Pelle Larsson projections and prop bets for Miami Heat at Brooklyn Nets on Jan 25, 2025

Pelle Larsson Player Prop Bet: Points

Points Prop Bet Odds:

  • Points 5.5 over: 100
  • Points 5.5 under: -128

Trends Favoring The Over Points Prop Bet

As it relates to three-pointers, the Heat's fantastic 14.1 sunk threes per game away from their home court measures as the 7th-strongest in the NBA this year.

This year, opposing starting SFs have compiled 19.5 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Nets, marking this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.

The Heat have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 23 games as the away team.

The matchup against the Nets is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 3.9 free throws per game this year (3rd-most in the league).

Trends Favoring The Under Points Prop Bet

Pelle Larsson has made 32.7% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 12.6% less than he's made over the course of the year.

Pelle Larsson has been on the court for 13.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-used players in the league: 23rd percentile.

The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Brooklyn Nets).

The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Pelle Larsson has successfully made 66.7% of his free throws this year, ranking him in the 24th percentile among all players in the league.

Projection For Pelle Larsson Points Prop Bet

Pelle Larsson is projected to have 4.1 Points in this weeks game.


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