Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Nov 17, 2024

Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers Pick & Prediction – 11/17/2024

  • Date: November 17, 2024
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat 2.5 (-110), Indiana Pacers -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under:229
Moneyline:Miami Heat 120, Indiana Pacers -140


Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 44%Miami Heat - 59%
Indiana Pacers - 56%Indiana Pacers - 41%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Miami Heat and the Indiana Pacers are set to clash in a Sunday Night showdown at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, with tip-off scheduled for 5:00 PM ET. This matchup features two teams with nearly identical records, the Heat at 5-6 and the Pacers at 5-7. Despite their similar records, the Pacers enter the game as a slight favorite at home, with a spread of -2.5 and a moneyline of -140. The Heat, on the other hand, have a moneyline of +120, reflecting their implied win probability of 44%, compared to the Pacers' 56%.

The Heat have been on an upswing recently, winning two of their last three games, including a decisive 124-111 victory over the Pacers in their last meeting. This recent win was considered an upset, as Miami was a 4.5-point underdog with just a 37% chance of winning. The Heat's recent performance indicates they might be finding their rhythm, which could make them a more dangerous opponent than their record suggests.

Conversely, the Pacers have struggled lately, losing three of their last four games. This recent skid includes the aforementioned loss to the Heat, a game where their defense faltered, allowing Miami to score at will. The Pacers will need to tighten up their defensive strategy to avoid a repeat of their previous encounter.

For bettors, this game presents an intriguing opportunity. While the Pacers are favored, the Heat's recent form and their victory over Indiana suggest they could outperform expectations once again. As both teams vie for a much-needed win, this matchup promises to be a competitive and potentially high-scoring affair.


Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 120.79 vs Indiana Pacers 117.79

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.5/-108
74% MIA
-3.5/-112
26% IND

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+136
26% MIA
-160
74% IND

Total Pick Consensus

228.0/-108
26% UN
228.0/-112
74% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
IND
21
Games
24
39.8
FG
43.0
88.3
FGA
88.8
.450
FG%
.485
15.0
3Pt-FG
13.7
39.3
3Pt-FGA
37.4
.381
3Pt%
.366
24.8
2Pt-FG
29.4
49.0
2Pt-FGA
51.4
.506
2Pt%
.572
17.3
FT
18.7
22.3
FTA
24.0
.776
FT%
.776
10.3
ORB
10.5
33.0
DRB
32.8
43.4
TRB
43.3
26.4
AST
26.6
9.2
STL
8.2
3.6
BLK
4.6
12.8
TOV
14.8
16.4
PF
19.1
111.8
PTS
118.4

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
IND
21
Games
24
40.4
FG
42.5
87.7
FGA
87.4
.461
FG%
.486
13.7
3Pt-FG
12.4
38.2
3Pt-FGA
33.1
.357
3Pt%
.375
26.8
2Pt-FG
30.0
49.5
2Pt-FGA
54.3
.541
2Pt%
.553
14.6
FT
16.9
18.1
FTA
21.5
.803
FT%
.785
11.6
ORB
8.7
34.2
DRB
31.5
45.9
TRB
40.2
26.8
AST
27.3
7.0
STL
8.4
5.5
BLK
5.1
15.5
TOV
15.0
18.8
PF
20.1
109.1
PTS
114.2

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
IND
.535
eFG%
.562
11.5
TOV%
12.9
23.2
RB%
74.9
.196
FT/FGA
.210

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
IND
.539
eFG%
.557
14.0
TOV%
13.4
74.0
RB%
21.0
.166
FT/FGA
.193

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
21
Games
24
40.7
FG
42.7
90.4
FGA
88.0
.450
FG%
.485
15.3
3Pt-FG
13.5
40.2
3Pt-FGA
37.0
.381
3Pt%
.366
25.4
2Pt-FG
29.1
50.2
2Pt-FGA
50.9
.506
2Pt%
.572
17.7
FT
18.5
22.8
FTA
23.8
.776
FT%
.776
10.6
ORB
10.4
33.9
DRB
32.5
44.4
TRB
43.0
27.1
AST
26.4
9.5
STL
8.1
3.7
BLK
4.5
13.1
TOV
14.6
16.8
PF
18.9
114.5
PTS
117.4

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
21
Games
24
41.4
FG
42.1
89.8
FGA
86.7
.461
FG%
.486
14.0
3Pt-FG
12.3
39.2
3Pt-FGA
32.8
.357
3Pt%
.375
27.4
2Pt-FG
29.8
50.7
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.541
2Pt%
.553
14.9
FT
16.7
18.6
FTA
21.3
.803
FT%
.785
11.9
ORB
8.6
35.1
DRB
31.2
47.0
TRB
39.8
27.4
AST
27.0
7.2
STL
8.3
5.6
BLK
5.0
15.9
TOV
14.9
19.2
PF
19.9
111.7
PTS
113.2

MIA
Analytics
IND
12
Pythag Wins
9
9
Pythag Losses
15
2.67
Margin Of Victory
-4.21
114.5
O Rtg
113.2
111.7
D Rtg
117.4
96.7
Pace
100.0
.252
FTr
.246
.445
3PAr
.379
.570
TS%
.589

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA IND
MIA IND
Consensus
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-113)
-3.5 (-108)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA IND
MIA IND
Consensus
+120
-142
+136
-160
+120
-142
+140
-166
+126
-148
+140
-166
+116
-137
+130
-155
+118
-140
+143
-170
+120
-145
+135
-160
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
228.0 (-112)
228.0 (-108)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
228.0 (-105)
228.0 (-115)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)