Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Mar 15, 2025

Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis Grizzlies
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction – 3/15/2025


On March 15, 2025, the Miami Heat will face off against the Memphis Grizzlies in a Saturday night showdown at FedExForum, scheduled for 8:00 PM ET. Both teams come into this matchup on the second night of back-to-back games, which could be a significant factor as they battle for a crucial victory.

The Miami Heat, currently sitting at 29-37, are struggling, having dropped six consecutive games, including a recent loss to the Boston Celtics, 103-91. Their recent form suggests fatigue may be an issue, especially with the quick turnaround after last night's game. With an implied win probability of just 28%, the Heat will need to find a way to break their slump against a dominant opponent.

On the other side, the Memphis Grizzlies, boasting a record of 42-25, enter the contest as heavy favorites. Despite also playing on no rest, the Grizzlies are in a better position, having recently won 32 of their last 50 games, indicating a strong stretch of play. However, they suffered a loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers, 133-124, that could add pressure to bounce back on their home court.

The betting lines reflect this disparity, with the Grizzlies favored by 7.5 points and a moneyline of -300, while the Heat are at +250. This matchup not only highlights the Grizzlies' better overall performance this season but also places significant pressure on the Heat to rediscover their winning ways. With both teams fatigued from back-to-back games, this contest promises to be an intriguing battle of endurance and resilience.


Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 114.4 vs Memphis Grizzlies 124.69


Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Heat28%21%
Grizzlies72%79%

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+6.0/-110
43% MIA
-6.0/-110
57% MEM

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+189
9% MIA
-227
91% MEM

Total Pick Consensus

224.5/-108
12% UN
224.5/-112
88% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
MEM
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
41.9
87.0
FGA
91.8
.465
FG%
.456
13.7
3Pt-FG
14.2
37.3
3Pt-FGA
39.4
.367
3Pt%
.360
26.8
2Pt-FG
27.7
49.7
2Pt-FGA
52.4
.538
2Pt%
.529
16.0
FT
18.9
20.2
FTA
24.5
.791
FT%
.770
9.7
ORB
11.5
33.7
DRB
32.0
43.4
TRB
43.5
26.4
AST
27.0
8.1
STL
8.7
3.8
BLK
5.5
13.6
TOV
15.1
15.5
PF
20.2
110.6
PTS
116.9

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
MEM
82
Games
82
41.3
FG
44.8
88.6
FGA
93.3
.466
FG%
.479
13.6
3Pt-FG
13.9
37.9
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.360
3Pt%
.367
27.6
2Pt-FG
30.8
50.6
2Pt-FGA
55.5
.545
2Pt%
.556
13.9
FT
18.3
17.9
FTA
23.3
.776
FT%
.786
10.7
ORB
12.9
33.9
DRB
34.4
44.7
TRB
47.3
26.5
AST
28.4
7.5
STL
8.9
4.7
BLK
5.6
13.8
TOV
15.7
17.0
PF
20.9
110.0
PTS
121.7

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
MEM
.544
eFG%
.533
12.4
TOV%
12.9
22.3
RB%
74.9
.183
FT/FGA
.206

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
MEM
.543
eFG%
.554
12.5
TOV%
13.1
75.8
RB%
28.7
.157
FT/FGA
.196

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MEM
82
Games
82
41.5
FG
40.5
89.3
FGA
88.8
.465
FG%
.456
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.7
38.3
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.367
3Pt%
.360
27.5
2Pt-FG
26.8
51.0
2Pt-FGA
50.7
.538
2Pt%
.529
16.4
FT
18.3
20.7
FTA
23.7
.791
FT%
.770
10.0
ORB
11.1
34.5
DRB
31.0
44.5
TRB
42.1
27.1
AST
26.2
8.4
STL
8.4
3.9
BLK
5.3
13.9
TOV
14.6
16.0
PF
19.5
113.5
PTS
113.0

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MEM
82
Games
82
42.3
FG
43.3
90.9
FGA
90.3
.466
FG%
.479
14.0
3Pt-FG
13.5
38.9
3Pt-FGA
36.6
.360
3Pt%
.367
28.3
2Pt-FG
29.8
52.0
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.545
2Pt%
.556
14.3
FT
17.7
18.4
FTA
22.5
.776
FT%
.786
11.0
ORB
12.5
34.8
DRB
33.3
45.8
TRB
45.7
27.2
AST
27.5
7.7
STL
8.6
4.8
BLK
5.4
14.2
TOV
15.2
17.4
PF
20.2
112.9
PTS
117.7

MIA
Analytics
MEM
42
Pythag Wins
52
40
Pythag Losses
30
0.56
Margin Of Victory
4.85
113.5
O Rtg
117.7
112.9
D Rtg
113.0
96.2
Pace
103.3
.232
FTr
.249
.429
3PAr
.406
.576
TS%
.588

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA MEM
MIA MEM
Consensus
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-111)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+7.5 (-108)
-7.5 (-112)
+6.0 (-108)
-6.0 (-112)
+7.5 (-109)
-7.5 (-108)
+6.0 (-109)
-6.0 (-112)
+7.0 (-115)
-7.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-115)
-6.0 (-105)
+7.5 (-102)
-7.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-102)
-5.5 (-118)
Open
Current
Book
MIA MEM
MIA MEM
Consensus
+250
-325
+189
-227
+220
-270
+195
-238
+250
-310
+190
-230
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
224.5 (-111)
224.5 (-109)
230.0 (-110)
230.0 (-110)
224.5 (-112)
224.5 (-108)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
225.0 (-108)
225.0 (-113)
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
224.5 (-115)
224.5 (-105)
228.5 (-105)
228.5 (-115)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)

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