Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Mar 15, 2025

Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis Grizzlies
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction – 3/15/2025


On March 15, 2025, the Miami Heat will face off against the Memphis Grizzlies in a Saturday night showdown at FedExForum, scheduled for 8:00 PM ET. Both teams come into this matchup on the second night of back-to-back games, which could be a significant factor as they battle for a crucial victory.

The Miami Heat, currently sitting at 29-37, are struggling, having dropped six consecutive games, including a recent loss to the Boston Celtics, 103-91. Their recent form suggests fatigue may be an issue, especially with the quick turnaround after last night's game. With an implied win probability of just 28%, the Heat will need to find a way to break their slump against a dominant opponent.

On the other side, the Memphis Grizzlies, boasting a record of 42-25, enter the contest as heavy favorites. Despite also playing on no rest, the Grizzlies are in a better position, having recently won 32 of their last 50 games, indicating a strong stretch of play. However, they suffered a loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers, 133-124, that could add pressure to bounce back on their home court.

The betting lines reflect this disparity, with the Grizzlies favored by 7.5 points and a moneyline of -300, while the Heat are at +250. This matchup not only highlights the Grizzlies' better overall performance this season but also places significant pressure on the Heat to rediscover their winning ways. With both teams fatigued from back-to-back games, this contest promises to be an intriguing battle of endurance and resilience.


Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 114.4 vs Memphis Grizzlies 124.69


Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Heat28%21%
Grizzlies72%79%

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+7.0/-112
39% MIA
-7.0/-108
61% MEM

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+220
10% MIA
-270
90% MEM

Total Pick Consensus

225.5/-108
15% UN
225.5/-112
85% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
MEM
66
Games
67
39.6
FG
42.1
86.6
FGA
92.4
.458
FG%
.456
13.8
3Pt-FG
14.0
38.3
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.361
3Pt%
.358
25.8
2Pt-FG
28.1
48.3
2Pt-FGA
53.1
.535
2Pt%
.529
16.5
FT
18.7
20.9
FTA
24.6
.790
FT%
.759
9.5
ORB
11.9
33.9
DRB
31.5
43.4
TRB
43.4
26.3
AST
27.0
7.9
STL
9.0
3.7
BLK
5.7
13.7
TOV
15.5
15.8
PF
20.7
109.6
PTS
117.0

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
MEM
66
Games
67
41.2
FG
45.0
88.8
FGA
93.6
.464
FG%
.481
13.8
3Pt-FG
13.7
38.7
3Pt-FGA
37.5
.357
3Pt%
.366
27.4
2Pt-FG
31.3
50.2
2Pt-FGA
56.1
.546
2Pt%
.558
14.3
FT
18.8
18.2
FTA
24.1
.784
FT%
.780
10.7
ORB
13.3
34.3
DRB
34.3
45.0
TRB
47.6
26.7
AST
28.9
7.5
STL
9.0
4.7
BLK
5.9
13.6
TOV
16.1
17.3
PF
21.1
110.5
PTS
122.7

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
MEM
.538
eFG%
.532
12.5
TOV%
13.1
21.7
RB%
74.2
.190
FT/FGA
.202

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
MEM
.541
eFG%
.554
12.3
TOV%
13.4
76.0
RB%
29.6
.161
FT/FGA
.201

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MEM
66
Games
67
40.6
FG
40.5
88.7
FGA
88.9
.458
FG%
.456
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.5
39.2
3Pt-FGA
37.7
.361
3Pt%
.358
26.5
2Pt-FG
27.0
49.5
2Pt-FGA
51.1
.535
2Pt%
.529
16.9
FT
18.0
21.4
FTA
23.7
.790
FT%
.759
9.7
ORB
11.4
34.8
DRB
30.3
44.5
TRB
41.8
26.9
AST
26.0
8.1
STL
8.6
3.8
BLK
5.5
14.0
TOV
14.9
16.2
PF
19.9
112.3
PTS
112.5

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MEM
66
Games
67
42.2
FG
43.3
91.1
FGA
90.1
.464
FG%
.481
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.2
39.6
3Pt-FGA
36.1
.357
3Pt%
.366
28.1
2Pt-FG
30.1
51.4
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.546
2Pt%
.558
14.6
FT
18.1
18.7
FTA
23.2
.784
FT%
.780
11.0
ORB
12.8
35.2
DRB
33.0
46.2
TRB
45.8
27.4
AST
27.8
7.6
STL
8.7
4.8
BLK
5.7
13.9
TOV
15.5
17.7
PF
20.3
113.2
PTS
118.0

MIA
Analytics
MEM
31
Pythag Wins
44
35
Pythag Losses
23
-0.89
Margin Of Victory
5.69
112.3
O Rtg
118.0
113.2
D Rtg
112.5
96.2
Pace
103.8
.241
FTr
.258
.442
3PAr
.401
.572
TS%
.588

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA MEM
MIA MEM
Consensus
+7.0 (-111)
-7.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-111)
-7.0 (-109)
+6.5 (-112)
-6.5 (-110)
+7.0 (-112)
-7.0 (-108)
+7.5 (-108)
-7.5 (-112)
+7.0 (-108)
-7.0 (-112)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-108)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
MIA MEM
MIA MEM
Consensus
+250
-325
+216
-261
+220
-270
+220
-270
+250
-310
+240
-295
+220
-275
+205
-250
+250
-320
+215
-267
+260
-325
+220
-275
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
225.5 (-111)
225.5 (-110)
230.0 (-110)
230.0 (-110)
225.5 (-112)
225.5 (-108)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
225.0 (-105)
225.0 (-115)
228.5 (-105)
228.5 (-115)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)

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