Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Feb 24, 2025

Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Pick – 2/24/2025


The Miami Heat (26-29) face off against the Atlanta Hawks (26-31) in a pivotal matchup on February 24, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET. This clash features two divisional rivals, adding extra significance and motivation for both teams to secure a win.

Both squads are entering this game on the second night of back-to-back contests, which could impact their performance. The Miami Heat are coming off a tough loss to the Milwaukee Bucks, falling 120-113, while the Atlanta Hawks suffered a high-scoring defeat against the Detroit Pistons, losing 148-143. With both teams struggling recently, the Hawks have dropped three consecutive games, while the Heat have lost 18 of their last 30 road games.

Despite being on the road, the Heat are slight favorites with the spread currently set at Heat -1.5. The Moneyline reflects a similar sentiment, with the Heat at -120 and the Hawks at +100, translating to an implied win probability of 52% for Miami and 48% for Atlanta.

For bettors, Tyler Herro's Points and Assists prop market has garnered attention, suggesting he could play a crucial role in this matchup. Additionally, sharp bettors are leaning toward the Under, believing it offers value at Under 33.5 Points and Assists (-110).

As both teams look to turn their fortunes around, this matchup promises to be a competitive and engaging affair, with each squad eager to capitalize on the rivalry and improve their standing.


Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 113.72 vs Atlanta Hawks 109.55


Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Heat52%62%
Hawks48%38%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/-112
71% MIA
-2.5/-108
29% ATL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+112
51% MIA
-132
49% ATL

Total Pick Consensus

231.5/-112
20% UN
231.5/-108
80% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
ATL
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
43.4
87.0
FGA
90.2
.465
FG%
.481
13.7
3Pt-FG
14.3
37.3
3Pt-FGA
37.8
.367
3Pt%
.377
26.8
2Pt-FG
29.2
49.7
2Pt-FGA
52.4
.538
2Pt%
.557
16.0
FT
18.2
20.2
FTA
22.7
.791
FT%
.802
9.7
ORB
10.3
33.7
DRB
33.4
43.4
TRB
43.7
26.4
AST
28.2
8.1
STL
9.2
3.8
BLK
4.9
13.6
TOV
16.0
15.5
PF
19.1
110.6
PTS
119.3

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
ATL
82
Games
82
41.3
FG
43.4
88.6
FGA
91.8
.466
FG%
.472
13.6
3Pt-FG
13.5
37.9
3Pt-FGA
37.7
.360
3Pt%
.358
27.6
2Pt-FG
29.9
50.6
2Pt-FGA
54.1
.545
2Pt%
.552
13.9
FT
18.0
17.9
FTA
23.2
.776
FT%
.775
10.7
ORB
11.9
33.9
DRB
32.6
44.7
TRB
44.5
26.5
AST
29.6
7.5
STL
9.7
4.7
BLK
5.1
13.8
TOV
15.5
17.0
PF
19.1
110.0
PTS
118.2

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
ATL
.544
eFG%
.560
12.4
TOV%
13.8
22.3
RB%
76.0
.183
FT/FGA
.202

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
ATL
.543
eFG%
.546
12.5
TOV%
13.2
75.8
RB%
26.3
.157
FT/FGA
.196

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ATL
82
Games
82
41.5
FG
42.1
89.3
FGA
87.5
.465
FG%
.481
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.8
38.3
3Pt-FGA
36.6
.367
3Pt%
.377
27.5
2Pt-FG
28.3
51.0
2Pt-FGA
50.8
.538
2Pt%
.557
16.4
FT
17.6
20.7
FTA
22.0
.791
FT%
.802
10.0
ORB
10.0
34.5
DRB
32.3
44.5
TRB
42.3
27.1
AST
27.4
8.4
STL
8.9
3.9
BLK
4.8
13.9
TOV
15.5
16.0
PF
18.5
113.5
PTS
115.7

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ATL
82
Games
82
42.3
FG
42.0
90.9
FGA
89.0
.466
FG%
.472
14.0
3Pt-FG
13.1
38.9
3Pt-FGA
36.5
.360
3Pt%
.358
28.3
2Pt-FG
29.0
52.0
2Pt-FGA
52.5
.545
2Pt%
.552
14.3
FT
17.4
18.4
FTA
22.5
.776
FT%
.775
11.0
ORB
11.5
34.8
DRB
31.6
45.8
TRB
43.1
27.2
AST
28.7
7.7
STL
9.4
4.8
BLK
5.0
14.2
TOV
15.1
17.4
PF
18.5
112.9
PTS
114.6

MIA
Analytics
ATL
42
Pythag Wins
38
40
Pythag Losses
44
0.56
Margin Of Victory
-1.13
113.5
O Rtg
114.6
112.9
D Rtg
115.7
96.2
Pace
102.6
.232
FTr
.252
.429
3PAr
.410
.576
TS%
.579

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA ATL
MIA ATL
Consensus
-1.0 (-111)
+1.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-111)
-2.0 (-109)
-1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-112)
-2.5 (-108)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-114)
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
-1.5 (-113)
+1.5 (-113)
+2.0 (-113)
-2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-105)
+2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-105)
-2.0 (-115)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA ATL
MIA ATL
Consensus
-115
-105
+112
-132
-115
-105
+120
-142
-110
-106
+114
-134
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
231.5 (-109)
231.5 (-111)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
232.0 (-108)
232.0 (-112)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
231.5 (-108)
231.5 (-113)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
231.5 (-115)
231.5 (-105)

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