Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Nov 12, 2024

Detroit Pistons

Detroit Pistons
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Betting Pick & Preview – 11/12/2024

  • Date: November 12, 2024
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Betting Odds

Spread: Miami Heat -1.5 (-110), Detroit Pistons 1.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 215
Moneyline: Miami Heat -120, Detroit Pistons 100

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 52% Miami Heat - 56%
Detroit Pistons - 48% Detroit Pistons - 44%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Betting Preview

The Miami Heat (4-5) are set to face off against the Detroit Pistons (4-7) in a Tuesday night NBA Cup clash at Little Caesars Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 7:00 PM ET. Despite being on the road, the Heat are slight favorites, with a spread of -1.5 and a moneyline of -120, indicating an implied win probability of 52%. Meanwhile, the Pistons, with a moneyline of +100, hold a 48% chance of securing a victory.

Both teams have struggled recently, with the Heat losing three of their last four games and the Pistons dropping six of their last ten. However, Miami comes into this matchup with a bit of momentum, having pulled off a narrow 95-94 upset over the Minnesota Timberwolves in their previous outing. Entering that game as a 7.5-point underdog with just a 29% win probability, the Heat managed to defy the odds.

The Pistons will be looking to bounce back after a close 101-99 loss to the Houston Rockets. Detroit's Cade Cunningham is a player to watch, especially in the player prop market. His points and rebounds have attracted significant betting interest, with sharp bettors leaning towards the Under. The prop total opened at Under 29.5 points and rebounds (-115) and has since moved to 28.5 (-120), indicating strong action on the Under.

This matchup presents an intriguing betting opportunity, especially for those interested in player props and team dynamics. With both teams eager to find their footing early in the season, expect a hard-fought battle in Detroit. Whether Miami can capitalize on their recent victory or if Detroit will protect their home court is the question bettors will be eager to see answered.

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 112.55 vs Detroit Pistons 110.43

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.5/-112
81% MIA
+1.5/-108
19% DET

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-123
69% MIA
+103
31% DET

Total Pick Consensus

214.5/-108
20% UN
214.5/-112
80% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
DET
10
Games
12
39.4
FG
40.2
88.8
FGA
88.3
.444
FG%
.455
14.8
3Pt-FG
13.0
38.1
3Pt-FGA
36.8
.388
3Pt%
.354
24.6
2Pt-FG
27.2
50.7
2Pt-FGA
51.6
.485
2Pt%
.527
16.6
FT
17.3
22.3
FTA
22.5
.744
FT%
.767
10.8
ORB
9.8
32.2
DRB
31.2
43.0
TRB
41.0
25.4
AST
24.8
9.9
STL
10.7
4.5
BLK
4.3
13.1
TOV
12.5
17.9
PF
18.6
110.2
PTS
110.6

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
DET
10
Games
12
40.7
FG
40.2
88.0
FGA
86.3
.463
FG%
.465
14.2
3Pt-FG
11.8
38.9
3Pt-FGA
34.8
.365
3Pt%
.341
26.5
2Pt-FG
28.3
49.1
2Pt-FGA
51.6
.540
2Pt%
.549
15.6
FT
16.3
19.4
FTA
21.0
.804
FT%
.774
12.5
ORB
11.3
34.5
DRB
35.4
47.0
TRB
46.7
25.8
AST
24.6
7.2
STL
5.1
5.7
BLK
5.6
16.1
TOV
17.4
19.6
PF
20.8
111.2
PTS
108.4

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
DET
.527
eFG%
.528
11.7
TOV%
11.3
23.8
RB%
78.3
.187
FT/FGA
.195

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
DET
.543
eFG%
.534
14.3
TOV%
15.4
72.0
RB%
26.5
.177
FT/FGA
.188

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DET
10
Games
12
40.2
FG
40.6
90.6
FGA
89.4
.444
FG%
.455
15.1
3Pt-FG
13.2
38.9
3Pt-FGA
37.2
.388
3Pt%
.354
25.1
2Pt-FG
27.5
51.8
2Pt-FGA
52.2
.485
2Pt%
.527
16.9
FT
17.5
22.8
FTA
22.8
.744
FT%
.767
11.0
ORB
9.9
32.9
DRB
31.5
43.9
TRB
41.5
25.9
AST
25.1
10.1
STL
10.8
4.6
BLK
4.3
13.4
TOV
12.6
18.3
PF
18.8
112.5
PTS
111.9

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DET
10
Games
12
41.5
FG
40.6
89.8
FGA
87.3
.463
FG%
.465
14.5
3Pt-FG
12.0
39.7
3Pt-FGA
35.2
.365
3Pt%
.341
27.1
2Pt-FG
28.7
50.1
2Pt-FGA
52.2
.540
2Pt%
.549
15.9
FT
16.4
19.8
FTA
21.2
.804
FT%
.774
12.8
ORB
11.4
35.2
DRB
35.8
48.0
TRB
47.2
26.3
AST
24.9
7.3
STL
5.1
5.8
BLK
5.6
16.4
TOV
17.6
20.0
PF
21.0
113.5
PTS
109.7

MIA
Analytics
DET
5
Pythag Wins
5
5
Pythag Losses
7
-1.00
Margin Of Victory
-2.17
112.5
O Rtg
109.7
113.5
D Rtg
111.9
97.0
Pace
98.0
.251
FTr
.243
.429
3PAr
.403
.559
TS%
.567

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA DET
MIA DET
Consensus
-4.0 (-112)
+4.0 (-112)
-1.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-109)
-3.0 (-112)
+3.0 (-110)
-1.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-108)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-108)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-4.0 (-112)
+4.0 (-112)
-1.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-109)
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA DET
MIA DET
Consensus
-177
+148
-123
+103
-148
+124
-122
+102
-164
+138
-120
+102
-177
+148
-124
+104
-145
+122
-120
+100
-175
+145
-120
+100
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
218.5 (-108)
218.5 (-113)
214.5 (-112)
214.5 (-109)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
214.0 (-112)
214.0 (-108)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
218.5 (-108)
218.5 (-113)
214.5 (-113)
214.5 (-108)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
214.0 (-105)
214.0 (-115)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)