Heat +5 (-110) over Mavericks
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- The Mavericks have lost three straight games, as it clearly takes more than a big game from Luka Doncic to win games.
- Duncan Robinson’s insertion into the starting lineup has helped the Heat be more dangerous offensively of late.
The Miami Heat will be facing off against the Dallas Mavericks on March 7, 2024, at 7:30 pm EST. Draftkings sportsbook has the Miami Heat as 4.5 point underdogs and the Dallas Mavericks as 4.5 point favorites. Currently, the Miami Heat are receiving 62% of the spread bets, while the Dallas Mavericks have 38%. The total opening at (231.5 -112) is showing a strong lean towards the over, with 83% of bets going in that direction. This matchup between the Miami Heat and the Dallas Mavericks is sure to be a thrilling and competitive game to watch.
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This Heat vs Mavericks matchup should go the way of the Miami Heat, who we like the cover the spread on the road. Miami’s defense is much better than that of the Mavs, who have been getting crushed by even the bad teams on their schedule of late. Dallas has lost three games in a row and they could very well lose this game outright as a home favorite, as they have in their last couple of contests against the 76ers and Pacers.
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NBA
Miami Heat
Dallas Mavericks
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
Offense/Defense
MIA | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | DAL |
---|---|---|
82 | Games | 79 |
41.2 | FG | 43.6 |
88.7 | FGA | 91.8 |
.465 | FG% | .475 |
12.9 | 3Pt-FG | 13.4 |
34.9 | 3Pt-FGA | 36.3 |
.370 | 3Pt% | .368 |
28.3 | 2Pt-FG | 30.2 |
53.8 | 2Pt-FGA | 55.5 |
.527 | 2Pt% | .545 |
18.7 | FT | 17.1 |
22.8 | FTA | 22.3 |
.818 | FT% | .768 |
9.7 | ORB | 11.1 |
34.1 | DRB | 31.6 |
43.8 | TRB | 42.8 |
26.7 | AST | 28.0 |
7.8 | STL | 7.5 |
3.5 | BLK | 4.1 |
13.1 | TOV | 13.0 |
17.9 | PF | 20.9 |
114.0 | PTS | 117.6 |
Defense/Offense
MIA | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | DAL |
---|---|---|
82 | Games | 79 |
41.6 | FG | 44.0 |
89.1 | FGA | 91.1 |
.467 | FG% | .483 |
13.4 | 3Pt-FG | 15.0 |
38.1 | 3Pt-FGA | 40.2 |
.353 | 3Pt% | .373 |
28.2 | 2Pt-FG | 29.0 |
51.0 | 2Pt-FGA | 50.8 |
.553 | 2Pt% | .571 |
15.5 | FT | 17.5 |
19.9 | FTA | 23.1 |
.780 | FT% | .758 |
9.6 | ORB | 9.9 |
34.7 | DRB | 30.7 |
44.3 | TRB | 40.5 |
27.4 | AST | 26.2 |
6.9 | STL | 7.0 |
4.9 | BLK | 5.0 |
14.2 | TOV | 11.7 |
19.6 | PF | 18.8 |
112.2 | PTS | 120.6 |
Four Factors
Offense/Defense
MIA | Four Factors | DAL |
---|---|---|
.538 | eFG% | .547 |
11.7 | TOV% | 11.4 |
21.8 | RB% | 73.3 |
.210 | FT/FGA | .186 |
Defense/Offense
MIA | Four Factors | DAL |
---|---|---|
.543 | eFG% | .566 |
12.7 | TOV% | 10.3 |
78.1 | RB% | 23.8 |
.174 | FT/FGA | .193 |
Analytics
MIA | Analytics | DAL |
---|---|---|
46 | Pythag Wins | 46 |
36 | Pythag Losses | 33 |
1.76 | Margin Of Victory | 2.90 |
114.0 | O Rtg | 120.6 |
112.2 | D Rtg | 117.6 |
96.2 | Pace | 98.3 |
.257 | FTr | .254 |
.394 | 3PAr | .442 |
.578 | TS% | .595 |
Betting Trends
MIA | Betting Trends | DAL |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 0-3-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-3-0 |
113.67 | Avg Score | 115.33 |
111 | Avg Opp Score | 131.67 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
108 | Avg Score | 119.67 |
103 | Avg Opp Score | 123.33 |
MIA | Betting Trends | DAL |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-4-0 |
3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
113.6 | Avg Score | 120.2 |
107.8 | Avg Opp Score | 128.2 |
AWAY | HOME | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
5-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
107.8 | Avg Score | 117.4 |
101.6 | Avg Opp Score | 113.4 |
MIA | Betting Trends | DAL |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
8-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
112.8 | Avg Score | 120.9 |
104.9 | Avg Opp Score | 119.5 |
AWAY | HOME | |
6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
6-3-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
106.5 | Avg Score | 120.5 |
105.8 | Avg Opp Score | 118.8 |