Daniel Gafford Prop projections for Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks on Jun 12, 2024

Daniel Gafford Player Prop: Points

Points Prop Odds:

  • Points 8.5 over: -112
  • Points 8.5 under: -108

Trends Favoring The Over Points Prop

Daniel Gafford has made 76.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 6.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

The Mavericks check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against Al Horford is a good one; he has allowed a massive 15.2 points per game when defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Daniel Gafford has attempted 3.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Daniel Gafford figures to see a spike in performance across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Points Prop

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford comes in at the 5th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while at home, putting up 0.0 per game this year.

Daniel Gafford has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from competing against the least up-tempo pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with just 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Daniel Gafford Points Prop Projection

Daniel Gafford is projected to have 8.6 Points in todays game.