Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 11, 2025

Utah Jazz

Utah Jazz
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz Prediction – 4/11/2025


As the Oklahoma City Thunder (66-15) prepare to face off against the Utah Jazz (17-63) on April 11, 2025, at 9:30 PM ET, all eyes will be on the Delta Center, where this divisional rivalry takes on added significance. Despite being on the road, the Thunder enter as a massive favorite, with a spread of Thunder -10.5 and a Moneyline of -500, giving them an implied win probability of 81%. Meanwhile, the Jazz are seen as long shots with a Moneyline of +400, translating to an implied win probability of just 19%.

Recent form paints a stark picture for both teams. The Thunder have been dominant, winning 41 of their last 50 games, including a decisive victory over the Phoenix Suns in their last outing, where they won 125-112. On the flip side, the Jazz have struggled mightily, losing 40 of their last 50 games. However, they did manage an upset victory against the Portland Trail Blazers, winning 133-126 despite entering that game as 6.5-point underdogs with only a 31% chance of winning.

The Thunder's strong play suggests they will look to continue their winning ways, while the Jazz, buoyed by their unexpected last win, might seek to capitalize on any complacency from Oklahoma City. This game promises to be an intriguing clash, with the Thunder aiming to solidify their dominance ahead of the playoffs, while the Jazz will try to build on their surprising momentum. For bettors, the significant disparity in form and statistics presents a compelling scenario to analyze as tip-off approaches.


Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 107.65 vs Utah Jazz 106.06


Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Thunder81%55%
Jazz19%45%

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-9.0/-108
73% OKC
+9.0/-112
27% UTA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-388
93% OKC
+306
7% UTA

Total Pick Consensus

234.5/-112
10% UN
234.5/-108
90% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
UTA
82
Games
82
44.6
FG
44.6
92.7
FGA
93.0
.482
FG%
.480
14.5
3Pt-FG
14.9
38.8
3Pt-FGA
41.5
.374
3Pt%
.358
30.1
2Pt-FG
29.7
53.9
2Pt-FGA
51.5
.559
2Pt%
.577
16.7
FT
17.2
20.4
FTA
22.6
.819
FT%
.763
10.6
ORB
11.7
34.2
DRB
32.6
44.8
TRB
44.2
26.9
AST
29.6
10.3
STL
9.8
5.7
BLK
6.4
11.7
TOV
11.8
19.9
PF
19.3
120.5
PTS
121.2

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
UTA
82
Games
82
37.9
FG
40.3
87.0
FGA
88.7
.436
FG%
.454
13.5
3Pt-FG
14.0
39.3
3Pt-FGA
39.8
.342
3Pt%
.350
24.5
2Pt-FG
26.4
47.6
2Pt-FGA
48.8
.513
2Pt%
.540
18.3
FT
17.3
23.7
FTA
22.4
.774
FT%
.774
11.6
ORB
12.0
33.3
DRB
33.4
44.9
TRB
45.4
24.6
AST
25.5
6.7
STL
6.8
4.8
BLK
4.4
17.0
TOV
17.2
18.1
PF
18.9
107.6
PTS
111.9

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
UTA
.560
eFG%
.559
10.3
TOV%
10.3
24.2
RB%
74.1
.180
FT/FGA
.185

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
UTA
.513
eFG%
.533
14.9
TOV%
14.9
74.6
RB%
26.9
.211
FT/FGA
.195

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
UTA
82
Games
82
44.6
FG
44.3
92.6
FGA
92.3
.482
FG%
.480
14.5
3Pt-FG
14.8
38.8
3Pt-FGA
41.2
.374
3Pt%
.358
30.1
2Pt-FG
29.5
53.8
2Pt-FGA
51.1
.559
2Pt%
.577
16.7
FT
17.1
20.4
FTA
22.4
.819
FT%
.763
10.6
ORB
11.6
34.1
DRB
32.3
44.7
TRB
43.9
26.8
AST
29.4
10.3
STL
9.7
5.7
BLK
6.4
11.7
TOV
11.7
19.9
PF
19.1
120.3
PTS
120.4

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
UTA
82
Games
82
37.9
FG
40.0
86.8
FGA
88.1
.436
FG%
.454
13.4
3Pt-FG
13.9
39.3
3Pt-FGA
39.6
.342
3Pt%
.350
24.4
2Pt-FG
26.2
47.6
2Pt-FGA
48.5
.513
2Pt%
.540
18.3
FT
17.2
23.7
FTA
22.2
.774
FT%
.774
11.6
ORB
11.9
33.2
DRB
33.2
44.8
TRB
45.1
24.6
AST
25.4
6.7
STL
6.7
4.8
BLK
4.4
17.0
TOV
17.1
18.1
PF
18.8
107.5
PTS
111.2

OKC
Analytics
UTA
68
Pythag Wins
20
14
Pythag Losses
62
12.87
Margin Of Victory
-9.34
120.3
O Rtg
111.2
107.5
D Rtg
120.4
100.0
Pace
100.0
.220
FTr
.252
.419
3PAr
.449
.593
TS%
.568

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC UTA
OKC UTA
Consensus
-11.0 (-111)
+11.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-111)
+9.0 (-109)
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-108)
-9.0 (-108)
+9.0 (-112)
-11.5 (-106)
+11.5 (-110)
-9.0 (-106)
+9.0 (-114)
-11.5 (-113)
+11.5 (-112)
-9.0 (-113)
+9.0 (-108)
-11.0 (-115)
+11.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-115)
+9.0 (-105)
-11.5 (-115)
+11.5 (-118)
-8.5 (-115)
+8.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
OKC UTA
OKC UTA
Consensus
-612
+442
-388
+306
-520
+390
-410
+320
-600
+450
-400
+315
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
232.0 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
231.0 (-110)
231.0 (-110)
234.5 (-108)
234.5 (-112)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
232.0 (-112)
232.0 (-109)
234.5 (-112)
234.5 (-109)
232.0 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
234.0 (-115)
234.0 (-105)
232.5 (-105)
232.5 (-115)
233.5 (-115)
233.5 (-105)

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