Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Dec 28, 2024

Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Odds & Picks – 12/28/2024

  • Date: December 28, 2024
  • Venue: State Farm Arena


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat 2.5 (-110), Atlanta Hawks -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under:225
Moneyline:Miami Heat 115, Atlanta Hawks -140


Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 44%Miami Heat - 58%
Atlanta Hawks - 56%Atlanta Hawks - 42%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Miami Heat (15-13) are set to clash with the Atlanta Hawks (16-15) in a Saturday matinee that promises to have playoff-like intensity. Both teams are divisional rivals, adding an extra layer of significance to this matchup. The game is scheduled to tip off at 3:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena, where the Hawks will look to leverage their status as slight favorites.

Currently, the spread favors the Hawks by 1.5 points, with a moneyline of -125, giving them an implied win probability of 53%. Meanwhile, the Heat's moneyline sits at +105, reflecting an implied win probability of 47%. Both teams have shown resilience lately, each winning 12 of their last 20 games.

In their most recent outings, the Heat edged past the Orlando Magic in a nail-biting 89-88 finish, while the Hawks engaged in a high-scoring affair, defeating the Chicago Bulls 141-133. This game offers a compelling narrative for bettors, particularly around player prop markets. Bam Adebayo's point total is drawing attention, with the over/under set at 18.5 points, and sharp money is pushing towards the over, indicating some confidence in Adebayo's scoring ability.

With both teams notching similar recent performances and the stakes heightened by their rivalry, this matchup offers a tantalizing opportunity for fans and bettors alike. Whether it’s the point spread or player props, the Heat and Hawks are ready to deliver an exciting afternoon of basketball.


Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 115.64 vs Atlanta Hawks 112.85

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.0/-105
37% MIA
+1.0/-115
63% ATL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-110
23% MIA
-107
77% ATL

Total Pick Consensus

227.5/-108
7% UN
227.5/-112
93% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
ATL
39
Games
40
39.4
FG
43.6
86.5
FGA
91.5
.455
FG%
.477
14.3
3Pt-FG
15.2
38.8
3Pt-FGA
39.9
.369
3Pt%
.381
25.1
2Pt-FG
28.4
47.7
2Pt-FGA
51.6
.526
2Pt%
.551
17.6
FT
16.8
22.5
FTA
21.3
.784
FT%
.786
9.4
ORB
10.7
34.1
DRB
34.0
43.4
TRB
44.6
26.0
AST
28.6
8.8
STL
9.5
3.8
BLK
5.5
13.7
TOV
16.8
15.9
PF
19.8
110.7
PTS
119.1

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
ATL
39
Games
40
40.9
FG
42.8
89.0
FGA
92.4
.460
FG%
.463
13.5
3Pt-FG
13.2
37.9
3Pt-FGA
37.1
.355
3Pt%
.354
27.4
2Pt-FG
29.6
51.1
2Pt-FGA
55.3
.537
2Pt%
.535
14.2
FT
18.5
17.9
FTA
23.7
.794
FT%
.781
11.2
ORB
12.3
34.6
DRB
33.3
45.8
TRB
45.5
26.8
AST
29.7
7.5
STL
10.3
5.3
BLK
5.3
14.7
TOV
15.9
18.3
PF
18.5
109.5
PTS
117.2

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
ATL
.538
eFG%
.560
12.4
TOV%
14.2
21.3
RB%
75.7
.204
FT/FGA
.183

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
ATL
.535
eFG%
.534
13.2
TOV%
13.4
75.2
RB%
26.5
.160
FT/FGA
.200

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ATL
39
Games
40
40.1
FG
41.9
88.1
FGA
87.9
.455
FG%
.477
14.6
3Pt-FG
14.6
39.5
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.369
3Pt%
.381
25.5
2Pt-FG
27.3
48.6
2Pt-FGA
49.6
.526
2Pt%
.551
17.9
FT
16.1
22.9
FTA
20.5
.784
FT%
.786
9.5
ORB
10.2
34.7
DRB
32.7
44.2
TRB
42.9
26.5
AST
27.5
8.9
STL
9.2
3.9
BLK
5.3
13.9
TOV
16.1
16.2
PF
19.1
112.7
PTS
114.6

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ATL
39
Games
40
41.6
FG
41.1
90.5
FGA
88.9
.460
FG%
.463
13.7
3Pt-FG
12.6
38.6
3Pt-FGA
35.7
.355
3Pt%
.354
27.9
2Pt-FG
28.5
52.0
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.537
2Pt%
.535
14.5
FT
17.8
18.2
FTA
22.8
.794
FT%
.781
11.4
ORB
11.8
35.2
DRB
32.0
46.6
TRB
43.8
27.3
AST
28.5
7.6
STL
9.9
5.3
BLK
5.1
14.9
TOV
15.2
18.6
PF
17.7
111.4
PTS
112.7

MIA
Analytics
ATL
21
Pythag Wins
18
18
Pythag Losses
22
1.26
Margin Of Victory
-1.95
112.7
O Rtg
112.7
111.4
D Rtg
114.6
97.0
Pace
103.4
.260
FTr
.257
.448
3PAr
.402
.574
TS%
.570

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA ATL
MIA ATL
Consensus
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-103)
+1.0 (-115)
-1.0 (-105)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-110)
-1.0 (-105)
+1.0 (-115)
+3.0 (-106)
-3.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-106)
+1.0 (-114)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-109)
+1.0 (-115)
-1.0 (-105)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-110)
-1.0 (-105)
+1.0 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-105)
+1.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
MIA ATL
MIA ATL
Consensus
+125
-154
-110
-107
+114
-135
-112
-108
+132
-156
-110
-106
+112
-134
-108
-109
+115
-135
-115
-105
+115
-140
-115
-105
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
226.0 (-110)
226.0 (-110)
227.5 (-109)
227.5 (-112)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
227.0 (-112)
227.0 (-108)
226.0 (-110)
226.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
226.5 (-109)
226.5 (-112)
227.5 (-108)
227.5 (-113)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)