Toronto Raptors

Toronto Raptors

Nov 29, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks 11/29/2024

  • Date: November 29, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Toronto Raptors 8 (-110), Miami Heat -8 (-110)
Over/Under:219
Moneyline:Toronto Raptors 260, Miami Heat -310


Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Toronto Raptors - 27%Toronto Raptors - 6%
Miami Heat - 73%Miami Heat - 94%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Toronto Raptors, currently holding a 5-14 record, are set to face off against the 8-8 Miami Heat in a Friday night clash at the Kaseya Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET, and all eyes are on the Heat, who are the favorites to emerge victorious.

With a spread set at Heat -7.5 and a moneyline of -310, oddsmakers are showing strong confidence in Miami's chances. The Raptors, on the other hand, have a moneyline of +260, indicating an uphill battle with an implied win probability of only 27%. The Heat's implied probability sits at a commanding 73%, a reflection of their recent form and home-court advantage.

Miami has been playing strong basketball lately, winning three of their last four outings. Their last victory was a closely contested game against the Charlotte Hornets, ending 98-94. Meanwhile, the Raptors have struggled, especially on the road, dropping nine of their last ten away games. However, they did secure a dominant 119-93 win over the New Orleans Pelicans in their most recent matchup, which could boost their morale heading into this contest.

For those interested in player prop bets, Tyler Herro's performance in points and rebounds is drawing significant attention. Bettors have shown keen interest in the Over market for Herro, with the prop total moving from Over 27.5 (-125) to 28.5 (-110) as game time approaches. This shift suggests that sharp bettors are expecting a standout performance from the Miami guard.

With the Heat's recent form and home advantage, coupled with Toronto's road woes, Miami looks poised to continue their winning ways. However, the Raptors' potential to surprise should not be completely discounted, especially after their recent emphatic victory.


Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Toronto Raptors 100.21 vs Miami Heat 121.53

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Subscribe to our newsletter to get our best bets every week!

*By clicking the "Subscribe" button, you agree to receive promotional emails.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+8.0/-110
54% TOR
-8.0/-110
46% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+264
6% TOR
-328
94% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

219.5/-108
37% UN
219.5/-112
63% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

TOR
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
25
Games
22
42.2
FG
40.5
91.0
FGA
87.6
.464
FG%
.462
11.2
3Pt-FG
13.7
33.0
3Pt-FGA
38.0
.341
3Pt%
.360
31.0
2Pt-FG
26.8
58.1
2Pt-FGA
49.6
.533
2Pt%
.539
16.7
FT
14.7
22.4
FTA
18.1
.745
FT%
.810
13.4
ORB
11.3
32.9
DRB
34.1
46.3
TRB
45.4
28.6
AST
26.7
7.7
STL
6.9
4.8
BLK
5.3
16.4
TOV
15.2
22.2
PF
18.7
112.3
PTS
109.3

Defense/Offense

TOR
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
25
Games
22
41.2
FG
39.8
88.9
FGA
88.2
.463
FG%
.452
13.6
3Pt-FG
15.0
38.4
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.353
3Pt%
.383
27.6
2Pt-FG
24.8
50.5
2Pt-FGA
49.0
.548
2Pt%
.506
21.2
FT
17.6
27.0
FTA
22.5
.788
FT%
.783
11.2
ORB
10.3
31.5
DRB
33.2
42.7
TRB
43.5
26.0
AST
26.5
9.6
STL
9.0
6.2
BLK
3.6
13.6
TOV
12.7
19.2
PF
16.4
117.2
PTS
112.2

Offense/Defense

TOR
Four Factors
MIA
.525
eFG%
.540
14.0
TOV%
13.7
29.8
RB%
74.6
.183
FT/FGA
.168

Defense/Offense

TOR
Four Factors
MIA
.540
eFG%
.537
11.9
TOV%
11.5
74.5
RB%
23.2
.239
FT/FGA
.199

Offense/Defense

TOR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
25
Games
22
42.0
FG
41.5
90.5
FGA
89.8
.464
FG%
.462
11.2
3Pt-FG
14.0
32.8
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.341
3Pt%
.360
30.8
2Pt-FG
27.4
57.8
2Pt-FGA
50.9
.533
2Pt%
.539
16.6
FT
15.0
22.3
FTA
18.6
.745
FT%
.810
13.3
ORB
11.6
32.7
DRB
34.9
46.0
TRB
46.5
28.4
AST
27.3
7.7
STL
7.1
4.7
BLK
5.4
16.3
TOV
15.6
22.1
PF
19.2
111.7
PTS
112.0

Defense/Offense

TOR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
25
Games
22
41.0
FG
40.8
88.4
FGA
90.4
.463
FG%
.452
13.5
3Pt-FG
15.4
38.2
3Pt-FGA
40.2
.353
3Pt%
.383
27.5
2Pt-FG
25.4
50.2
2Pt-FGA
50.2
.548
2Pt%
.506
21.1
FT
18.0
26.8
FTA
23.0
.788
FT%
.783
11.2
ORB
10.6
31.3
DRB
34.1
42.5
TRB
44.6
25.9
AST
27.1
9.6
STL
9.2
6.2
BLK
3.7
13.5
TOV
13.0
19.1
PF
16.8
116.6
PTS
115.0

TOR
Analytics
MIA
9
Pythag Wins
13
16
Pythag Losses
9
-4.88
Margin Of Victory
2.95
111.7
O Rtg
115.0
116.6
D Rtg
112.0
99.3
Pace
96.7
.246
FTr
.255
.362
3PAr
.444
.557
TS%
.572

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
TOR MIA
TOR MIA
Consensus
+7.0 (-108)
-7.0 (-110)
+7.5 (-108)
-7.5 (-114)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+8.0 (-110)
-8.0 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-112)
+8.0 (-110)
-8.0 (-110)
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-112)
+7.5 (-108)
-7.5 (-113)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
TOR MIA
TOR MIA
Consensus
+240
-300
+264
-328
+245
-305
+270
-340
+220
-270
+275
-340
+220
-278
+260
-315
+240
-305
+275
-350
+225
-275
+260
-350
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
219.5 (-112)
219.5 (-109)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
219.0 (-112)
219.0 (-108)
225.0 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
219.5 (-112)
219.5 (-108)
224.5 (-112)
224.5 (-109)
219.5 (-113)
219.5 (-108)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)