Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Feb 13, 2025

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction – 2/13/2025


On February 13, 2025, the Miami Heat will face off against the Dallas Mavericks at 8:30 PM ET at the American Airlines Center. This matchup features two teams struggling to find their rhythm, with both entering the game on the heels of back-to-back contests. The Heat, currently sitting at 25-27, are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, having recently fallen to the Oklahoma City Thunder 115-101. Meanwhile, the Mavericks, with a record of 29-26, are coming off a surprising victory against the Golden State Warriors, winning 111-107 as 7.5-point underdogs.

Despite their recent struggles, the Heat are slight favorites in this contest, with a spread of Heat -2.0 and a moneyline of -125, giving them an implied win probability of 53%. The Mavericks, on the other hand, are listed at +105 on the moneyline, translating to a 47% implied probability of victory. Both teams have faced challenges lately, with the Mavericks losing 15 of their last 25 games, which adds an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup.

Betting trends indicate that sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under in player prop markets, particularly focusing on Klay Thompson's points. The prop total for Thompson opened at Under 17.5 Points (-105) but has since moved to 16.5 (-130), reflecting a shift in confidence regarding his scoring output.


Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 122.76 vs Dallas Mavericks 103.81


Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Heat52%93%
Mavericks48%7%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.5/-108
41% MIA
DraftKings
+1.5/-112
59% DAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-122
35% MIA
FanDuel
+102
65% DAL

Total Pick Consensus

221.5/-102
67% UN
BetMGM
221.5/-118
33% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
52
Games
55
39.4
FG
41.9
87.0
FGA
91.5
.453
FG%
.459
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.1
38.9
3Pt-FGA
36.1
.362
3Pt%
.364
25.4
2Pt-FG
28.8
48.1
2Pt-FGA
55.4
.528
2Pt%
.521
16.8
FT
16.5
21.3
FTA
21.3
.791
FT%
.774
9.6
ORB
12.2
34.5
DRB
32.4
44.1
TRB
44.5
26.3
AST
26.7
7.9
STL
8.1
3.8
BLK
4.7
13.7
TOV
13.5
15.8
PF
19.0
109.8
PTS
113.5

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
52
Games
55
41.3
FG
42.3
89.6
FGA
88.3
.461
FG%
.479
13.8
3Pt-FG
13.1
38.5
3Pt-FGA
35.2
.357
3Pt%
.372
27.6
2Pt-FG
29.2
51.1
2Pt-FGA
53.1
.539
2Pt%
.549
14.2
FT
18.1
18.1
FTA
23.4
.784
FT%
.772
11.1
ORB
11.0
34.7
DRB
33.4
45.8
TRB
44.3
26.8
AST
25.2
7.4
STL
7.9
5.1
BLK
6.1
13.6
TOV
14.2
17.6
PF
18.7
110.6
PTS
115.7

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
DAL
.534
eFG%
.530
12.4
TOV%
11.8
21.7
RB%
73.3
.193
FT/FGA
.181

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
DAL
.538
eFG%
.553
12.2
TOV%
12.6
75.7
RB%
25.3
.159
FT/FGA
.205

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
52
Games
55
40.2
FG
42.2
88.7
FGA
92.1
.453
FG%
.459
14.4
3Pt-FG
13.2
39.7
3Pt-FGA
36.3
.362
3Pt%
.364
25.9
2Pt-FG
29.0
49.0
2Pt-FGA
55.8
.528
2Pt%
.521
17.2
FT
16.6
21.7
FTA
21.5
.791
FT%
.774
9.8
ORB
12.3
35.2
DRB
32.6
45.0
TRB
44.8
26.8
AST
26.9
8.1
STL
8.2
3.9
BLK
4.7
14.0
TOV
13.6
16.1
PF
19.2
112.0
PTS
114.3

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
52
Games
55
42.1
FG
42.5
91.4
FGA
88.9
.461
FG%
.479
14.0
3Pt-FG
13.2
39.3
3Pt-FGA
35.4
.357
3Pt%
.372
28.1
2Pt-FG
29.4
52.2
2Pt-FGA
53.5
.539
2Pt%
.549
14.5
FT
18.2
18.5
FTA
23.6
.784
FT%
.772
11.3
ORB
11.1
35.4
DRB
33.6
46.7
TRB
44.6
27.4
AST
25.4
7.6
STL
8.0
5.2
BLK
6.1
13.9
TOV
14.3
17.9
PF
18.8
112.8
PTS
116.4

MIA
Analytics
DAL
25
Pythag Wins
31
27
Pythag Losses
24
-0.79
Margin Of Victory
2.16
112.0
O Rtg
116.4
112.8
D Rtg
114.3
96.7
Pace
99.0
.245
FTr
.265
.447
3PAr
.398
.570
TS%
.587

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA DAL
MIA DAL
Consensus
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-109)
DraftKings
DraftKings $200 Bonus
-1.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-108)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
-1.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-108)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
-2.0 (-113)
+2.0 (-108)
-1.5 (-113)
+1.5 (-108)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
-2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
+1.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
MIA DAL
MIA DAL
Consensus
-125
+105
-121
+103
DraftKings
DraftKings $200 Bonus
-125
+105
-122
+102
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
-126
+108
-124
+106
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
-129
+108
-122
+104
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
-125
+105
-120
+100
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
-135
+110
-118
-102
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-107)
221.5 (-111)
DraftKings
DraftKings $200 Bonus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.0 (-112)
221.0 (-108)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
222.0 (-108)
222.0 (-113)
222.5 (-109)
222.5 (-112)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
MIA
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
DAL
0-3-0
Win/Loss/Tie
2-1-0
0-2-1
ATS W/L/P
3-0-0
90.67
Avg Score
118.33
106.67
Avg Opp Score
113.67
1-4-0
Win/Loss/Tie
3-2-0
1-3-1
ATS W/L/P
5-0-0
100.8
Avg Score
119.6
110.8
Avg Opp Score
115.8
4-6-0
Win/Loss/Tie
5-5-0
3-6-1
ATS W/L/P
6-3-1
104.2
Avg Score
117.5
112.4
Avg Opp Score
120.6
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
11/24/24
DAL
220.5
+120
28
MIA
-2.5
-141
33
04/10/24
DAL
217.5
-146
33
MIA
2.5
+123
24
03/07/24
MIA
230.0
+156
36
DAL
-4.5
-190
28
04/01/23
DAL
224.0
-139
31
MIA
2.5
+117
44
01/20/23
MIA
218.5
-132
19
DAL
2.0
+110
31
02/15/22
DAL
211.0
+171
23
MIA
-5.0
-208
28
11/02/21
MIA
210.0
-146
24
DAL
3.0
+121
30
05/04/21
DAL
215.0
-109
30
MIA
-0.5
-111
39
01/01/21
MIA
225.0
-122
16
DAL
1.5
+102
20
02/28/20
DAL
229.0
+113
31
MIA
-2.5
-136
31

Miami Heat

02/12/25
MIA
340.0
+892
53
OKC
-21.4
-1302
35
02/10/25
BOS
309.0
-473
26
MIA
12.4
+383
35
02/07/25
MIA
117.7
-112
15
BKN
1.6
+95
16
02/05/25
MIA
109.1
+54
14
PHI
-1.0
-64
12
02/04/25
MIA
276.7
-194
45
CHI
5.1
+163
39
02/01/25
MIA
140.5
-93
21
SA
1.2
+79
21
01/29/25
CLE
256.5
-256
35
MIA
7.8
+214
24
01/25/25
MIA
155.3
-202
18
BKN
3.8
+167
13
01/23/25
MIA
211.0
+184
28
MIL
-6.1
-225
25
01/21/25
POR
190.3
+267
30
MIA
-7.8
-335
33

Dallas Mavericks

02/12/25
GS
358.3
-481
47
DAL
12.2
+391
49
02/08/25
HOU
367.4
+205
32
DAL
-4.8
-239
53
02/06/25
DAL
296.7
+682
41
BOS
-16.0
-955
29
02/04/25
DAL
275.5
+182
38
PHI
-5.4
-217
44
02/02/25
DAL
333.5
+1115
27
CLE
-21.9
-1898
71
01/31/25
DAL
173.1
-88
24
DET
0.6
-77
21
01/29/25
DAL
266.2
-130
40
NO
1.3
-119
36
01/27/25
WAS
186.1
+454
13
DAL
-10.5
-647
34
01/25/25
BOS
166.7
-267
18
DAL
4.6
+216
21
01/23/25
DAL
210.6
+434
31
OKC
-10.8
-596
32

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