Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Jan 11, 2025

Portland Trail Blazers

Portland Trail Blazers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 1/11/2025

  • Date: January 11, 2025
  • Venue: Moda Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat -3.5 (-110), Portland Trail Blazers 3.5 (-110)
Over/Under:219
Moneyline:Miami Heat -165, Portland Trail Blazers 145


Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 60%Miami Heat - 56%
Portland Trail Blazers - 40%Portland Trail Blazers - 44%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Betting Preview

On January 6, 2024, the Miami Heat (19-17) will face off against the Portland Trail Blazers (13-24) in a Saturday night showdown at Moda Center, with tip-off scheduled for 10:00 PM ET. Despite being on the road and having traveled across two time zones, the Heat enter the game as favorites, currently sitting at a spread of -4.0 and a moneyline of -170, which translates to an implied win probability of 61%.

The Heat have shown resilience lately, winning 14 of their last 25 games, including a recent victory over the Utah Jazz, where they secured a 97-92 win. In contrast, the Trail Blazers have struggled significantly, dropping 19 of their last 30 games. Their most recent outing resulted in a 117-111 loss to the Dallas Mavericks, further highlighting their difficulties this season.

Betting trends reveal that sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under in player prop markets, particularly concerning Toumani Camara's Points and Assists. The prop total opened at Under 11.5 Points and Assists but has since moved to 10.5 at -145, indicating a shift in confidence regarding Camara's performance.

While the Miami Heat's recent form suggests they are in a better position to win, the travel and time zone adjustments could pose challenges. Meanwhile, the Portland Trail Blazers will look to capitalize on their home court advantage in an effort to turn their season around. As the game approaches, bettors will be keenly watching how these dynamics play out on the court.


Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 112.28 vs Portland Trail Blazers 109.99

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-3.5/-112
72% MIA
+3.5/-108
28% POR

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-166
85% MIA
+140
15% POR

Total Pick Consensus

219.0/-108
26% UN
219.0/-112
74% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
POR
36
Games
37
39.5
FG
42.1
86.8
FGA
88.2
.455
FG%
.477
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.8
38.4
3Pt-FGA
37.0
.366
3Pt%
.374
25.4
2Pt-FG
28.3
48.4
2Pt-FGA
51.2
.525
2Pt%
.552
17.9
FT
18.3
23.0
FTA
22.9
.781
FT%
.799
9.6
ORB
12.2
33.9
DRB
32.5
43.5
TRB
44.7
26.0
AST
27.2
8.9
STL
9.6
3.8
BLK
6.1
13.5
TOV
15.3
16.2
PF
18.8
110.9
PTS
116.4

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
POR
36
Games
37
40.8
FG
40.2
88.7
FGA
89.3
.460
FG%
.451
13.5
3Pt-FG
12.2
37.9
3Pt-FGA
35.8
.357
3Pt%
.340
27.3
2Pt-FG
28.1
50.8
2Pt-FGA
53.5
.536
2Pt%
.525
14.6
FT
15.8
18.2
FTA
20.5
.802
FT%
.772
11.4
ORB
12.4
34.6
DRB
30.8
45.9
TRB
43.2
26.7
AST
23.2
7.3
STL
8.1
5.3
BLK
5.6
14.9
TOV
16.4
18.7
PF
19.4
109.6
PTS
108.5

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
POR
.536
eFG%
.556
12.2
TOV%
13.5
21.7
RB%
71.7
.207
FT/FGA
.208

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
POR
.536
eFG%
.519
13.4
TOV%
14.3
74.9
RB%
27.7
.165
FT/FGA
.177

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
POR
36
Games
37
40.2
FG
42.5
88.3
FGA
89.1
.455
FG%
.477
14.3
3Pt-FG
14.0
39.0
3Pt-FGA
37.4
.366
3Pt%
.374
25.9
2Pt-FG
28.5
49.3
2Pt-FGA
51.7
.525
2Pt%
.552
18.3
FT
18.5
23.4
FTA
23.2
.781
FT%
.799
9.8
ORB
12.3
34.5
DRB
32.8
44.2
TRB
45.1
26.5
AST
27.5
9.0
STL
9.7
3.8
BLK
6.2
13.8
TOV
15.4
16.5
PF
19.0
112.9
PTS
117.5

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
POR
36
Games
37
41.5
FG
40.6
90.2
FGA
90.2
.460
FG%
.451
13.7
3Pt-FG
12.3
38.5
3Pt-FGA
36.1
.357
3Pt%
.340
27.7
2Pt-FG
28.3
51.7
2Pt-FGA
54.0
.536
2Pt%
.525
14.9
FT
16.0
18.5
FTA
20.7
.802
FT%
.772
11.6
ORB
12.6
35.2
DRB
31.1
46.7
TRB
43.7
27.1
AST
23.4
7.4
STL
8.2
5.3
BLK
5.7
15.2
TOV
16.6
19.0
PF
19.6
111.5
PTS
109.5

MIA
Analytics
POR
20
Pythag Wins
10
16
Pythag Losses
27
1.33
Margin Of Victory
-7.89
112.9
O Rtg
109.5
111.5
D Rtg
117.5
96.9
Pace
99.1
.265
FTr
.230
.442
3PAr
.401
.572
TS%
.552

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA POR
MIA POR
Consensus
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-109)
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-109)
+4.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-109)
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA POR
MIA POR
Consensus
-160
+135
-162
+137
-162
+136
-166
+140
-168
+140
-168
+142
-177
+148
-152
+128
-165
+140
-165
+140
-160
+135
-165
+135
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
217.0 (-110)
217.0 (-110)
219.5 (-109)
219.5 (-113)
216.0 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
219.0 (-108)
219.0 (-112)
215.5 (-110)
215.5 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
215.5 (-108)
215.5 (-113)
219.5 (-108)
219.5 (-113)
217.0 (-110)
217.0 (-110)
219.0 (-115)
219.0 (-105)
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)