Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Mar 5, 2025

Cleveland Cavaliers

Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Pick – 3/5/2025


On March 5, 2025, the Miami Heat will face off against the Cleveland Cavaliers at 7:00 PM ET in Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. The Cavaliers enter this matchup with an impressive 51-10 record, riding a remarkable 11-game winning streak. However, this game marks a back-to-back scenario for Cleveland, having played just the night before. This quick turnaround could impact their performance, as fatigue may play a role against a Miami squad looking to capitalize on any weaknesses.

Currently, the Cavaliers are significant favorites, carrying a spread of -11.0 and a moneyline of -530, translating to an implied winning probability of 81%. Conversely, the Heat, who sit at 29-31, have struggled on the road recently, losing 18 of their last 30 away games. Their recent victory against the Washington Wizards, where they triumphed 106-90, may provide a much-needed boost of confidence heading into this tough contest.

Betting enthusiasts will note the Heat's moneyline sits at +420, indicating an implied win probability of just 19%. Despite the odds stacked against them, Miami could leverage the Cavaliers' fatigue to make this game competitive.

As the Cavaliers aim to extend their winning streak, the Heat will look to disrupt their momentum. With both teams heading into the game under different circumstances, fans can expect an intriguing matchup filled with potential surprises. Will the Cavaliers maintain their dominance, or can the Heat pull off an upset? Only time will tell as the clock ticks down to tip-off.


Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 104.21 vs Cleveland Cavaliers 123.51


Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Heat18%7%
Cavaliers82%93%

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+13.0/-110
28% MIA
Fanatics
-13.0/-110
72% CLE

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+585
6% MIA
Fanatics
-878
94% CLE

Total Pick Consensus

219.5/-112
6% UN
FanDuel
219.5/-108
94% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CLE
60
Games
61
39.8
FG
41.1
86.7
FGA
90.6
.458
FG%
.453
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.2
38.5
3Pt-FGA
36.8
.361
3Pt%
.358
25.8
2Pt-FG
27.9
48.2
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.536
2Pt%
.518
16.8
FT
16.4
21.2
FTA
21.1
.794
FT%
.774
9.6
ORB
11.3
34.2
DRB
31.8
43.8
TRB
43.1
26.4
AST
25.4
7.9
STL
7.6
3.8
BLK
4.6
13.8
TOV
14.6
15.8
PF
18.6
110.3
PTS
111.7

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CLE
60
Games
61
41.4
FG
45.0
89.4
FGA
90.7
.463
FG%
.497
13.8
3Pt-FG
16.2
38.4
3Pt-FGA
41.2
.358
3Pt%
.394
27.6
2Pt-FG
28.8
51.0
2Pt-FGA
49.5
.541
2Pt%
.582
14.1
FT
17.0
18.0
FTA
21.5
.782
FT%
.789
11.0
ORB
10.9
34.2
DRB
34.5
45.2
TRB
45.4
26.9
AST
28.8
7.5
STL
8.2
4.8
BLK
4.4
13.6
TOV
13.0
17.6
PF
18.5
110.5
PTS
123.3

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
CLE
.539
eFG%
.526
12.5
TOV%
12.7
21.9
RB%
75.4
.194
FT/FGA
.181

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
CLE
.540
eFG%
.586
12.2
TOV%
11.5
75.7
RB%
25.5
.158
FT/FGA
.187

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CLE
60
Games
61
40.6
FG
41.0
88.7
FGA
90.4
.458
FG%
.453
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.1
39.4
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.361
3Pt%
.358
26.4
2Pt-FG
27.8
49.3
2Pt-FGA
53.7
.536
2Pt%
.518
17.2
FT
16.3
21.7
FTA
21.1
.794
FT%
.774
9.8
ORB
11.2
34.9
DRB
31.7
44.8
TRB
43.0
27.0
AST
25.4
8.0
STL
7.6
3.9
BLK
4.6
14.1
TOV
14.6
16.1
PF
18.6
112.7
PTS
111.4

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CLE
60
Games
61
42.3
FG
44.9
91.4
FGA
90.5
.463
FG%
.497
14.1
3Pt-FG
16.2
39.3
3Pt-FGA
41.1
.358
3Pt%
.394
28.2
2Pt-FG
28.7
52.1
2Pt-FGA
49.3
.541
2Pt%
.582
14.4
FT
16.9
18.4
FTA
21.5
.782
FT%
.789
11.2
ORB
10.9
35.0
DRB
34.4
46.2
TRB
45.3
27.5
AST
28.7
7.6
STL
8.2
4.9
BLK
4.4
13.9
TOV
13.0
17.9
PF
18.4
113.0
PTS
123.0

MIA
Analytics
CLE
29
Pythag Wins
49
31
Pythag Losses
12
-0.28
Margin Of Victory
11.64
112.7
O Rtg
123.0
113.0
D Rtg
111.4
96.3
Pace
100.1
.245
FTr
.237
.444
3PAr
.455
.574
TS%
.616

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA CLE
MIA CLE
Consensus
+11.0 (-110)
-11.0 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+13.0 (-110)
-13.0 (-110)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+11.0 (-108)
-11.0 (-110)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-112)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+11.0 (-113)
-11.0 (-107)
+13.5 (-113)
-13.5 (-108)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+11.0 (-105)
-11.0 (-110)
+13.5 (-105)
-13.5 (-115)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-115)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA CLE
MIA CLE
Consensus
+380
-500
+585
-878
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
+380
-500
+550
-800
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+370
-480
+610
-900
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+400
-530
+550
-835
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+360
-480
+600
-900
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+400
-550
+575
-900
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
219.5 (-113)
219.5 (-108)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
220.0 (-108)
220.0 (-112)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
220.0 (-106)
220.0 (-114)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
226.5 (-113)
226.5 (-108)
219.5 (-113)
219.5 (-108)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
220.0 (-105)
220.0 (-115)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
227.5 (-105)
227.5 (-115)
219.5 (-115)
219.5 (-105)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
MIA
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
CLE
2-1-0
Win/Loss/Tie
3-0-0
3-0-0
ATS W/L/P
2-1-0
114.33
Avg Score
131.67
108.67
Avg Opp Score
120.67
3-2-0
Win/Loss/Tie
5-0-0
4-1-0
ATS W/L/P
3-1-1
112
Avg Score
129.2
106.6
Avg Opp Score
113.4
4-6-0
Win/Loss/Tie
10-0-0
5-4-1
ATS W/L/P
7-2-1
109.2
Avg Score
129.1
110
Avg Opp Score
110.8
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
01/29/25
CLE
225.0
-225
31
MIA
6.0
+188
21
12/08/24
CLE
222.5
-141
25
MIA
2.5
+120
21
03/24/24
CLE
202.5
+136
22
MIA
-3.5
-165
32
03/20/24
MIA
207.5
+124
31
CLE
-3.0
-149
30
12/08/23
CLE
222.5
-119
17
MIA
1.5
+100
25
11/22/23
MIA
213.5
-108
37
CLE
-1.0
-110
26
03/10/23
CLE
212.0
+125
26
MIA
-3.0
-150
27
03/08/23
CLE
215.5
-117
26
MIA
1.0
-103
30
01/31/23
MIA
211.0
+145
24
CLE
-4.0
-176
26
11/20/22
MIA
214.0
+239
27
CLE
-7.5
-302
28

Miami Heat

03/03/25
WAS
75.1
+98
3
MIA
-2.9
-122
11
02/28/25
IND
294.6
-199
46
MIA
5.2
+167
38
02/26/25
ATL
225.4
+123
27
MIA
-2.9
-146
28
02/24/25
MIA
211.8
+102
20
ATL
-1.8
-121
21
02/23/25
MIA
88.4
+60
15
MIL
-1.8
-72
4
02/13/25
MIA
176.6
-119
18
DAL
2.0
+101
17
02/12/25
MIA
340.0
+892
53
OKC
-21.4
-1302
35
02/10/25
BOS
309.0
-473
26
MIA
12.4
+383
35
02/07/25
MIA
117.7
-112
15
BKN
1.6
+95
16
02/05/25
MIA
109.1
+54
14
PHI
-1.0
-64
12

Cleveland Cavaliers

03/04/25
CLE
321.7
-1064
32
CHI
18.0
+750
39
02/28/25
CLE
307.8
-137
34
BOS
-1.3
-152
50
02/25/25
CLE
371.0
-418
58
ORL
11.0
+345
27
02/23/25
MEM
99.0
+76
12
CLE
-2.4
-91
13
02/21/25
NY
80.8
+77
3
CLE
-2.3
-94
14
02/20/25
CLE
236.0
-772
25
BKN
13.1
+545
20
02/12/25
CLE
361.4
-1262
63
TOR
19.9
+868
26
02/10/25
MIN
339.0
+402
18
CLE
-12.4
-503
44
02/07/25
CLE
134.6
-994
20
WAS
5.5
+544
19
02/05/25
CLE
116.1
-80
17
DET
1.0
+67
13

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