29.7
2Pt-FG
33.4
51.5
2Pt-FGA
57.8
.577
2Pt%
.578
17.2
FT
17.9
22.6
FTA
23.3
.763
FT%
.770
11.7
ORB
11.2
32.6
DRB
34.5
44.2
TRB
45.7
29.6
AST
31.0
9.8
STL
8.0
6.4
BLK
4.9
11.8
TOV
14.3
19.3
PF
17.6
121.2
PTS
120.8

Offense/Defense

UTA
Four Factors
DEN
.533
eFG%
.542
14.9
TOV%
11.3
26.9
RB%
74.6
.195
FT/FGA
.173

Defense/Offense

UTA
Four Factors
DEN
.559
eFG%
.573
10.3
TOV%
12.5
74.1
RB%
26.7
.185
FT/FGA
.200

Offense/Defense

UTA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
82
Games
82
40.0
FG
43.0
88.1
FGA
92.4
.454
FG%
.466
13.9
3Pt-FG
14.0
39.6
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.350
3Pt%
.365
26.2
2Pt-FG
29.0
48.5
2Pt-FGA
54.0
.540
2Pt%
.538
17.2
FT
16.0
22.2
FTA
20.6
.774
FT%
.777
11.9
ORB
11.7
33.2
DRB
30.5
45.1
TRB
42.2
25.4
AST
28.8
6.7
STL
8.7
4.4
BLK
5.1
17.1
TOV
12.9
18.8
PF
18.9
111.2
PTS
116.0

Defense/Offense

UTA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
82
Games
82
44.3
FG
45.1
92.3
FGA
89.1
.480
FG%
.506
14.8
3Pt-FG
11.9
41.2
3Pt-FGA
31.7
.358
3Pt%
.376
29.5
2Pt-FG
33.2
51.1
2Pt-FGA
57.4
.577
2Pt%
.578
17.1
FT
17.8
22.4
FTA
23.1
.763
FT%
.770
11.6
ORB
11.1
32.3
DRB
34.3
43.9
TRB
45.4
29.4
AST
30.8
9.7
STL
7.9
6.4
BLK
4.9
11.7
TOV
14.2
19.1
PF
17.5
120.4
PTS
119.9

UTA
Analytics
DEN
20
Pythag Wins
50
62
Pythag Losses
32
-9.34
Margin Of Victory
3.89
111.2
O Rtg
119.9
120.4
D Rtg
116.0
100.0
Pace
99.8
.252
FTr
.259
.449
3PAr
.356
.568
TS%
.604

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
UTA DEN
UTA DEN
Consensus
+16.5 (-111)
-16.5 (-109)
+19.0 (-111)
-19.0 (-110)
+16.5 (-115)
-16.5 (-108)
+18.5 (-115)
-18.5 (-105)
+16.0 (-108)
-16.0 (-110)
+18.5 (-108)
-18.5 (-112)
+17.0 (-113)
-17.0 (-108)
+19.0 (-113)
-19.0 (-108)
+16.5 (-110)
-16.5 (-110)
+18.5 (-110)
-18.5 (-110)
+16.5 (-110)
-16.5 (-110)
+18.5 (-110)
-18.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
UTA DEN
UTA DEN
Consensus
+900
-1600
+1195
-2553
+900
-1600
+1100
-2100
+900
-1600
+1300
-3000
+900
-1667
+1200
-2500
+950
-2000
+1250
-3000
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
237.5 (-110)
237.5 (-110)
239.5 (-109)
239.5 (-112)
237.5 (-110)
237.5 (-110)
239.0 (-108)
239.0 (-112)
236.5 (-112)
236.5 (-108)
239.0 (-112)
239.0 (-108)
237.5 (-109)
237.5 (-112)
239.5 (-108)
239.5 (-113)
237.5 (-110)
237.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
237.5 (-110)
237.5 (-110)
239.5 (-105)
239.5 (-115)

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