Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks

Mar 4, 2025

Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Pick – 3/4/2025


On March 4, 2025, the Milwaukee Bucks will face off against the Atlanta Hawks at State Farm Arena in Atlanta. The game is set to tip off at 7:30 PM ET, and the Bucks enter as significant favorites with a spread of -7.0.

Milwaukee, boasting a record of 35-25, comes into this matchup with a well-rested squad, having last played three days ago. This extra time off could be crucial as the Bucks aim to build on their recent success, winning 33 of their last 50 games. In their previous outing, they secured a convincing 132-117 victory over the Dallas Mavericks.

Conversely, the Atlanta Hawks, sitting at 28-33, are struggling to find their rhythm. They are currently on a back-to-back, having played just yesterday, which could hinder their performance. Despite this disadvantage, the Hawks managed to pull off an upset against the Memphis Grizzlies, winning 132-130 as 8.0-point underdogs.

The betting odds reflect a strong belief in Milwaukee's chances, with an implied win probability of 70% compared to Atlanta's 30%. For those considering player props, Onyeka Okongwu's Points and Rebounds market has garnered attention, with the total moving from 24.5 to 23.5 as sharp bettors lean towards the Under.


Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Milwaukee Bucks 124.9 vs Atlanta Hawks 113.87


Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Bucks69%81%
Hawks31%19%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-5.0/-110
40% MIL
+5.0/-110
60% ATL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-204
83% MIL
+172
17% ATL

Total Pick Consensus

244.0/-110
44% UN
244.0/-110
56% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
ATL
72
Games
73
41.6
FG
43.6
86.6
FGA
90.4
.481
FG%
.482
14.1
3Pt-FG
14.1
36.9
3Pt-FGA
37.8
.382
3Pt%
.374
27.6
2Pt-FG
29.5
49.7
2Pt-FGA
52.6
.554
2Pt%
.559
17.1
FT
18.1
22.7
FTA
22.4
.751
FT%
.808
8.5
ORB
10.3
35.3
DRB
33.6
43.8
TRB
43.9
25.1
AST
28.3
7.4
STL
9.2
4.7
BLK
4.9
13.4
TOV
16.2
18.0
PF
19.2
114.4
PTS
119.4

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
ATL
72
Games
73
41.2
FG
43.1
90.6
FGA
91.9
.455
FG%
.469
13.7
3Pt-FG
13.3
38.9
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.352
3Pt%
.356
27.5
2Pt-FG
29.8
51.7
2Pt-FGA
54.6
.533
2Pt%
.547
16.2
FT
18.0
20.6
FTA
23.2
.786
FT%
.774
10.8
ORB
11.9
34.6
DRB
32.6
45.4
TRB
44.5
26.0
AST
29.4
7.4
STL
9.8
4.0
BLK
5.2
12.9
TOV
15.6
18.9
PF
18.9
112.3
PTS
117.5

Offense/Defense

MIL
Four Factors
ATL
.562
eFG%
.560
12.2
TOV%
13.9
19.6
RB%
75.9
.197
FT/FGA
.200

Defense/Offense

MIL
Four Factors
ATL
.530
eFG%
.542
11.5
TOV%
13.3
76.6
RB%
26.1
.178
FT/FGA
.195

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ATL
72
Games
73
41.8
FG
42.2
87.0
FGA
87.5
.481
FG%
.482
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.7
37.0
3Pt-FGA
36.5
.382
3Pt%
.374
27.7
2Pt-FG
28.5
50.0
2Pt-FGA
50.9
.554
2Pt%
.559
17.1
FT
17.5
22.8
FTA
21.7
.751
FT%
.808
8.5
ORB
10.0
35.5
DRB
32.5
44.0
TRB
42.5
25.2
AST
27.4
7.4
STL
8.9
4.7
BLK
4.8
13.5
TOV
15.7
18.1
PF
18.6
114.9
PTS
115.5

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ATL
72
Games
73
41.4
FG
41.7
91.0
FGA
88.9
.455
FG%
.469
13.8
3Pt-FG
12.9
39.1
3Pt-FGA
36.1
.352
3Pt%
.356
27.6
2Pt-FG
28.9
51.9
2Pt-FGA
52.8
.533
2Pt%
.547
16.2
FT
17.4
20.6
FTA
22.5
.786
FT%
.774
10.8
ORB
11.5
34.8
DRB
31.5
45.6
TRB
43.0
26.1
AST
28.5
7.5
STL
9.5
4.0
BLK
5.1
13.0
TOV
15.1
18.9
PF
18.3
112.8
PTS
113.7

MIL
Analytics
ATL
41
Pythag Wins
32
31
Pythag Losses
41
2.15
Margin Of Victory
-1.89
114.9
O Rtg
113.7
112.8
D Rtg
115.5
99.4
Pace
102.8
.262
FTr
.253
.426
3PAr
.406
.592
TS%
.575

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIL ATL
MIL ATL
Consensus
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-108)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-112)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-112)
+5.0 (-108)
-5.5 (-109)
+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-109)
+5.5 (-112)
-5.0 (-115)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-115)
+5.0 (-105)
-5.5 (-102)
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-102)
+5.5 (-118)
Open
Current
Book
MIL ATL
MIL ATL
Consensus
-192
+160
-204
+172
-192
+160
-205
+170
-200
+168
-210
+176
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
245.0 (-110)
245.0 (-110)
244.0 (-110)
244.0 (-110)
244.5 (-110)
244.5 (-110)
244.0 (-110)
244.0 (-110)
243.0 (-110)
243.0 (-110)
244.0 (-110)
244.0 (-110)
244.5 (-110)
244.5 (-110)
244.0 (-110)
244.0 (-110)
245.0 (-110)
245.0 (-110)
244.0 (-110)
244.0 (-110)
244.5 (-110)
244.5 (-110)
243.5 (-115)
243.5 (-105)

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