Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Jan 11, 2025

Portland Trail Blazers

Portland Trail Blazers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 1/11/2025

  • Date: January 11, 2025
  • Venue: Moda Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat -3.5 (-110), Portland Trail Blazers 3.5 (-110)
Over/Under:219
Moneyline:Miami Heat -165, Portland Trail Blazers 145


Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 60%Miami Heat - 56%
Portland Trail Blazers - 40%Portland Trail Blazers - 44%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Betting Preview

On January 6, 2024, the Miami Heat (19-17) will face off against the Portland Trail Blazers (13-24) in a Saturday night showdown at Moda Center, with tip-off scheduled for 10:00 PM ET. Despite being on the road and having traveled across two time zones, the Heat enter the game as favorites, currently sitting at a spread of -4.0 and a moneyline of -170, which translates to an implied win probability of 61%.

The Heat have shown resilience lately, winning 14 of their last 25 games, including a recent victory over the Utah Jazz, where they secured a 97-92 win. In contrast, the Trail Blazers have struggled significantly, dropping 19 of their last 30 games. Their most recent outing resulted in a 117-111 loss to the Dallas Mavericks, further highlighting their difficulties this season.

Betting trends reveal that sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under in player prop markets, particularly concerning Toumani Camara's Points and Assists. The prop total opened at Under 11.5 Points and Assists but has since moved to 10.5 at -145, indicating a shift in confidence regarding Camara's performance.

While the Miami Heat's recent form suggests they are in a better position to win, the travel and time zone adjustments could pose challenges. Meanwhile, the Portland Trail Blazers will look to capitalize on their home court advantage in an effort to turn their season around. As the game approaches, bettors will be keenly watching how these dynamics play out on the court.


Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 112.28 vs Portland Trail Blazers 109.99

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-4.5/-110
63% MIA
+4.5/-110
37% POR

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-186
89% MIA
+157
11% POR

Total Pick Consensus

219.0/-108
28% UN
219.0/-112
72% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
POR
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
41.6
87.0
FGA
88.3
.465
FG%
.471
13.7
3Pt-FG
12.7
37.3
3Pt-FGA
35.2
.367
3Pt%
.361
26.8
2Pt-FG
28.9
49.7
2Pt-FGA
53.1
.538
2Pt%
.544
16.0
FT
18.0
20.2
FTA
22.5
.791
FT%
.799
9.7
ORB
11.9
33.7
DRB
32.3
43.4
TRB
44.2
26.4
AST
26.2
8.1
STL
9.5
3.8
BLK
5.5
13.6
TOV
15.5
15.5
PF
19.3
110.6
PTS
113.9

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
POR
82
Games
82
41.3
FG
40.5
88.6
FGA
90.2
.466
FG%
.450
13.6
3Pt-FG
12.9
37.9
3Pt-FGA
37.7
.360
3Pt%
.342
27.6
2Pt-FG
27.7
50.6
2Pt-FGA
52.5
.545
2Pt%
.527
13.9
FT
16.9
17.9
FTA
22.2
.776
FT%
.762
10.7
ORB
13.4
33.9
DRB
31.4
44.7
TRB
44.8
26.5
AST
23.8
7.5
STL
8.3
4.7
BLK
5.3
13.8
TOV
16.0
17.0
PF
19.0
110.0
PTS
110.9

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
POR
.544
eFG%
.543
12.4
TOV%
13.6
22.3
RB%
72.5
.183
FT/FGA
.204

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
POR
.543
eFG%
.521
12.5
TOV%
13.8
75.8
RB%
29.2
.157
FT/FGA
.187

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
POR
82
Games
82
41.5
FG
41.9
89.3
FGA
88.9
.465
FG%
.471
14.1
3Pt-FG
12.8
38.3
3Pt-FGA
35.4
.367
3Pt%
.361
27.5
2Pt-FG
29.1
51.0
2Pt-FGA
53.5
.538
2Pt%
.544
16.4
FT
18.1
20.7
FTA
22.7
.791
FT%
.799
10.0
ORB
12.0
34.5
DRB
32.6
44.5
TRB
44.6
27.1
AST
26.4
8.4
STL
9.6
3.9
BLK
5.6
13.9
TOV
15.6
16.0
PF
19.4
113.5
PTS
114.7

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
POR
82
Games
82
42.3
FG
40.8
90.9
FGA
90.9
.466
FG%
.450
14.0
3Pt-FG
13.0
38.9
3Pt-FGA
38.0
.360
3Pt%
.342
28.3
2Pt-FG
27.9
52.0
2Pt-FGA
52.8
.545
2Pt%
.527
14.3
FT
17.0
18.4
FTA
22.4
.776
FT%
.762
11.0
ORB
13.5
34.8
DRB
31.6
45.8
TRB
45.1
27.2
AST
24.0
7.7
STL
8.3
4.8
BLK
5.3
14.2
TOV
16.1
17.4
PF
19.1
112.9
PTS
111.7

MIA
Analytics
POR
42
Pythag Wins
33
40
Pythag Losses
49
0.56
Margin Of Victory
-2.98
113.5
O Rtg
111.7
112.9
D Rtg
114.7
96.2
Pace
98.8
.232
FTr
.246
.429
3PAr
.418
.576
TS%
.555

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA POR
MIA POR
Consensus
-3.5 (-109)
+3.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-109)
+4.5 (-111)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-108)
-5.0 (-108)
+5.0 (-112)
-4.5 (-107)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-107)
+4.5 (-114)
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA POR
MIA POR
Consensus
-160
+135
-186
+157
-162
+136
-192
+160
-168
+140
-198
+166
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
217.0 (-110)
217.0 (-110)
219.0 (-112)
219.0 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
219.5 (-112)
219.5 (-108)
215.5 (-110)
215.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
215.5 (-108)
215.5 (-113)
219.0 (-112)
219.0 (-109)
217.0 (-110)
217.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)

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