Terry Rozier projections and prop bets for Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers on Nov 17, 2024
Terry Rozier Player Prop Bet: Points
Points Prop Bet Odds:
- Points 12.5 over: -108
- Points 12.5 under: -127
Trends Favoring The Over Points Prop Bet
Terry Rozier has averaged 32.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 78th percentile.
The matchup against the Pacers is a positive one; they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (19.0).
The Pacers have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Heat.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat grade out 6th-best in in the league as the away team with 11.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 5.3 free throws per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.
Trends Favoring The Under Points Prop Bet
Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier lands in the 79th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for bricked field goals while on the road, compiling a monstrous 7.0 per game this year.
With respect to shooting, the Heat's lackluster 45.0% field goal percentage places 9th-weakest in the NBA this year.
The 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
Terry Rozier has made a lowly 2.0 foul shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 2.8 rate last season.
Terry Rozier will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production in all stat categories.
Projection For Terry Rozier Points Prop Bet
Terry Rozier is projected to have 16.4 Points in this weeks game.
Terry Rozier Player Prop Bet: Made 3 Point Shots
Made 3 Point Shots Prop Bet Odds:
- Made 3 Point Shots 1.5 over: -115
- Made 3 Point Shots 1.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Made 3 Point Shots Prop Bet
Terry Rozier has averaged 32.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 78th percentile.
The Pacers have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Heat.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat grade out 6th-best in in the league as the away team with 11.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games.
Trends Favoring The Under Made 3 Point Shots Prop Bet
Terry Rozier has attempted and missed 3.4 shots from downtown per game while playing away from home this year, putting him among the worst players in the NBA in this category: 76th percentile for misses on the road.
The matchup vs. Indiana is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Pacers have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 3rd-least treys per game in the league this year (1.4).
The 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
Terry Rozier will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production in all stat categories.
Projection For Terry Rozier Made 3 Point Shots Prop Bet
Terry Rozier is projected to have 2.2 Made 3 Point Shots in this weeks game.
