Portland Trail Blazers

Portland Trail Blazers

Mar 7, 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction – 3/7/2025


The Portland Trail Blazers (28-35) face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (51-12) in what promises to be an intense matchup on Friday, March 7, 2025, at 8:00 PM ET. This game, held at Paycom Center, features two divisional rivals that are sure to bring extra motivation to the court.

Oklahoma City enters the game as a slight favorite, with a spread of Thunder -2.0 and a moneyline of -135. Their impressive recent form includes winning 40 of their last 50 games, showcasing their dominance this season. In contrast, the Trail Blazers have struggled on the road, losing 19 of their last 30 away games. Their most recent outing ended in disappointment, as they fell to the Boston Celtics 128-118.

The betting odds indicate an implied win probability of 55% for the Thunder, while the Trail Blazers sit at 45%. This disparity reflects the Thunder's strong performance and home-court advantage. Sharp bettors have shown interest in the player prop market, particularly Isaiah Joe's Points, Rebounds, and Assists, which has become the most popular betting market for this game. The prop total for Joe opened at Under 24.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-115) but has since moved to Under 22.5 (-120), suggesting a trend towards lower expectations for his performance.

As the Trail Blazers look to turn their fortunes around and the Thunder aim to maintain their winning momentum, this game is set to be a thrilling encounter for fans and bettors alike.


Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Portland Trail Blazers 113.99 vs Oklahoma City Thunder 105.06


Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Trail Blazers44%75%
Thunder56%25%

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-108
22% POR
-1.5/-112
78% OKC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+103
14% POR
-122
86% OKC

Total Pick Consensus

228.0/-112
13% UN
228.0/-108
87% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

POR
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
37.9
90.2
FGA
87.0
.450
FG%
.436
12.9
3Pt-FG
13.5
37.7
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.342
3Pt%
.342
27.7
2Pt-FG
24.5
52.5
2Pt-FGA
47.6
.527
2Pt%
.513
16.9
FT
18.3
22.2
FTA
23.7
.762
FT%
.774
13.4
ORB
11.6
31.4
DRB
33.3
44.8
TRB
44.9
23.8
AST
24.6
8.3
STL
6.7
5.3
BLK
4.8
16.0
TOV
17.0
19.0
PF
18.1
110.9
PTS
107.6

Defense/Offense

POR
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
82
Games
82
41.6
FG
44.6
88.3
FGA
92.7
.471
FG%
.482
12.7
3Pt-FG
14.5
35.2
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.361
3Pt%
.374
28.9
2Pt-FG
30.1
53.1
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.544
2Pt%
.559
18.0
FT
16.7
22.5
FTA
20.4
.799
FT%
.819
11.9
ORB
10.6
32.3
DRB
34.2
44.2
TRB
44.8
26.2
AST
26.9
9.5
STL
10.3
5.5
BLK
5.7
15.5
TOV
11.7
19.3
PF
19.9
113.9
PTS
120.5

Offense/Defense

POR
Four Factors
OKC
.521
eFG%
.513
13.8
TOV%
14.9
29.2
RB%
74.6
.187
FT/FGA
.211

Defense/Offense

POR
Four Factors
OKC
.543
eFG%
.560
13.6
TOV%
10.3
72.5
RB%
24.2
.204
FT/FGA
.180

Offense/Defense

POR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
82
Games
82
40.8
FG
37.9
90.9
FGA
86.8
.450
FG%
.436
13.0
3Pt-FG
13.4
38.0
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.342
3Pt%
.342
27.9
2Pt-FG
24.4
52.8
2Pt-FGA
47.6
.527
2Pt%
.513
17.0
FT
18.3
22.4
FTA
23.7
.762
FT%
.774
13.5
ORB
11.6
31.6
DRB
33.2
45.1
TRB
44.8
24.0
AST
24.6
8.3
STL
6.7
5.3
BLK
4.8
16.1
TOV
17.0
19.1
PF
18.1
111.7
PTS
107.5

Defense/Offense

POR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
82
Games
82
41.9
FG
44.6
88.9
FGA
92.6
.471
FG%
.482
12.8
3Pt-FG
14.5
35.4
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.361
3Pt%
.374
29.1
2Pt-FG
30.1
53.5
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.544
2Pt%
.559
18.1
FT
16.7
22.7
FTA
20.4
.799
FT%
.819
12.0
ORB
10.6
32.6
DRB
34.1
44.6
TRB
44.7
26.4
AST
26.8
9.6
STL
10.3
5.6
BLK
5.7
15.6
TOV
11.7
19.4
PF
19.9
114.7
PTS
120.3

POR
Analytics
OKC
33
Pythag Wins
68
49
Pythag Losses
14
-2.98
Margin Of Victory
12.87
111.7
O Rtg
120.3
114.7
D Rtg
107.5
98.8
Pace
100.0
.246
FTr
.220
.418
3PAr
.419
.555
TS%
.593

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
POR OKC
POR OKC
Consensus
+15.0 (-110)
-15.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-112)
+14.5 (-108)
-14.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-108)
-1.5 (-112)
+15.0 (-110)
-15.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+2.0 (-109)
-2.0 (-112)
+1.5 (-109)
-1.5 (-112)
+15.0 (-110)
-15.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-118)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
POR OKC
POR OKC
Consensus
+667
-1025
+103
-122
+675
-1050
+105
-125
+660
-1000
+102
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
236.0 (-110)
236.0 (-110)
228.0 (-111)
228.0 (-110)
235.0 (-110)
235.0 (-110)
228.0 (-108)
228.0 (-112)
236.0 (-110)
236.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
228.0 (-112)
228.0 (-109)
236.5 (-115)
236.5 (-105)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
227.5 (-115)
227.5 (-105)

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Home NBA Picks Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction – 3/7/2025