Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Nov 12, 2024

Detroit Pistons

Detroit Pistons
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Betting Pick & Preview – 11/12/2024

  • Date: November 12, 2024
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Betting Odds

Spread: Miami Heat -1.5 (-110), Detroit Pistons 1.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 215
Moneyline: Miami Heat -120, Detroit Pistons 100

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 52% Miami Heat - 56%
Detroit Pistons - 48% Detroit Pistons - 44%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Betting Preview

The Miami Heat (4-5) are set to face off against the Detroit Pistons (4-7) in a Tuesday night NBA Cup clash at Little Caesars Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 7:00 PM ET. Despite being on the road, the Heat are slight favorites, with a spread of -1.5 and a moneyline of -120, indicating an implied win probability of 52%. Meanwhile, the Pistons, with a moneyline of +100, hold a 48% chance of securing a victory.

Both teams have struggled recently, with the Heat losing three of their last four games and the Pistons dropping six of their last ten. However, Miami comes into this matchup with a bit of momentum, having pulled off a narrow 95-94 upset over the Minnesota Timberwolves in their previous outing. Entering that game as a 7.5-point underdog with just a 29% win probability, the Heat managed to defy the odds.

The Pistons will be looking to bounce back after a close 101-99 loss to the Houston Rockets. Detroit's Cade Cunningham is a player to watch, especially in the player prop market. His points and rebounds have attracted significant betting interest, with sharp bettors leaning towards the Under. The prop total opened at Under 29.5 points and rebounds (-115) and has since moved to 28.5 (-120), indicating strong action on the Under.

This matchup presents an intriguing betting opportunity, especially for those interested in player props and team dynamics. With both teams eager to find their footing early in the season, expect a hard-fought battle in Detroit. Whether Miami can capitalize on their recent victory or if Detroit will protect their home court is the question bettors will be eager to see answered.

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 112.55 vs Detroit Pistons 110.43

Get daily NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.5/-112
81% MIA
+1.5/-108
19% DET

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-123
69% MIA
+103
31% DET

Total Pick Consensus

214.5/-108
20% UN
214.5/-112
80% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
DET
66
Games
67
39.6
FG
40.3
86.6
FGA
87.6
.458
FG%
.460
13.8
3Pt-FG
13.8
38.3
3Pt-FGA
37.6
.361
3Pt%
.368
25.8
2Pt-FG
26.5
48.3
2Pt-FGA
50.1
.535
2Pt%
.530
16.5
FT
18.7
20.9
FTA
24.0
.790
FT%
.777
9.5
ORB
10.1
33.9
DRB
31.9
43.4
TRB
42.0
26.3
AST
25.0
7.9
STL
9.2
3.7
BLK
4.8
13.7
TOV
15.1
15.8
PF
18.7
109.6
PTS
113.2

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
DET
66
Games
67
41.2
FG
42.6
88.8
FGA
89.6
.464
FG%
.475
13.8
3Pt-FG
12.8
38.7
3Pt-FGA
35.5
.357
3Pt%
.359
27.4
2Pt-FG
29.8
50.2
2Pt-FGA
54.1
.546
2Pt%
.551
14.3
FT
17.0
18.2
FTA
21.8
.784
FT%
.779
10.7
ORB
11.4
34.3
DRB
34.0
45.0
TRB
45.4
26.7
AST
26.3
7.5
STL
8.1
4.7
BLK
5.2
13.6
TOV
15.4
17.3
PF
20.6
110.5
PTS
115.0

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
DET
.538
eFG%
.539
12.5
TOV%
13.4
21.7
RB%
77.1
.190
FT/FGA
.213

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
DET
.541
eFG%
.546
12.3
TOV%
13.5
76.0
RB%
26.3
.161
FT/FGA
.190

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DET
66
Games
67
40.6
FG
40.1
88.7
FGA
87.0
.458
FG%
.460
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.7
39.2
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.361
3Pt%
.368
26.5
2Pt-FG
26.3
49.5
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.535
2Pt%
.530
16.9
FT
18.5
21.4
FTA
23.8
.790
FT%
.777
9.7
ORB
10.1
34.8
DRB
31.7
44.5
TRB
41.7
26.9
AST
24.8
8.1
STL
9.2
3.8
BLK
4.8
14.0
TOV
15.0
16.2
PF
18.5
112.3
PTS
112.4

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DET
66
Games
67
42.2
FG
42.3
91.1
FGA
89.1
.464
FG%
.475
14.1
3Pt-FG
12.7
39.6
3Pt-FGA
35.3
.357
3Pt%
.359
28.1
2Pt-FG
29.6
51.4
2Pt-FGA
53.7
.546
2Pt%
.551
14.6
FT
16.9
18.7
FTA
21.7
.784
FT%
.779
11.0
ORB
11.3
35.2
DRB
33.8
46.2
TRB
45.1
27.4
AST
26.1
7.6
STL
8.1
4.8
BLK
5.2
13.9
TOV
15.3
17.7
PF
20.4
113.2
PTS
114.2

MIA
Analytics
DET
31
Pythag Wins
37
35
Pythag Losses
30
-0.89
Margin Of Victory
1.78
112.3
O Rtg
114.2
113.2
D Rtg
112.4
96.2
Pace
100.0
.241
FTr
.243
.442
3PAr
.396
.572
TS%
.579

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA DET
MIA DET
Consensus
-4.0 (-112)
+4.0 (-112)
-1.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-109)
-3.0 (-112)
+3.0 (-110)
-1.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-108)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-108)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-4.0 (-112)
+4.0 (-112)
-1.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-109)
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA DET
MIA DET
Consensus
-177
+148
-123
+103
-148
+124
-122
+102
-164
+138
-120
+102
-177
+148
-124
+104
-145
+122
-120
+100
-175
+145
-120
+100
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
218.5 (-108)
218.5 (-113)
214.5 (-112)
214.5 (-109)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
214.0 (-112)
214.0 (-108)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
218.5 (-108)
218.5 (-113)
214.5 (-113)
214.5 (-108)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
214.0 (-105)
214.0 (-115)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)

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