Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Feb 24, 2025

Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Pick – 2/24/2025


The Miami Heat (26-29) face off against the Atlanta Hawks (26-31) in a pivotal matchup on February 24, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET. This clash features two divisional rivals, adding extra significance and motivation for both teams to secure a win.

Both squads are entering this game on the second night of back-to-back contests, which could impact their performance. The Miami Heat are coming off a tough loss to the Milwaukee Bucks, falling 120-113, while the Atlanta Hawks suffered a high-scoring defeat against the Detroit Pistons, losing 148-143. With both teams struggling recently, the Hawks have dropped three consecutive games, while the Heat have lost 18 of their last 30 road games.

Despite being on the road, the Heat are slight favorites with the spread currently set at Heat -1.5. The Moneyline reflects a similar sentiment, with the Heat at -120 and the Hawks at +100, translating to an implied win probability of 52% for Miami and 48% for Atlanta.

For bettors, Tyler Herro's Points and Assists prop market has garnered attention, suggesting he could play a crucial role in this matchup. Additionally, sharp bettors are leaning toward the Under, believing it offers value at Under 33.5 Points and Assists (-110).

As both teams look to turn their fortunes around, this matchup promises to be a competitive and engaging affair, with each squad eager to capitalize on the rivalry and improve their standing.


Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 113.72 vs Atlanta Hawks 109.55


Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Heat52%62%
Hawks48%38%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.0/-112
76% MIA
+1.0/-108
24% ATL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-115
54% MIA
-105
46% ATL

Total Pick Consensus

228.5/-112
16% UN
228.5/-108
84% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
ATL
55
Games
57
39.7
FG
43.8
87.1
FGA
90.8
.455
FG%
.483
13.9
3Pt-FG
14.1
38.7
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.359
3Pt%
.371
25.8
2Pt-FG
29.7
48.5
2Pt-FGA
52.7
.532
2Pt%
.563
16.9
FT
17.8
21.4
FTA
22.2
.790
FT%
.800
9.7
ORB
10.3
34.4
DRB
34.4
44.1
TRB
44.7
26.1
AST
28.4
7.9
STL
9.4
3.8
BLK
5.2
13.6
TOV
16.5
16.0
PF
20.2
110.1
PTS
119.6

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
ATL
55
Games
57
41.4
FG
42.6
89.6
FGA
92.1
.462
FG%
.462
13.8
3Pt-FG
13.1
38.5
3Pt-FGA
37.5
.358
3Pt%
.350
27.6
2Pt-FG
29.4
51.1
2Pt-FGA
54.5
.540
2Pt%
.539
14.3
FT
18.8
18.3
FTA
24.4
.785
FT%
.769
11.1
ORB
11.9
34.5
DRB
33.1
45.6
TRB
45.0
26.8
AST
29.3
7.4
STL
10.0
4.9
BLK
5.2
13.5
TOV
15.8
17.7
PF
18.9
110.9
PTS
117.0

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
ATL
.535
eFG%
.560
12.4
TOV%
14.1
21.9
RB%
76.3
.194
FT/FGA
.196

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
ATL
.539
eFG%
.534
12.2
TOV%
13.4
75.6
RB%
25.7
.160
FT/FGA
.204

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ATL
55
Games
57
40.5
FG
42.1
88.9
FGA
87.2
.455
FG%
.483
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.6
39.4
3Pt-FGA
36.6
.359
3Pt%
.371
26.3
2Pt-FG
28.5
49.5
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.532
2Pt%
.563
17.2
FT
17.1
21.8
FTA
21.3
.790
FT%
.800
9.9
ORB
9.9
35.1
DRB
33.0
45.0
TRB
42.9
26.6
AST
27.3
8.0
STL
9.0
3.9
BLK
5.0
13.9
TOV
15.8
16.3
PF
19.4
112.3
PTS
114.8

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ATL
55
Games
57
42.2
FG
40.9
91.4
FGA
88.4
.462
FG%
.462
14.1
3Pt-FG
12.6
39.3
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.358
3Pt%
.350
28.1
2Pt-FG
28.2
52.1
2Pt-FGA
52.4
.540
2Pt%
.539
14.6
FT
18.0
18.6
FTA
23.4
.785
FT%
.769
11.3
ORB
11.4
35.2
DRB
31.8
46.5
TRB
43.2
27.3
AST
28.1
7.5
STL
9.6
5.0
BLK
5.0
13.8
TOV
15.2
18.0
PF
18.1
113.1
PTS
112.4

MIA
Analytics
ATL
26
Pythag Wins
24
29
Pythag Losses
33
-0.80
Margin Of Victory
-2.53
112.3
O Rtg
112.4
113.1
D Rtg
114.8
96.5
Pace
103.4
.245
FTr
.265
.444
3PAr
.407
.570
TS%
.569

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA ATL
MIA ATL
Consensus
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-109)
-1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-108)
-1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-114)
-1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-108)
-1.5 (-108)
+1.5 (-113)
-1.5 (-108)
+1.5 (-113)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.5 (-105)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
+1.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
MIA ATL
MIA ATL
Consensus
-115
-105
-116
-103
-115
-105
-115
-105
-110
-106
-118
+100
-117
-103
-118
+100
-115
-105
-115
-105
-118
-102
-115
-105
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
228.5 (-108)
228.5 (-112)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
228.0 (-113)
228.0 (-108)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)

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