Miami Heat

Miami Heat

May 1, 2024

Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Game 5 Prediction, Odds, Picks – 5/1/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 1, 2024
  • Venue: TD Garden
  • Spread: Miami Heat 14 (-110), Boston Celtics -14 (-110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 200
  • Moneyline: Miami Heat 700, Boston Celtics -1000

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

  • Miami Heat - 12%
  • Boston Celtics - 88%

Projected Win %:

  • Miami Heat - 9%
  • Boston Celtics - 91%

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Betting Preview

In an exciting Wednesday Night matchup, the Miami Heat (48-40) will take on the Boston Celtics (67-19) in Game 5 of their Eastern Conference playoff series at 7:30 PM ET. The game will be held at the TD Garden, the home arena of the Celtics.

The Celtics, who have a 3-1 series lead, enter the game as overwhelming favorites, with a point spread of -14.0. The Moneyline for the Celtics is currently -1000, indicating a high probability of victory. On the other hand, the Heat have a Moneyline of +700, suggesting a lower chance of winning.

Based on the odds, the Heat have an implied win probability of 12%, while the Celtics have an implied win probability of 88%. This reflects the Celtics' dominance throughout the season.

The Celtics have been playing exceptional basketball, winning an impressive 39 out of their last 50 games. They have established themselves as one of the top teams in the league and will look to continue their winning streak in front of their home crowd.

In their previous encounter, the Celtics emerged victorious, defeating the Heat by a score of 102-88. This result may provide additional motivation for the Heat to seek redemption in this rematch.

For those interested in player prop betting, Caleb Martin's Points and Assists have been a popular market. Many bettors believe that the Over offers value, with the current line set at 15.5 Points and Assists (-110).

Overall, this game promises to be an intriguing battle between two talented teams. While the Celtics are favorites, the Heat will look to put up a strong fight and potentially pull off an upset on the road. NBA fans and sports bettors alike will be eagerly watching this matchup unfold.

Pick and Prediction: Miami Heat 94.43 - Boston Celtics 110.37

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+13.5/-110
45% MIA
-13.5/-110
55% BOS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+653
13% MIA
-1000
87% BOS

Total Pick Consensus

201.5/-110
22% UN
201.5/-110
78% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
BOS
52
Games
55
39.4
FG
40.4
87.0
FGA
89.7
.453
FG%
.450
14.1
3Pt-FG
12.7
38.9
3Pt-FGA
36.4
.362
3Pt%
.349
25.4
2Pt-FG
27.7
48.1
2Pt-FGA
53.3
.528
2Pt%
.519
16.8
FT
14.7
21.3
FTA
18.5
.791
FT%
.793
9.6
ORB
10.5
34.5
DRB
33.8
44.1
TRB
44.3
26.3
AST
24.0
7.9
STL
6.8
3.8
BLK
4.0
13.7
TOV
13.2
15.8
PF
18.5
109.8
PTS
108.1

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
BOS
52
Games
55
41.3
FG
41.6
89.6
FGA
90.5
.461
FG%
.460
13.8
3Pt-FG
17.7
38.5
3Pt-FGA
48.3
.357
3Pt%
.367
27.6
2Pt-FG
23.9
51.1
2Pt-FGA
42.2
.539
2Pt%
.566
14.2
FT
16.2
18.1
FTA
20.4
.784
FT%
.793
11.1
ORB
10.8
34.7
DRB
34.3
45.8
TRB
45.1
26.8
AST
25.8
7.4
STL
7.3
5.1
BLK
5.7
13.6
TOV
11.8
17.6
PF
16.4
110.6
PTS
117.2

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
BOS
.534
eFG%
.521
12.4
TOV%
11.9
21.7
RB%
76.6
.193
FT/FGA
.163

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
BOS
.538
eFG%
.558
12.2
TOV%
10.6
75.7
RB%
24.2
.159
FT/FGA
.179

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
BOS
52
Games
55
40.2
FG
41.2
88.7
FGA
91.7
.453
FG%
.450
14.4
3Pt-FG
13.0
39.7
3Pt-FGA
37.2
.362
3Pt%
.349
25.9
2Pt-FG
28.3
49.0
2Pt-FGA
54.5
.528
2Pt%
.519
17.2
FT
15.0
21.7
FTA
18.9
.791
FT%
.793
9.8
ORB
10.7
35.2
DRB
34.6
45.0
TRB
45.3
26.8
AST
24.5
8.1
STL
7.0
3.9
BLK
4.1
14.0
TOV
13.5
16.1
PF
18.9
112.0
PTS
110.5

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
BOS
52
Games
55
42.1
FG
42.5
91.4
FGA
92.4
.461
FG%
.460
14.0
3Pt-FG
18.1
39.3
3Pt-FGA
49.3
.357
3Pt%
.367
28.1
2Pt-FG
24.4
52.2
2Pt-FGA
43.1
.539
2Pt%
.566
14.5
FT
16.5
18.5
FTA
20.9
.784
FT%
.793
11.3
ORB
11.1
35.4
DRB
35.1
46.7
TRB
46.1
27.4
AST
26.4
7.6
STL
7.4
5.2
BLK
5.8
13.9
TOV
12.1
17.9
PF
16.7
112.8
PTS
119.7

MIA
Analytics
BOS
25
Pythag Wins
42
27
Pythag Losses
13
-0.79
Margin Of Victory
9.07
112.0
O Rtg
119.7
112.8
D Rtg
110.5
96.7
Pace
97.0
.245
FTr
.226
.447
3PAr
.534
.570
TS%
.589

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA BOS
MIA BOS
Consensus
+15.5 (-109)
-15.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-109)
-13.5 (-112)
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-112)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-112)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-113)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-113)
+14.0 (-115)
-14.0 (-110)
+13.5 (-115)
-13.5 (-105)
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
+15.5 (-115)
-15.5 (-110)
+14.5 (-115)
-14.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA BOS
MIA BOS
Consensus
+750
-1225
+653
-1000
+850
-1450
+625
-950
+730
-1150
+660
-1000
+650
-1000
+650
-1000
+700
-1100
+650
-1000
+850
-1499
+650
-1000
+750
-1200
+675
-1100
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
201.5 (-112)
201.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
200.5 (-110)
200.5 (-110)
201.5 (-112)
201.5 (-108)
201.0 (-108)
201.0 (-113)
201.5 (-112)
201.5 (-109)
200.0 (-105)
200.0 (-115)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
201.5 (-115)
201.5 (-105)

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