Portland Trail Blazers

Portland Trail Blazers

Jan 21, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Preview – 1/21/2025

  • Date: January 21, 2025
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Portland Trail Blazers 11 (-110), Miami Heat -11 (-110)
Over/Under:221
Moneyline:Portland Trail Blazers 430, Miami Heat -550


Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Portland Trail Blazers - 18%Portland Trail Blazers - 21%
Miami Heat - 82%Miami Heat - 79%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Portland Trail Blazers (14-28) face off against the Miami Heat (21-20) on Tuesday night at 7:30 PM ET, with the game taking place at Kaseya Center in Miami. This matchup presents a significant challenge for the Trail Blazers, who will be traveling cross-country and across two time zones, a situation that could hinder their performance.

Miami enters as a substantial favorite, with a spread currently set at Heat -10.5 and a moneyline of -540, implying an 82% win probability for the Heat. In contrast, the Trail Blazers, sitting at +430 on the moneyline, have an implied win probability of just 18%.

The Heat have shown solid form at home, winning 10 of their last 15 games in Miami. Conversely, the Trail Blazers have struggled recently, losing 26 of their last 40 contests. However, Portland comes off an impressive upset victory over the Chicago Bulls, where they won 113-102 despite entering as 4.5-point underdogs with only a 38% chance of winning.

For those interested in player prop markets, Tyler Herro's rebounds have caught bettors' attention, with the prop total opening at Over 4.5 Rebounds (-155) and moving to 5.5 (-105) as sharp money has come in on the Over. With both teams' recent performances and the betting odds, this matchup is set to be an intriguing one for fans and bettors alike.


Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Portland Trail Blazers 108.06 vs Miami Heat 118.43

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+9.0/-110
42% POR
-9.0/-110
58% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+307
7% POR
-385
93% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

218.5/-112
18% UN
218.5/-108
82% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

POR
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
55
Games
53
40.0
FG
41.4
88.7
FGA
89.6
.451
FG%
.462
12.3
3Pt-FG
13.7
35.8
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.344
3Pt%
.357
27.7
2Pt-FG
27.7
52.9
2Pt-FGA
51.2
.522
2Pt%
.540
16.9
FT
14.2
21.8
FTA
18.1
.776
FT%
.784
12.5
ORB
11.1
31.1
DRB
34.6
43.6
TRB
45.7
23.3
AST
26.9
7.9
STL
7.4
5.5
BLK
5.0
16.0
TOV
13.6
19.4
PF
17.5
109.2
PTS
110.7

Defense/Offense

POR
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
55
Games
53
41.8
FG
39.5
87.9
FGA
87.1
.476
FG%
.454
12.9
3Pt-FG
14.0
35.4
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.365
3Pt%
.360
28.9
2Pt-FG
25.5
52.5
2Pt-FGA
48.2
.551
2Pt%
.529
18.3
FT
16.8
23.0
FTA
21.4
.796
FT%
.788
12.0
ORB
9.7
32.2
DRB
34.3
44.2
TRB
44.1
26.5
AST
26.2
9.5
STL
7.9
5.5
BLK
3.8
15.0
TOV
13.7
19.1
PF
15.8
114.8
PTS
109.8

Offense/Defense

POR
Four Factors
MIA
.520
eFG%
.539
14.0
TOV%
12.2
28.0
RB%
75.6
.191
FT/FGA
.158

Defense/Offense

POR
Four Factors
MIA
.549
eFG%
.534
13.3
TOV%
12.4
72.2
RB%
21.9
.208
FT/FGA
.193

Offense/Defense

POR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
55
Games
53
40.6
FG
42.2
90.0
FGA
91.5
.451
FG%
.462
12.5
3Pt-FG
14.0
36.3
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.344
3Pt%
.357
28.1
2Pt-FG
28.2
53.7
2Pt-FGA
52.2
.522
2Pt%
.540
17.2
FT
14.5
22.1
FTA
18.5
.776
FT%
.784
12.7
ORB
11.3
31.5
DRB
35.3
44.2
TRB
46.6
23.7
AST
27.4
8.0
STL
7.6
5.6
BLK
5.1
16.2
TOV
13.9
19.6
PF
17.9
110.8
PTS
113.0

Defense/Offense

POR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
55
Games
53
42.4
FG
40.3
89.1
FGA
88.8
.476
FG%
.454
13.1
3Pt-FG
14.3
35.9
3Pt-FGA
39.6
.365
3Pt%
.360
29.3
2Pt-FG
26.0
53.2
2Pt-FGA
49.2
.551
2Pt%
.529
18.6
FT
17.2
23.3
FTA
21.8
.796
FT%
.788
12.1
ORB
9.9
32.7
DRB
35.0
44.8
TRB
45.0
26.9
AST
26.8
9.6
STL
8.1
5.6
BLK
3.9
15.2
TOV
14.0
19.3
PF
16.1
116.5
PTS
112.1

POR
Analytics
MIA
18
Pythag Wins
25
37
Pythag Losses
28
-5.62
Margin Of Victory
-0.87
110.8
O Rtg
112.1
116.5
D Rtg
113.0
98.4
Pace
96.7
.246
FTr
.245
.403
3PAr
.446
.555
TS%
.569

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
POR MIA
POR MIA
Consensus
+11.5 (-109)
-11.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-109)
-9.0 (-111)
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-108)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+11.5 (-107)
-11.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-107)
-9.0 (-114)
+11.0 (-115)
-11.0 (-110)
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
+11.5 (-115)
-11.5 (-105)
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
POR MIA
POR MIA
Consensus
+460
-650
+307
-385
+470
-650
+320
-410
+460
-620
+315
-400
+430
-590
+300
-385
+460
-650
+335
-440
+475
-650
+310
-400
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-111)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
218.5 (-108)
218.5 (-112)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
220.0 (-105)
220.0 (-115)
219.5 (-115)
219.5 (-105)
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)

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