Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Feb 12, 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick – 2/12/2025


On February 12, 2025, the Miami Heat will face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center, with the game set to tip off at 8:00 PM ET. This matchup features two teams heading in opposite directions, as the Thunder sit comfortably at 43-10, while the Heat struggle at 25-26.

Oklahoma City enters this contest as a massive favorite, boasting a spread of -12.5. The Thunder have been on a roll lately, winning 40 of their last 50 games, and they recently dispatched the New Orleans Pelicans with a dominant 137-101 victory. In contrast, the Miami Heat have lost 12 of their last 20 games, including a disappointing 103-85 defeat to the Boston Celtics in their last outing.

From a betting perspective, the odds reflect a significant disparity in expected outcomes. The Thunder's Moneyline sits at -660, giving them an implied win probability of 84%, while the Heat's Moneyline is +510, translating to just a 16% chance of victory. This stark contrast highlights the Thunder's current form and dominance at home.

For those interested in player props, Isaiah Hartenstein's Points and Rebounds market has garnered considerable attention, with the prop total moving from Over 20.5 Points and Rebounds at -115 to Over 22.5 at -130. Sharp bettors appear to be leaning towards the Over, indicating confidence in Hartenstein's ability to make an impact in this game.


Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 108.92 vs Oklahoma City Thunder 115.27


Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Heat15%32%
Thunder85%68%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+14.0/-108
10% MIA
-14.0/-112
90% OKC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+584
4% MIA
-852
96% OKC

Total Pick Consensus

222.5/-115
12% UN
222.5/-105
88% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
68
Games
68
39.6
FG
37.8
86.5
FGA
86.6
.457
FG%
.436
13.6
3Pt-FG
13.1
38.0
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.358
3Pt%
.337
25.9
2Pt-FG
24.7
48.5
2Pt-FGA
47.9
.535
2Pt%
.516
16.3
FT
18.5
20.7
FTA
24.0
.791
FT%
.771
9.5
ORB
11.9
33.8
DRB
33.4
43.3
TRB
45.3
26.2
AST
24.5
7.9
STL
6.6
3.8
BLK
4.8
13.8
TOV
17.3
15.7
PF
18.4
109.1
PTS
107.1

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
68
Games
68
41.4
FG
44.4
89.0
FGA
92.6
.466
FG%
.479
13.8
3Pt-FG
14.2
38.5
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.359
3Pt%
.366
27.6
2Pt-FG
30.2
50.5
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.547
2Pt%
.561
14.1
FT
16.6
17.9
FTA
20.2
.786
FT%
.823
10.8
ORB
10.8
34.3
DRB
33.9
45.1
TRB
44.7
26.9
AST
26.6
7.5
STL
10.5
4.7
BLK
5.7
13.5
TOV
11.8
17.2
PF
20.2
110.8
PTS
119.6

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
OKC
.536
eFG%
.511
12.6
TOV%
15.1
21.7
RB%
74.0
.189
FT/FGA
.214

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
OKC
.543
eFG%
.556
12.3
TOV%
10.4
75.8
RB%
24.5
.158
FT/FGA
.180

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
68
Games
68
40.6
FG
37.8
88.7
FGA
86.7
.457
FG%
.436
14.0
3Pt-FG
13.1
39.0
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.358
3Pt%
.337
26.6
2Pt-FG
24.7
49.7
2Pt-FGA
47.9
.535
2Pt%
.516
16.8
FT
18.5
21.2
FTA
24.0
.791
FT%
.771
9.7
ORB
11.9
34.6
DRB
33.4
44.4
TRB
45.4
26.9
AST
24.5
8.1
STL
6.6
3.9
BLK
4.8
14.1
TOV
17.3
16.1
PF
18.4
111.8
PTS
107.2

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
68
Games
68
42.5
FG
44.4
91.2
FGA
92.7
.466
FG%
.479
14.2
3Pt-FG
14.2
39.5
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.359
3Pt%
.366
28.3
2Pt-FG
30.2
51.8
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.547
2Pt%
.561
14.5
FT
16.7
18.4
FTA
20.2
.786
FT%
.823
11.1
ORB
10.8
35.2
DRB
33.9
46.2
TRB
44.8
27.5
AST
26.6
7.7
STL
10.5
4.8
BLK
5.7
13.9
TOV
11.8
17.7
PF
20.2
113.6
PTS
119.7

MIA
Analytics
OKC
30
Pythag Wins
56
38
Pythag Losses
12
-1.68
Margin Of Victory
12.44
111.8
O Rtg
119.7
113.6
D Rtg
107.2
96.2
Pace
99.8
.239
FTr
.219
.440
3PAr
.419
.570
TS%
.589

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA OKC
MIA OKC
Consensus
+12.0 (-110)
-12.0 (-110)
+14.0 (-110)
-14.0 (-109)
+12.0 (-108)
-12.0 (-110)
+14.0 (-108)
-14.0 (-112)
+13.0 (-110)
-13.0 (-110)
+14.0 (-110)
-14.0 (-110)
+13.0 (-112)
-13.0 (-112)
+14.0 (-112)
-14.0 (-109)
+12.5 (-115)
-12.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-115)
-13.5 (-105)
+12.5 (-115)
-12.5 (-105)
+14.5 (-115)
-14.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA OKC
MIA OKC
Consensus
+475
-700
+584
-852
+500
-700
+600
-900
+460
-620
+610
-900
+510
-715
+550
-770
+500
-700
+550
-800
+500
-700
+625
-1000
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
222.5 (-109)
222.5 (-112)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
222.0 (-105)
222.0 (-115)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
218.5 (-112)
218.5 (-109)
222.5 (-108)
222.5 (-112)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
222.0 (-115)
222.0 (-105)
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)
221.5 (-115)
221.5 (-105)

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