Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Mar 15, 2025

Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis Grizzlies
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction – 3/15/2025


On March 15, 2025, the Miami Heat will face off against the Memphis Grizzlies in a Saturday night showdown at FedExForum, scheduled for 8:00 PM ET. Both teams come into this matchup on the second night of back-to-back games, which could be a significant factor as they battle for a crucial victory.

The Miami Heat, currently sitting at 29-37, are struggling, having dropped six consecutive games, including a recent loss to the Boston Celtics, 103-91. Their recent form suggests fatigue may be an issue, especially with the quick turnaround after last night's game. With an implied win probability of just 28%, the Heat will need to find a way to break their slump against a dominant opponent.

On the other side, the Memphis Grizzlies, boasting a record of 42-25, enter the contest as heavy favorites. Despite also playing on no rest, the Grizzlies are in a better position, having recently won 32 of their last 50 games, indicating a strong stretch of play. However, they suffered a loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers, 133-124, that could add pressure to bounce back on their home court.

The betting lines reflect this disparity, with the Grizzlies favored by 7.5 points and a moneyline of -300, while the Heat are at +250. This matchup not only highlights the Grizzlies' better overall performance this season but also places significant pressure on the Heat to rediscover their winning ways. With both teams fatigued from back-to-back games, this contest promises to be an intriguing battle of endurance and resilience.


Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 114.4 vs Memphis Grizzlies 124.69


Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Heat28%21%
Grizzlies72%79%

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+6.0/-110
39% MIA
Fanatics
-6.0/-110
61% MEM

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+195
10% MIA
Caesars
-238
90% MEM

Total Pick Consensus

224.5/-108
15% UN
Caesars
224.5/-112
85% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
MEM
66
Games
67
39.6
FG
42.1
86.6
FGA
92.4
.458
FG%
.456
13.8
3Pt-FG
14.0
38.3
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.361
3Pt%
.358
25.8
2Pt-FG
28.1
48.3
2Pt-FGA
53.1
.535
2Pt%
.529
16.5
FT
18.7
20.9
FTA
24.6
.790
FT%
.759
9.5
ORB
11.9
33.9
DRB
31.5
43.4
TRB
43.4
26.3
AST
27.0
7.9
STL
9.0
3.7
BLK
5.7
13.7
TOV
15.5
15.8
PF
20.7
109.6
PTS
117.0

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
MEM
66
Games
67
41.2
FG
45.0
88.8
FGA
93.6
.464
FG%
.481
13.8
3Pt-FG
13.7
38.7
3Pt-FGA
37.5
.357
3Pt%
.366
27.4
2Pt-FG
31.3
50.2
2Pt-FGA
56.1
.546
2Pt%
.558
14.3
FT
18.8
18.2
FTA
24.1
.784
FT%
.780
10.7
ORB
13.3
34.3
DRB
34.3
45.0
TRB
47.6
26.7
AST
28.9
7.5
STL
9.0
4.7
BLK
5.9
13.6
TOV
16.1
17.3
PF
21.1
110.5
PTS
122.7

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
MEM
.538
eFG%
.532
12.5
TOV%
13.1
21.7
RB%
74.2
.190
FT/FGA
.202

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
MEM
.541
eFG%
.554
12.3
TOV%
13.4
76.0
RB%
29.6
.161
FT/FGA
.201

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MEM
66
Games
67
40.6
FG
40.5
88.7
FGA
88.9
.458
FG%
.456
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.5
39.2
3Pt-FGA
37.7
.361
3Pt%
.358
26.5
2Pt-FG
27.0
49.5
2Pt-FGA
51.1
.535
2Pt%
.529
16.9
FT
18.0
21.4
FTA
23.7
.790
FT%
.759
9.7
ORB
11.4
34.8
DRB
30.3
44.5
TRB
41.8
26.9
AST
26.0
8.1
STL
8.6
3.8
BLK
5.5
14.0
TOV
14.9
16.2
PF
19.9
112.3
PTS
112.5

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MEM
66
Games
67
42.2
FG
43.3
91.1
FGA
90.1
.464
FG%
.481
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.2
39.6
3Pt-FGA
36.1
.357
3Pt%
.366
28.1
2Pt-FG
30.1
51.4
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.546
2Pt%
.558
14.6
FT
18.1
18.7
FTA
23.2
.784
FT%
.780
11.0
ORB
12.8
35.2
DRB
33.0
46.2
TRB
45.8
27.4
AST
27.8
7.6
STL
8.7
4.8
BLK
5.7
13.9
TOV
15.5
17.7
PF
20.3
113.2
PTS
118.0

MIA
Analytics
MEM
31
Pythag Wins
44
35
Pythag Losses
23
-0.89
Margin Of Victory
5.69
112.3
O Rtg
118.0
113.2
D Rtg
112.5
96.2
Pace
103.8
.241
FTr
.258
.442
3PAr
.401
.572
TS%
.588

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA MEM
MIA MEM
Consensus
+7.0 (-113)
-7.0 (-110)
+6.5 (-113)
-6.5 (-108)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-112)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+7.5 (-112)
-7.5 (-108)
+6.5 (-112)
-6.5 (-109)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+7.0 (-115)
-7.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-115)
-6.0 (-105)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA MEM
MIA MEM
Consensus
+250
-325
+195
-234
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
+220
-270
+195
-238
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+250
-310
+190
-230
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+220
-275
+190
-230
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+250
-320
+196
-240
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+260
-325
+200
-250
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
224.0 (-111)
224.0 (-109)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
230.0 (-110)
230.0 (-110)
224.5 (-112)
224.5 (-108)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
224.0 (-106)
224.0 (-114)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
224.0 (-112)
224.0 (-108)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
224.0 (-105)
224.0 (-115)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
228.5 (-105)
228.5 (-115)
224.5 (-115)
224.5 (-105)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
MIA
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
MEM
0-3-0
Win/Loss/Tie
2-1-0
0-3-0
ATS W/L/P
0-3-0
99
Avg Score
122
109
Avg Opp Score
122
0-5-0
Win/Loss/Tie
4-1-0
1-4-0
ATS W/L/P
1-4-0
102
Avg Score
119
109.4
Avg Opp Score
116.2
3-7-0
Win/Loss/Tie
5-5-0
6-4-0
ATS W/L/P
1-9-0
109.1
Avg Score
122
109.4
Avg Opp Score
122.5
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
01/24/24
MEM
214.5
+427
21
MIA
-11.0
-588
22
11/08/23
MIA
217.5
-124
33
MEM
2.0
+103
26
03/15/23
MEM
219.5
+147
27
MIA
-4.0
-178
29
12/05/22
MIA
218.5
-211
32
MEM
5.5
+175
27
12/06/21
MEM
214.0
+189
34
MIA
-6.0
-233
25
10/30/21
MIA
215.5
+128
38
MEM
-3.0
-152
22
04/06/21
MEM
216.0
+207
37
MIA
-6.5
-257
34
03/17/21
MIA
220.0
-117
22
MEM
1.0
-103
25
12/16/19
MIA
217.5
-156
32
MEM
3.5
+129
36
10/23/19
MEM
213.0
+223
32
MIA
-7.0
-279
24

Miami Heat

03/14/25
BOS
261.0
-374
37
MIA
11.4
+308
28
03/12/25
LAC
295.9
+155
43
MIA
-2.9
-182
29
03/10/25
CHA
296.4
+433
29
MIA
-12.3
-553
46
03/08/25
CHI
209.3
+155
22
MIA
-5.1
-185
33
03/07/25
MIN
104.9
-76
16
MIA
0.8
+65
12
03/05/25
MIA
120.3
+321
18
CLE
-7.4
-481
20
03/03/25
WAS
75.1
+98
3
MIA
-2.9
-122
11
02/28/25
IND
294.6
-199
46
MIA
5.2
+167
38
02/26/25
ATL
225.4
+123
27
MIA
-2.9
-146
28
02/24/25
MIA
211.8
+102
20
ATL
-1.8
-121
21

Memphis Grizzlies

03/14/25
CLE
299.7
-164
44
MEM
3.8
+137
36
03/12/25
UTA
355.4
+542
34
MEM
-15.0
-702
43
03/10/25
PHO
334.0
+161
46
MEM
-3.4
-189
36
03/09/25
MEM
392.9
-787
43
NO
16.4
+612
44
03/07/25
MEM
114.7
-222
11
DAL
2.3
+172
15
03/05/25
OKC
138.6
-145
16
MEM
2.1
+120
15
03/03/25
ATL
86.5
+86
3
MEM
-2.8
-106
12
03/01/25
SA
100.4
+73
13
MEM
-2.3
-87
12
02/28/25
NY
322.9
+154
33
MEM
-3.3
-183
42
02/23/25
MEM
99.0
+76
12
CLE
-2.4
-91
13

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