Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Jan 23, 2025

Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks Pick & Prediction – 1/23/2025

  • Date: January 23, 2025
  • Venue: Fiserv Forum


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat 7 (-110), Milwaukee Bucks -7 (-110)
Over/Under:223.5
Moneyline:Miami Heat 225, Milwaukee Bucks -265


Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 30%Miami Heat - 39%
Milwaukee Bucks - 70%Milwaukee Bucks - 61%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview

The Miami Heat (21-21) face off against the Milwaukee Bucks (25-17) in what promises to be an intriguing matchup on Thursday night. Scheduled to tip off at 7:30 PM ET at Fiserv Forum, this game carries significant implications for both teams as they navigate the midway point of the season.

Milwaukee enters this contest riding high, having secured four consecutive victories. However, the Bucks are in a back-to-back situation, which could pose challenges given the limited rest for their players. The fatigue factor may play a role, especially against a Miami squad that has struggled on the road, losing 12 of their last 20 away games. The Heat are coming off a disappointing 116-107 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers, and they will be looking to bounce back.

From a betting perspective, the Bucks are favored by 7.0 points, with a moneyline of -275. This gives Milwaukee an implied win probability of 71%, while the Heat sit at 29% with a moneyline of +230. Bettors should keep an eye on the player prop market, particularly Kel'el Ware's Points, Rebounds, and Assists, which has gained traction as the most popular betting option for this game. The current line for this prop is set at Over 26.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-120), with sharp bettors leaning towards the Over, suggesting they see value in this line.


Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 109.46 vs Milwaukee Bucks 113.37

Get daily NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+6.0/-112
34% MIA
-6.0/-108
66% MIL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+196
9% MIA
-240
91% MIL

Total Pick Consensus

225.0/-108
16% UN
225.0/-112
84% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
MIL
53
Games
53
39.5
FG
41.2
87.1
FGA
91.0
.454
FG%
.452
14.0
3Pt-FG
13.9
38.8
3Pt-FGA
39.6
.360
3Pt%
.352
25.5
2Pt-FG
27.2
48.2
2Pt-FGA
51.4
.529
2Pt%
.529
16.8
FT
16.6
21.4
FTA
21.0
.788
FT%
.792
9.7
ORB
11.1
34.3
DRB
34.9
44.1
TRB
46.1
26.2
AST
26.0
7.9
STL
7.5
3.8
BLK
4.0
13.7
TOV
12.9
15.8
PF
18.5
109.8
PTS
112.9

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
MIL
53
Games
53
41.4
FG
41.8
89.6
FGA
87.2
.462
FG%
.480
13.7
3Pt-FG
14.4
38.4
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.357
3Pt%
.387
27.7
2Pt-FG
27.4
51.2
2Pt-FGA
49.9
.540
2Pt%
.549
14.2
FT
16.2
18.1
FTA
21.8
.784
FT%
.739
11.1
ORB
8.5
34.6
DRB
35.5
45.7
TRB
44.0
26.9
AST
25.3
7.4
STL
7.2
5.0
BLK
4.9
13.6
TOV
13.6
17.5
PF
18.5
110.7
PTS
114.3

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
MIL
.534
eFG%
.529
12.4
TOV%
11.4
21.9
RB%
76.2
.193
FT/FGA
.182

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
MIL
.539
eFG%
.562
12.2
TOV%
12.3
75.6
RB%
19.7
.158
FT/FGA
.185

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIL
53
Games
53
40.3
FG
41.2
88.8
FGA
91.2
.454
FG%
.452
14.3
3Pt-FG
14.0
39.6
3Pt-FGA
39.6
.360
3Pt%
.352
26.0
2Pt-FG
27.3
49.2
2Pt-FGA
51.5
.529
2Pt%
.529
17.2
FT
16.6
21.8
FTA
21.0
.788
FT%
.792
9.9
ORB
11.1
35.0
DRB
35.0
45.0
TRB
46.1
26.8
AST
26.0
8.1
STL
7.6
3.9
BLK
4.0
14.0
TOV
12.9
16.1
PF
18.5
112.1
PTS
113.1

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIL
53
Games
53
42.2
FG
41.9
91.5
FGA
87.4
.462
FG%
.480
14.0
3Pt-FG
14.5
39.2
3Pt-FGA
37.4
.357
3Pt%
.387
28.2
2Pt-FG
27.5
52.2
2Pt-FGA
50.0
.540
2Pt%
.549
14.5
FT
16.2
18.5
FTA
21.9
.784
FT%
.739
11.3
ORB
8.6
35.3
DRB
35.6
46.6
TRB
44.1
27.4
AST
25.3
7.6
STL
7.3
5.1
BLK
4.9
13.9
TOV
13.6
17.9
PF
18.5
113.0
PTS
114.5

MIA
Analytics
MIL
25
Pythag Wins
29
28
Pythag Losses
24
-0.87
Margin Of Victory
1.40
112.1
O Rtg
114.5
113.0
D Rtg
113.1
96.7
Pace
99.6
.245
FTr
.250
.446
3PAr
.428
.569
TS%
.590

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA MIL
MIA MIL
Consensus
+6.5 (-113)
-6.5 (-111)
+6.5 (-113)
-6.5 (-107)
+6.5 (-112)
-6.5 (-115)
+6.0 (-112)
-6.0 (-108)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-113)
-6.5 (-112)
+6.5 (-113)
-6.5 (-107)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-115)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA MIL
MIA MIL
Consensus
+211
-258
+196
-240
+215
-265
+195
-238
+215
-260
+194
-235
+195
-240
+190
-230
+228
-285
+196
-240
+220
-275
+200
-250
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
225.5 (-111)
225.5 (-109)
225.0 (-108)
225.0 (-113)
225.5 (-108)
225.5 (-112)
224.0 (-112)
224.0 (-108)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
226.0 (-108)
226.0 (-113)
225.0 (-108)
225.0 (-113)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
226.5 (-105)
226.5 (-115)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)

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