Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Dec 21, 2024

Orlando Magic

Orlando Magic
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction & Picks 12/21/2024

  • Date: December 21, 2024
  • Venue: Kia Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat 3 (-110), Orlando Magic -3 (-110)
Over/Under:208.5
Moneyline:Miami Heat 135, Orlando Magic -155


Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 41%Miami Heat - 68%
Orlando Magic - 59%Orlando Magic - 32%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Betting Preview

The Miami Heat (13-12) will face off against the Orlando Magic (17-12) in a much-anticipated Saturday night showdown. Both teams are situated in Florida, adding an extra layer of intensity to this divisional rivalry. The game is set to begin at 7:00 PM ET at the Kia Center, the Magic’s home court.

The Heat are coming off a back-to-back, having lost to the Oklahoma City Thunder 104-97 just yesterday. This tight schedule could be a disadvantage for Miami as their players have had limited time to rest and recuperate. Furthermore, the Heat have struggled on the road recently, losing their last three away games.

On the other hand, the Magic, despite being at home, are also entering the game on a cold streak, having lost three consecutive games, including their last matchup against the Thunder, 105-99. However, they are slight favorites in this contest with a spread of Magic -3.0. The Magic's moneyline sits at -155, implying a 59% chance of victory, while the Heat's moneyline is +135, corresponding to a 41% chance of winning.

For those interested in player props, keep an eye on Jimmy Butler's Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA). This market has garnered significant attention, with sharp bettors focusing on the Under, which is currently priced at Under 25.5 PRA (-110). Many believe that the Under presents value, suggesting that it might be mispriced.

Despite the recent struggles of both teams, the divisional rivalry and the implications of the matchup make it a compelling contest. Whether Miami can overcome fatigue or Orlando snaps their losing skid remains to be seen, but it promises to be a hard-fought battle.


Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 112.53 vs Orlando Magic 106.31

Get daily NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.0/-110
64% MIA
-2.0/-110
36% ORL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+111
27% MIA
-132
73% ORL

Total Pick Consensus

205.0/-108
10% UN
205.0/-112
90% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
ORL
43
Games
46
39.7
FG
37.7
87.1
FGA
80.0
.456
FG%
.471
14.2
3Pt-FG
11.1
38.9
3Pt-FGA
30.2
.365
3Pt%
.366
25.5
2Pt-FG
26.6
48.2
2Pt-FGA
49.8
.528
2Pt%
.535
17.2
FT
17.9
21.7
FTA
23.3
.791
FT%
.768
9.5
ORB
8.4
34.2
DRB
32.8
43.7
TRB
41.2
26.3
AST
22.3
8.3
STL
8.2
3.8
BLK
4.4
13.3
TOV
16.7
15.8
PF
20.8
110.8
PTS
104.3

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
ORL
43
Games
46
41.3
FG
37.4
89.3
FGA
85.3
.462
FG%
.438
13.7
3Pt-FG
11.1
38.0
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.360
3Pt%
.303
27.6
2Pt-FG
26.3
51.3
2Pt-FGA
48.6
.538
2Pt%
.540
14.2
FT
17.5
18.1
FTA
22.8
.788
FT%
.769
11.2
ORB
11.2
34.7
DRB
30.3
45.9
TRB
41.5
27.1
AST
23.3
7.2
STL
9.3
5.2
BLK
6.3
14.2
TOV
15.0
17.7
PF
20.4
110.5
PTS
103.4

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
ORL
.537
eFG%
.540
12.1
TOV%
15.6
21.5
RB%
78.3
.197
FT/FGA
.223

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
ORL
.539
eFG%
.503
12.7
TOV%
13.6
75.4
RB%
25.4
.159
FT/FGA
.206

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ORL
43
Games
46
40.5
FG
39.1
88.8
FGA
83.1
.456
FG%
.471
14.5
3Pt-FG
11.5
39.6
3Pt-FGA
31.4
.365
3Pt%
.366
26.0
2Pt-FG
27.7
49.1
2Pt-FGA
51.7
.528
2Pt%
.535
17.5
FT
18.6
22.1
FTA
24.2
.791
FT%
.768
9.7
ORB
8.7
34.9
DRB
34.1
44.5
TRB
42.8
26.8
AST
23.2
8.5
STL
8.5
3.8
BLK
4.6
13.6
TOV
17.4
16.1
PF
21.6
112.9
PTS
108.3

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ORL
43
Games
46
42.1
FG
38.8
91.0
FGA
88.6
.462
FG%
.438
14.0
3Pt-FG
11.5
38.7
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.360
3Pt%
.303
28.1
2Pt-FG
27.3
52.2
2Pt-FGA
50.5
.538
2Pt%
.540
14.5
FT
18.2
18.4
FTA
23.7
.788
FT%
.769
11.4
ORB
11.6
35.4
DRB
31.5
46.8
TRB
43.1
27.6
AST
24.2
7.3
STL
9.6
5.3
BLK
6.6
14.4
TOV
15.5
18.0
PF
21.2
112.6
PTS
107.4

MIA
Analytics
ORL
22
Pythag Wins
22
21
Pythag Losses
24
0.28
Margin Of Victory
-0.93
112.9
O Rtg
107.4
112.6
D Rtg
108.3
97.0
Pace
96.3
.249
FTr
.267
.446
3PAr
.430
.573
TS%
.542

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA ORL
MIA ORL
Consensus
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-112)
-1.5 (-108)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-108)
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-105)
-1.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA ORL
MIA ORL
Consensus
+100
-118
+111
-132
-105
-115
+110
-130
-102
-116
+104
-122
+100
-118
+108
-129
-105
-115
+130
-155
+105
-130
+110
-135
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
205.0 (-113)
205.0 (-108)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
205.0 (-112)
205.0 (-108)
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
204.5 (-114)
204.5 (-106)
209.5 (-109)
209.5 (-112)
205.0 (-113)
205.0 (-108)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
209.5 (-105)
209.5 (-115)
204.5 (-115)
204.5 (-105)

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