Luka Doncic projections and prop bets for Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks on Dec 25, 2024
Luka Doncic Player Prop Bet: Made 3 Point Shots
Made 3 Point Shots Prop Bet Odds:
- Made 3 Point Shots 3.5 over: -130
- Made 3 Point Shots 3.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Made 3 Point Shots Prop Bet
Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic comes in at the 97th percentile for shot attempts from downtown while playing at home, posting 9.4 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.8 minutes per game while at home this year.
The matchup against Minnesota is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Timberwolves are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 9th-highest three rate in the league this year (38.3%).
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Trends Favoring The Under Made 3 Point Shots Prop Bet
Luka Doncic has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (91st percentile).
The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Projection For Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop Bet
Luka Doncic is projected to have 3.3 Made 3 Point Shots in this weeks game.
Luka Doncic Player Prop Bet: Points
Points Prop Bet Odds:
- Points 29.5 over: -137
- Points 29.5 under: 104
Trends Favoring The Over Points Prop Bet
Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic comes in at the 97th percentile for shot attempts from downtown while playing at home, posting 9.4 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.8 minutes per game while at home this year.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic places in the 98th percentile for drawing fouls, posting a massive 6.9 free throws per game this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Points Prop Bet
Luka Doncic has tallied just 28.8 points per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 32.7 points per game last season.
The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.
This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on shots from the field (worst in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a difficult matchup.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA).
Projection For Luka Doncic Points Prop Bet
Luka Doncic is projected to have 27.7 Points in this weeks game.
