Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Feb 13, 2025

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction – 2/13/2025


On February 13, 2025, the Miami Heat will face off against the Dallas Mavericks at 8:30 PM ET at the American Airlines Center. This matchup features two teams struggling to find their rhythm, with both entering the game on the heels of back-to-back contests. The Heat, currently sitting at 25-27, are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, having recently fallen to the Oklahoma City Thunder 115-101. Meanwhile, the Mavericks, with a record of 29-26, are coming off a surprising victory against the Golden State Warriors, winning 111-107 as 7.5-point underdogs.

Despite their recent struggles, the Heat are slight favorites in this contest, with a spread of Heat -2.0 and a moneyline of -125, giving them an implied win probability of 53%. The Mavericks, on the other hand, are listed at +105 on the moneyline, translating to a 47% implied probability of victory. Both teams have faced challenges lately, with the Mavericks losing 15 of their last 25 games, which adds an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup.

Betting trends indicate that sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under in player prop markets, particularly focusing on Klay Thompson's points. The prop total for Thompson opened at Under 17.5 Points (-105) but has since moved to 16.5 (-130), reflecting a shift in confidence regarding his scoring output.


Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 122.76 vs Dallas Mavericks 103.81


Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Heat52%93%
Mavericks48%7%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-3.0/-112
30% MIA
DraftKings
+3.0/-108
70% DAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-146
36% MIA
Fanatics
+124
64% DAL

Total Pick Consensus

217.5/-110
36% UN
DraftKings
217.5/-110
64% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
68
Games
69
39.6
FG
42.9
86.5
FGA
91.8
.457
FG%
.467
13.6
3Pt-FG
12.9
38.0
3Pt-FGA
35.6
.358
3Pt%
.362
25.9
2Pt-FG
30.0
48.5
2Pt-FGA
56.3
.535
2Pt%
.532
16.3
FT
16.5
20.7
FTA
21.2
.791
FT%
.782
9.5
ORB
12.3
33.8
DRB
33.4
43.3
TRB
45.7
26.2
AST
27.0
7.9
STL
7.9
3.8
BLK
4.7
13.8
TOV
13.3
15.7
PF
18.6
109.1
PTS
115.1

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
68
Games
69
41.4
FG
42.0
89.0
FGA
88.5
.466
FG%
.475
13.8
3Pt-FG
13.0
38.5
3Pt-FGA
35.4
.359
3Pt%
.367
27.6
2Pt-FG
29.0
50.5
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.547
2Pt%
.546
14.1
FT
17.7
17.9
FTA
22.7
.786
FT%
.778
10.8
ORB
10.4
34.3
DRB
32.9
45.1
TRB
43.3
26.9
AST
25.3
7.5
STL
7.8
4.7
BLK
5.6
13.5
TOV
13.8
17.2
PF
18.0
110.8
PTS
114.7

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
DAL
.536
eFG%
.537
12.6
TOV%
11.6
21.7
RB%
72.8
.189
FT/FGA
.180

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
DAL
.543
eFG%
.548
12.3
TOV%
12.3
75.8
RB%
23.8
.158
FT/FGA
.199

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
68
Games
69
40.6
FG
43.1
88.7
FGA
92.4
.457
FG%
.467
14.0
3Pt-FG
13.0
39.0
3Pt-FGA
35.7
.358
3Pt%
.362
26.6
2Pt-FG
30.1
49.7
2Pt-FGA
56.6
.535
2Pt%
.532
16.8
FT
16.6
21.2
FTA
21.3
.791
FT%
.782
9.7
ORB
12.4
34.6
DRB
33.6
44.4
TRB
45.9
26.9
AST
27.1
8.1
STL
8.0
3.9
BLK
4.8
14.1
TOV
13.4
16.1
PF
18.7
111.8
PTS
115.8

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
68
Games
69
42.5
FG
42.3
91.2
FGA
89.0
.466
FG%
.475
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.1
39.5
3Pt-FGA
35.6
.359
3Pt%
.367
28.3
2Pt-FG
29.2
51.8
2Pt-FGA
53.5
.547
2Pt%
.546
14.5
FT
17.8
18.4
FTA
22.8
.786
FT%
.778
11.1
ORB
10.5
35.2
DRB
33.1
46.2
TRB
43.5
27.5
AST
25.4
7.7
STL
7.9
4.8
BLK
5.6
13.9
TOV
13.9
17.7
PF
18.1
113.6
PTS
115.3

MIA
Analytics
DAL
30
Pythag Wins
34
38
Pythag Losses
35
-1.68
Margin Of Victory
-0.43
111.8
O Rtg
115.3
113.6
D Rtg
115.8
96.2
Pace
99.1
.239
FTr
.256
.440
3PAr
.399
.570
TS%
.582

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA DAL
MIA DAL
Consensus
-1.5 (-108)
+1.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-113)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
-1.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-112)
+3.0 (-108)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
-1.5 (-108)
+1.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-112)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
-2.0 (-107)
+2.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-107)
+3.0 (-114)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
-2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
-2.5 (-102)
+2.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-102)
+3.5 (-118)
Open
Current
Book
MIA DAL
MIA DAL
Consensus
-125
+105
-146
+124
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
-125
+105
-155
+130
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
-126
+108
-144
+122
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
-129
+108
-139
+118
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
-125
+105
-160
+135
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
-135
+110
-155
+125
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
217.5 (-113)
217.5 (-108)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
222.0 (-108)
222.0 (-113)
217.5 (-113)
217.5 (-108)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
218.5 (-125)
218.5 (+105)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
MIA
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
DAL
0-3-0
Win/Loss/Tie
2-1-0
0-2-1
ATS W/L/P
3-0-0
90.67
Avg Score
118.33
106.67
Avg Opp Score
113.67
1-4-0
Win/Loss/Tie
3-2-0
1-3-1
ATS W/L/P
5-0-0
100.8
Avg Score
119.6
110.8
Avg Opp Score
115.8
4-6-0
Win/Loss/Tie
5-5-0
3-6-1
ATS W/L/P
6-3-1
104.2
Avg Score
117.5
112.4
Avg Opp Score
120.6
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
11/24/24
DAL
220.5
+120
28
MIA
-2.5
-141
33
04/10/24
DAL
217.5
-146
33
MIA
2.5
+123
24
03/07/24
MIA
230.0
+156
36
DAL
-4.5
-190
28
04/01/23
DAL
224.0
-139
31
MIA
2.5
+117
44
01/20/23
MIA
218.5
-132
19
DAL
2.0
+110
31
02/15/22
DAL
211.0
+171
23
MIA
-5.0
-208
28
11/02/21
MIA
210.0
-146
24
DAL
3.0
+121
30
05/04/21
DAL
215.0
-109
30
MIA
-0.5
-111
39
01/01/21
MIA
225.0
-122
16
DAL
1.5
+102
20
02/28/20
DAL
229.0
+113
31
MIA
-2.5
-136
31

Miami Heat

03/17/25
MIA
121.9
+134
17
NY
-4.4
-164
10
03/15/25
MIA
115.6
+97
14
MEM
-3.1
-117
20
03/14/25
BOS
261.0
-374
37
MIA
11.4
+308
28
03/12/25
LAC
295.9
+155
43
MIA
-2.9
-182
29
03/10/25
CHA
296.4
+433
29
MIA
-12.3
-553
46
03/08/25
CHI
209.3
+155
22
MIA
-5.1
-185
33
03/07/25
MIN
104.9
-76
16
MIA
0.8
+65
12
03/05/25
MIA
120.3
+321
18
CLE
-7.4
-481
20
03/03/25
WAS
75.1
+98
3
MIA
-2.9
-122
11
02/28/25
IND
294.6
-199
46
MIA
5.2
+167
38

Dallas Mavericks

03/16/25
PHI
291.4
+280
47
DAL
-8.4
-337
42
03/14/25
DAL
270.8
+566
31
HOU
-14.2
-771
33
03/12/25
DAL
340.3
+284
40
SA
-8.6
-337
29
03/10/25
DAL
320.3
+285
38
SA
-8.9
-343
46
03/09/25
PHO
377.3
-429
53
DAL
10.7
+355
39
03/07/25
MEM
114.7
-222
11
DAL
2.3
+172
15
03/05/25
DAL
123.6
+259
16
MIL
-6.3
-356
24
03/03/25
SAC
80.1
-45
3
DAL
0.2
+38
3
03/01/25
MIL
94.8
-61
13
DAL
0.5
+52
15
02/27/25
CHA
58.3
+113
2
DAL
-2.8
-148
2

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