New Orleans Pelicans

New Orleans Pelicans

Feb 28, 2025

Phoenix Suns

Phoenix Suns
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns Pick – 2/28/2025


The New Orleans Pelicans (16-43) face off against the Phoenix Suns (27-32) in a Friday night showdown at Footprint Center, set to tip off at 9:00 PM ET on February 28, 2025. This matchup marks a back-to-back game for both teams, each having played the night before, which could impact their performance due to fatigue.

The Pelicans are coming off an unexpected victory over the Suns, winning 124-116 in their last outing. This upset was particularly notable as New Orleans entered that game as a 6.5-point underdog, with only a 30% implied probability of winning. However, the Pelicans have struggled overall, losing 37 of their last 50 games, which raises questions about their consistency.

On the other hand, the Suns enter this contest cold, having dropped three consecutive games. Despite their recent struggles, Phoenix is favored at home, currently sitting at -7.0 on the spread, with a moneyline of -260. This gives them an implied win probability of 70%, significantly higher than the Pelicans' 30%.

For those looking to wager on player props, Trey Murphy III's Points and Assists market is gaining traction among bettors. The current line sits at Under 28.5 Points and Assists (-110), with sharp money appearing to favor the Under, indicating a belief that this line may be mispriced.

As both teams look to break their recent patterns, the Pelicans will aim to build on their surprising win, while the Suns will seek to turn their fortunes around in front of their home crowd.


New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

Predicted Final Score: New Orleans Pelicans 134.51 vs Phoenix Suns 122.82


New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Pelicans30%83%
Suns70%17%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+9.0/-105
72% NO
-9.0/-115
28% PHO

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+327
16% NO
-416
84% PHO

Total Pick Consensus

227.5/-112
14% UN
227.5/-108
86% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

NO
Team Stats Per Game
PHO
82
Games
82
40.6
FG
42.6
89.9
FGA
90.1
.452
FG%
.473
12.0
3Pt-FG
14.2
34.6
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.347
3Pt%
.370
28.6
2Pt-FG
28.4
55.2
2Pt-FGA
51.7
.518
2Pt%
.549
16.5
FT
17.2
21.9
FTA
21.8
.754
FT%
.790
12.1
ORB
11.5
31.5
DRB
32.7
43.6
TRB
44.2
25.8
AST
27.3
8.5
STL
8.5
5.2
BLK
4.0
14.6
TOV
12.2
18.3
PF
18.4
109.8
PTS
116.6

Defense/Offense

NO
Team Stats Per Game
PHO
82
Games
82
43.7
FG
41.2
90.5
FGA
86.3
.483
FG%
.478
14.6
3Pt-FG
14.3
40.1
3Pt-FGA
38.0
.365
3Pt%
.378
29.1
2Pt-FG
26.9
50.4
2Pt-FGA
48.3
.578
2Pt%
.556
17.2
FT
16.8
21.9
FTA
20.8
.786
FT%
.810
11.9
ORB
9.5
33.9
DRB
32.9
45.7
TRB
42.5
28.6
AST
27.8
9.0
STL
7.2
5.2
BLK
4.8
14.0
TOV
14.1
17.9
PF
17.9
119.3
PTS
113.6

Offense/Defense

NO
Four Factors
PHO
.519
eFG%
.552
12.8
TOV%
10.9
26.3
RB%
74.1
.184
FT/FGA
.191

Defense/Offense

NO
Four Factors
PHO
.564
eFG%
.561
12.3
TOV%
12.8
72.7
RB%
22.6
.190
FT/FGA
.195

Offense/Defense

NO
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
PHO
82
Games
82
40.8
FG
43.6
90.3
FGA
92.1
.452
FG%
.473
12.1
3Pt-FG
14.5
34.8
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.347
3Pt%
.370
28.8
2Pt-FG
29.1
55.5
2Pt-FGA
52.9
.518
2Pt%
.549
16.6
FT
17.6
22.1
FTA
22.3
.754
FT%
.790
12.2
ORB
11.8
31.7
DRB
33.4
43.8
TRB
45.2
26.0
AST
27.9
8.6
STL
8.7
5.3
BLK
4.1
14.7
TOV
12.5
18.4
PF
18.8
110.4
PTS
119.3

Defense/Offense

NO
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
PHO
82
Games
82
43.9
FG
42.2
91.0
FGA
88.2
.483
FG%
.478
14.7
3Pt-FG
14.7
40.3
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.365
3Pt%
.378
29.3
2Pt-FG
27.5
50.6
2Pt-FGA
49.4
.578
2Pt%
.556
17.3
FT
17.2
22.0
FTA
21.2
.786
FT%
.810
11.9
ORB
9.8
34.1
DRB
33.7
46.0
TRB
43.4
28.8
AST
28.4
9.1
STL
7.4
5.2
BLK
4.9
14.1
TOV
14.4
18.0
PF
18.3
119.9
PTS
116.2

NO
Analytics
PHO
20
Pythag Wins
34
62
Pythag Losses
48
-9.43
Margin Of Victory
-3.00
110.4
O Rtg
116.2
119.9
D Rtg
119.3
99.1
Pace
97.1
.244
FTr
.241
.385
3PAr
.440
.552
TS%
.595

Odds

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    Home NBA Picks New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns Pick – 2/28/2025