Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction – 4/11/2025

On April 11, 2025, the Miami Heat will clash with the New Orleans Pelicans at 8:00 PM ET in the Smoothie King Center. This matchup carries significant implications, especially for the Heat, who are heavily favored with a spread of -13.5. With an implied win probability of 85%, Miami enters the contest with confidence, despite a challenging stretch, having lost 30 of their last 50 games. Their most recent outing saw them fall to the Chicago Bulls, 119-111.

In contrast, the Pelicans are struggling mightily, having lost five consecutive games, including a blowout loss to the Milwaukee Bucks, 136-111. This matchup marks a back-to-back for New Orleans, which may pose a significant disadvantage given the limited rest. As the Pelicans attempt to rejuvenate their performance, fatigue could be a telling factor.

For bettors, Tyler Herro’s Points, Rebounds, and Assists market has emerged as a focal point, with many expecting value in the Over at 32.5. Sharp bettors are leaning toward this prop, indicating confidence in Herro’s ability to contribute significantly, particularly against a defense that has been inconsistent.

Overall, with Miami’s status as a massive favorite and New Orleans’ current plight, this game shapes up to be a challenging one for the Pelicans. The Heat will look to capitalize on their opponent's fatigue and recent struggles, while the Pelicans will seek any spark to turn their fortunes around. As the clock ticks down to game time, all eyes will be on how each team manages their respective issues on the court.

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 113.42 vs New Orleans Pelicans 115.97

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Win Probabilities

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