Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves

Mar 7, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Prediction – 3/7/2025


The Minnesota Timberwolves (35-29) face off against the Miami Heat (29-32) in a key matchup on Friday night, March 7, 2025, at 8:00 PM ET at Kaseya Center. Despite being on the road, the Timberwolves enter this contest as favorites, currently holding a spread of -5.0 and a moneyline of -205, which translates to an implied win probability of 65%. In contrast, the Heat's moneyline sits at +175, giving them a 35% chance to secure a victory.

The Timberwolves are riding high with three consecutive wins, including a decisive 125-110 victory over the Charlotte Hornets in their last outing. However, the long cross-country trip could pose a challenge, as extended road trips often impact performance. On the other hand, the Heat have struggled recently, losing 18 of their last 30 games, and they come off a narrow 112-107 defeat to the Cleveland Cavaliers.

For those interested in player prop betting, Tyler Herro's Points and Rebounds market has gained significant attention. The prop total opened at Over 29.5 Points and Rebounds (-110) but has since moved to 30.5 (-115), indicating sharp bettors are leaning towards the over.

As the Timberwolves look to maintain their momentum and the Heat aim to turn around their fortunes, this game promises to be a compelling clash with playoff implications. Fans and bettors alike will be keen to see if Minnesota can overcome the travel disadvantage and continue their winning streak, or if Miami can capitalize on their home court to secure a much-needed victory.


Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Minnesota Timberwolves 115.15 vs Miami Heat 110.67


Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Timberwolves65%63%
Heat35%37%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-3.5/-110
61% MIN
+3.5/-110
39% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-158
76% MIN
+135
24% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

218.0/-108
10% UN
218.0/-112
90% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
73
Games
72
40.6
FG
41.3
87.4
FGA
88.8
.465
FG%
.465
15.1
3Pt-FG
13.6
39.9
3Pt-FGA
38.0
.378
3Pt%
.359
25.5
2Pt-FG
27.7
47.5
2Pt-FGA
50.8
.538
2Pt%
.545
17.2
FT
14.0
21.8
FTA
17.9
.793
FT%
.782
10.9
ORB
10.9
33.0
DRB
34.0
43.9
TRB
44.9
26.0
AST
26.5
8.2
STL
7.6
4.8
BLK
4.7
14.5
TOV
13.7
18.1
PF
17.1
113.5
PTS
110.3

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
73
Games
72
40.5
FG
39.8
88.0
FGA
86.2
.460
FG%
.461
12.6
3Pt-FG
13.6
35.8
3Pt-FGA
37.5
.351
3Pt%
.362
27.9
2Pt-FG
26.2
52.2
2Pt-FGA
48.8
.536
2Pt%
.537
15.8
FT
16.2
20.4
FTA
20.4
.771
FT%
.792
11.1
ORB
9.4
32.3
DRB
33.5
43.4
TRB
42.9
24.5
AST
26.2
8.6
STL
7.9
4.7
BLK
3.8
14.9
TOV
13.9
19.1
PF
15.7
109.3
PTS
109.2

Offense/Defense

MIN
Four Factors
MIA
.551
eFG%
.542
13.0
TOV%
12.4
25.2
RB%
75.4
.197
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

MIN
Four Factors
MIA
.532
eFG%
.540
13.3
TOV%
12.7
74.8
RB%
21.6
.179
FT/FGA
.187

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
73
Games
72
41.4
FG
42.5
89.0
FGA
91.3
.465
FG%
.465
15.4
3Pt-FG
14.0
40.7
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.378
3Pt%
.359
26.0
2Pt-FG
28.4
48.4
2Pt-FGA
52.2
.538
2Pt%
.545
17.6
FT
14.4
22.2
FTA
18.4
.793
FT%
.782
11.1
ORB
11.2
33.6
DRB
34.9
44.7
TRB
46.2
26.5
AST
27.2
8.4
STL
7.8
4.9
BLK
4.9
14.8
TOV
14.1
18.4
PF
17.6
115.7
PTS
113.3

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
73
Games
72
41.3
FG
40.8
89.6
FGA
88.6
.460
FG%
.461
12.8
3Pt-FG
13.9
36.5
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.351
3Pt%
.362
28.5
2Pt-FG
26.9
53.1
2Pt-FGA
50.1
.536
2Pt%
.537
16.1
FT
16.6
20.8
FTA
21.0
.771
FT%
.792
11.3
ORB
9.6
32.9
DRB
34.4
44.2
TRB
44.0
25.0
AST
26.9
8.7
STL
8.2
4.7
BLK
3.9
15.2
TOV
14.3
19.4
PF
16.1
111.4
PTS
112.2

MIN
Analytics
MIA
46
Pythag Wins
34
27
Pythag Losses
38
4.23
Margin Of Victory
-1.08
115.7
O Rtg
112.2
111.4
D Rtg
113.3
97.6
Pace
96.1
.249
FTr
.237
.457
3PAr
.435
.586
TS%
.574

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIN MIA
MIN MIA
Consensus
-4.5 (-111)
+4.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-111)
+3.5 (-107)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.0 (-108)
+4.0 (-113)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-118)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIN MIA
MIN MIA
Consensus
-180
+150
-158
+135
-185
+154
-162
+136
-180
+152
-158
+134
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
218.0 (-111)
218.0 (-109)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
218.0 (-112)
218.0 (-108)
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
218.0 (-108)
218.0 (-112)
215.5 (-110)
215.5 (-110)
218.0 (-112)
218.0 (-109)
214.0 (-110)
214.0 (-110)
218.5 (-115)
218.5 (-105)
214.5 (-115)
214.5 (-105)
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)

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