Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Dec 21, 2024

Orlando Magic

Orlando Magic
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction & Picks 12/21/2024

  • Date: December 21, 2024
  • Venue: Kia Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat 3 (-110), Orlando Magic -3 (-110)
Over/Under:208.5
Moneyline:Miami Heat 135, Orlando Magic -155


Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 41%Miami Heat - 68%
Orlando Magic - 59%Orlando Magic - 32%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Betting Preview

The Miami Heat (13-12) will face off against the Orlando Magic (17-12) in a much-anticipated Saturday night showdown. Both teams are situated in Florida, adding an extra layer of intensity to this divisional rivalry. The game is set to begin at 7:00 PM ET at the Kia Center, the Magic’s home court.

The Heat are coming off a back-to-back, having lost to the Oklahoma City Thunder 104-97 just yesterday. This tight schedule could be a disadvantage for Miami as their players have had limited time to rest and recuperate. Furthermore, the Heat have struggled on the road recently, losing their last three away games.

On the other hand, the Magic, despite being at home, are also entering the game on a cold streak, having lost three consecutive games, including their last matchup against the Thunder, 105-99. However, they are slight favorites in this contest with a spread of Magic -3.0. The Magic's moneyline sits at -155, implying a 59% chance of victory, while the Heat's moneyline is +135, corresponding to a 41% chance of winning.

For those interested in player props, keep an eye on Jimmy Butler's Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA). This market has garnered significant attention, with sharp bettors focusing on the Under, which is currently priced at Under 25.5 PRA (-110). Many believe that the Under presents value, suggesting that it might be mispriced.

Despite the recent struggles of both teams, the divisional rivalry and the implications of the matchup make it a compelling contest. Whether Miami can overcome fatigue or Orlando snaps their losing skid remains to be seen, but it promises to be a hard-fought battle.


Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 112.53 vs Orlando Magic 106.31

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.0/-108
62% MIA
-3.0/-112
38% ORL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+136
24% MIA
-155
76% ORL

Total Pick Consensus

208.5/-108
15% UN
208.5/-112
85% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
ORL
25
Games
29
39.9
FG
37.5
88.2
FGA
81.1
.452
FG%
.463
14.7
3Pt-FG
11.6
39.1
3Pt-FGA
31.8
.376
3Pt%
.365
25.2
2Pt-FG
25.9
49.1
2Pt-FGA
49.3
.513
2Pt%
.526
17.7
FT
16.9
22.8
FTA
22.2
.777
FT%
.762
10.2
ORB
8.3
33.6
DRB
32.1
43.8
TRB
40.5
26.1
AST
23.0
9.1
STL
7.9
3.5
BLK
4.1
13.2
TOV
16.9
16.2
PF
21.6
112.2
PTS
103.6

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
ORL
25
Games
29
40.6
FG
38.4
87.8
FGA
85.2
.462
FG%
.451
13.8
3Pt-FG
11.5
37.7
3Pt-FGA
37.2
.367
3Pt%
.309
26.7
2Pt-FG
26.9
50.2
2Pt-FGA
48.0
.533
2Pt%
.561
14.5
FT
18.6
18.2
FTA
23.7
.800
FT%
.782
11.1
ORB
10.9
34.6
DRB
31.2
45.6
TRB
42.1
26.9
AST
23.9
7.0
STL
9.4
5.2
BLK
6.8
15.3
TOV
15.2
19.1
PF
20.2
109.5
PTS
106.8

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
ORL
.535
eFG%
.534
11.8
TOV%
15.7
22.7
RB%
78.9
.201
FT/FGA
.209

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
ORL
.541
eFG%
.518
13.8
TOV%
13.7
75.2
RB%
25.3
.165
FT/FGA
.218

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ORL
25
Games
29
40.6
FG
38.6
89.7
FGA
83.5
.452
FG%
.463
14.9
3Pt-FG
12.0
39.8
3Pt-FGA
32.8
.376
3Pt%
.365
25.6
2Pt-FG
26.7
50.0
2Pt-FGA
50.7
.513
2Pt%
.526
18.0
FT
17.4
23.2
FTA
22.9
.777
FT%
.762
10.3
ORB
8.6
34.2
DRB
33.1
44.6
TRB
41.7
26.6
AST
23.6
9.2
STL
8.2
3.6
BLK
4.3
13.4
TOV
17.4
16.5
PF
22.3
114.1
PTS
106.7

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ORL
25
Games
29
41.3
FG
39.5
89.3
FGA
87.7
.462
FG%
.451
14.1
3Pt-FG
11.8
38.3
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.367
3Pt%
.309
27.2
2Pt-FG
27.7
51.0
2Pt-FGA
49.4
.533
2Pt%
.561
14.8
FT
19.1
18.5
FTA
24.4
.800
FT%
.782
11.3
ORB
11.2
35.2
DRB
32.1
46.4
TRB
43.3
27.3
AST
24.6
7.2
STL
9.7
5.3
BLK
7.0
15.6
TOV
15.6
19.4
PF
20.8
111.4
PTS
110.0

MIA
Analytics
ORL
15
Pythag Wins
18
10
Pythag Losses
11
2.68
Margin Of Victory
3.21
114.1
O Rtg
110.0
111.4
D Rtg
106.7
97.1
Pace
97.1
.259
FTr
.279
.443
3PAr
.437
.571
TS%
.558

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA ORL
MIA ORL
Consensus
+1.0 (-109)
-1.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-109)
-3.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-108)
-1.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-112)
-1.5 (-108)
+3.0 (-112)
-3.0 (-109)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA ORL
MIA ORL
Consensus
+100
-118
+131
-154
-105
-115
+136
-162
-102
-116
+134
-158
+100
-118
+120
-141
-105
-115
+140
-165
+105
-130
+125
-155
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-108)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-112)
208.5 (-108)
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
209.5 (-109)
209.5 (-112)
209.0 (-113)
209.0 (-108)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
209.5 (-105)
209.5 (-115)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)