Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Feb 13, 2025

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction – 2/13/2025


On February 13, 2025, the Miami Heat will face off against the Dallas Mavericks at 8:30 PM ET at the American Airlines Center. This matchup features two teams struggling to find their rhythm, with both entering the game on the heels of back-to-back contests. The Heat, currently sitting at 25-27, are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, having recently fallen to the Oklahoma City Thunder 115-101. Meanwhile, the Mavericks, with a record of 29-26, are coming off a surprising victory against the Golden State Warriors, winning 111-107 as 7.5-point underdogs.

Despite their recent struggles, the Heat are slight favorites in this contest, with a spread of Heat -2.0 and a moneyline of -125, giving them an implied win probability of 53%. The Mavericks, on the other hand, are listed at +105 on the moneyline, translating to a 47% implied probability of victory. Both teams have faced challenges lately, with the Mavericks losing 15 of their last 25 games, which adds an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup.

Betting trends indicate that sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under in player prop markets, particularly focusing on Klay Thompson's points. The prop total for Thompson opened at Under 17.5 Points (-105) but has since moved to 16.5 (-130), reflecting a shift in confidence regarding his scoring output.


Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 122.76 vs Dallas Mavericks 103.81


Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Heat52%93%
Mavericks48%7%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-3.0/-112
30% MIA
+3.0/-108
70% DAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-146
36% MIA
+124
64% DAL

Total Pick Consensus

217.5/-110
36% UN
217.5/-110
64% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
43.1
87.0
FGA
91.7
.465
FG%
.469
13.7
3Pt-FG
12.9
37.3
3Pt-FGA
35.4
.367
3Pt%
.363
26.8
2Pt-FG
30.2
49.7
2Pt-FGA
56.3
.538
2Pt%
.537
16.0
FT
16.4
20.2
FTA
21.1
.791
FT%
.779
9.7
ORB
12.1
33.7
DRB
33.2
43.4
TRB
45.3
26.4
AST
27.1
8.1
STL
8.1
3.8
BLK
4.6
13.6
TOV
13.2
15.5
PF
18.7
110.6
PTS
115.4

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
82
Games
82
41.3
FG
42.0
88.6
FGA
87.7
.466
FG%
.479
13.6
3Pt-FG
12.4
37.9
3Pt-FGA
34.2
.360
3Pt%
.364
27.6
2Pt-FG
29.5
50.6
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.545
2Pt%
.552
13.9
FT
17.8
17.9
FTA
23.1
.776
FT%
.770
10.7
ORB
10.1
33.9
DRB
33.0
44.7
TRB
43.0
26.5
AST
25.2
7.5
STL
7.8
4.7
BLK
5.4
13.8
TOV
14.0
17.0
PF
17.8
110.0
PTS
114.2

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
DAL
.544
eFG%
.540
12.4
TOV%
11.6
22.3
RB%
73.1
.183
FT/FGA
.179

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
DAL
.543
eFG%
.549
12.5
TOV%
12.5
75.8
RB%
23.3
.157
FT/FGA
.203

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
82
Games
82
41.5
FG
43.3
89.3
FGA
92.2
.465
FG%
.469
14.1
3Pt-FG
12.9
38.3
3Pt-FGA
35.6
.367
3Pt%
.363
27.5
2Pt-FG
30.4
51.0
2Pt-FGA
56.6
.538
2Pt%
.537
16.4
FT
16.5
20.7
FTA
21.2
.791
FT%
.779
10.0
ORB
12.2
34.5
DRB
33.3
44.5
TRB
45.5
27.1
AST
27.2
8.4
STL
8.1
3.9
BLK
4.6
13.9
TOV
13.3
16.0
PF
18.8
113.5
PTS
116.0

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
82
Games
82
42.3
FG
42.2
90.9
FGA
88.2
.466
FG%
.479
14.0
3Pt-FG
12.5
38.9
3Pt-FGA
34.3
.360
3Pt%
.364
28.3
2Pt-FG
29.7
52.0
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.545
2Pt%
.552
14.3
FT
17.9
18.4
FTA
23.2
.776
FT%
.770
11.0
ORB
10.2
34.8
DRB
33.1
45.8
TRB
43.3
27.2
AST
25.4
7.7
STL
7.8
4.8
BLK
5.5
14.2
TOV
14.1
17.4
PF
17.9
112.9
PTS
114.8

MIA
Analytics
DAL
42
Pythag Wins
38
40
Pythag Losses
44
0.56
Margin Of Victory
-1.20
113.5
O Rtg
114.8
112.9
D Rtg
116.0
96.2
Pace
99.2
.232
FTr
.263
.429
3PAr
.389
.576
TS%
.583

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA DAL
MIA DAL
Consensus
-1.5 (-108)
+1.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-113)
-1.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-112)
+3.0 (-108)
-1.5 (-108)
+1.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-112)
-2.0 (-107)
+2.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-107)
+3.0 (-114)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-102)
+2.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-102)
+3.5 (-118)
Open
Current
Book
MIA DAL
MIA DAL
Consensus
-125
+105
-146
+124
-125
+105
-155
+130
-126
+108
-144
+122
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
217.5 (-113)
217.5 (-108)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
222.0 (-108)
222.0 (-113)
217.5 (-113)
217.5 (-108)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
218.5 (-125)
218.5 (+105)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)

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Home NBA Picks Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction – 2/13/2025