Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Dec 29, 2024

Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat at Houston Rockets Prediction For 12/29/2024

  • Date: December 29, 2024
  • Venue: Toyota Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat 8 (-110), Houston Rockets -8 (-110)
Over/Under:216.5
Moneyline:Miami Heat 275, Houston Rockets -330


Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 26%Miami Heat - 23%
Houston Rockets - 74%Houston Rockets - 77%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Betting Preview

On December 17, 2023, the Miami Heat will face off against the Houston Rockets at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas, with the game scheduled to tip off at 7:00 PM ET. This matchup presents a clear contrast in recent performance, as the Rockets enter with a solid 21-10 record, having won 21 of their last 30 games. Conversely, the Heat sit at 15-14 and are coming off a tough loss to the Atlanta Hawks, where they fell 120-110.

One notable factor for the Heat is that this game marks a back-to-back scenario, which could hinder their performance. With a game played just a day prior, Miami's players may struggle with fatigue against a well-rested Rockets squad. This has implications for bettors, as the Rockets are favored by 8.0 points, with a moneyline of -330, indicating a strong expectation of a Houston victory with an implied win probability of 74%. Meanwhile, the Heat's moneyline sits at +275, reflecting a 26% implied win probability.

Bettors interested in player props should keep an eye on Bam Adebayo’s Points, Rebounds, and Assists, which has emerged as the most popular betting market for this game. Additionally, sharp money seems to be leaning towards the Under in the total points market, currently priced at Under 31.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists for Adebayo at -110, suggesting that some believe it may be mispriced and offers value.


Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 104.57 vs Houston Rockets 114.04

Stay informed with the most recent NBA news and our analytics-driven NBA picks and predictions all season long.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+8.5/-105
59% MIA
DraftKings
-8.5/-115
41% HOU

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+282
14% MIA
FanDuel
-351
86% HOU

Total Pick Consensus

215.0/-105
12% UN
DraftKings
215.0/-115
88% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
HOU
42
Games
43
39.8
FG
39.4
87.0
FGA
87.7
.458
FG%
.450
14.3
3Pt-FG
12.5
38.6
3Pt-FGA
34.6
.370
3Pt%
.360
25.6
2Pt-FG
27.0
48.4
2Pt-FGA
53.1
.528
2Pt%
.508
17.2
FT
16.5
21.7
FTA
22.3
.792
FT%
.739
9.4
ORB
11.0
34.1
DRB
32.1
43.5
TRB
43.1
26.3
AST
22.6
8.5
STL
8.0
3.8
BLK
6.0
13.4
TOV
15.6
15.8
PF
19.9
111.1
PTS
107.8

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
HOU
42
Games
43
41.2
FG
42.0
89.0
FGA
93.8
.462
FG%
.448
13.6
3Pt-FG
12.3
38.0
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.358
3Pt%
.340
27.6
2Pt-FG
29.7
51.1
2Pt-FGA
57.8
.540
2Pt%
.514
14.2
FT
17.4
18.0
FTA
23.1
.789
FT%
.755
11.2
ORB
14.7
34.5
DRB
33.7
45.7
TRB
48.5
27.0
AST
22.4
7.2
STL
9.3
5.1
BLK
5.2
14.3
TOV
13.9
17.8
PF
19.6
110.1
PTS
113.7

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
HOU
.540
eFG%
.521
12.2
TOV%
13.8
21.4
RB%
75.5
.198
FT/FGA
.188

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
HOU
.539
eFG%
.513
12.9
TOV%
11.8
75.4
RB%
31.4
.160
FT/FGA
.186

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
HOU
42
Games
43
40.6
FG
39.6
88.7
FGA
88.1
.458
FG%
.450
14.5
3Pt-FG
12.5
39.3
3Pt-FGA
34.7
.370
3Pt%
.360
26.1
2Pt-FG
27.1
49.3
2Pt-FGA
53.3
.528
2Pt%
.508
17.5
FT
16.6
22.1
FTA
22.4
.792
FT%
.739
9.6
ORB
11.0
34.8
DRB
32.3
44.4
TRB
43.3
26.8
AST
22.7
8.6
STL
8.0
3.9
BLK
6.0
13.7
TOV
15.7
16.1
PF
20.0
113.2
PTS
108.3

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
HOU
42
Games
43
42.0
FG
42.2
90.8
FGA
94.3
.462
FG%
.448
13.9
3Pt-FG
12.3
38.7
3Pt-FGA
36.2
.358
3Pt%
.340
28.1
2Pt-FG
29.9
52.1
2Pt-FGA
58.1
.540
2Pt%
.514
14.5
FT
17.5
18.4
FTA
23.2
.789
FT%
.755
11.4
ORB
14.8
35.2
DRB
33.9
46.5
TRB
48.7
27.5
AST
22.5
7.4
STL
9.3
5.2
BLK
5.2
14.6
TOV
13.9
18.1
PF
19.7
112.3
PTS
114.2

MIA
Analytics
HOU
22
Pythag Wins
29
20
Pythag Losses
14
0.98
Margin Of Victory
5.86
113.2
O Rtg
114.2
112.3
D Rtg
108.3
96.9
Pace
98.8
.250
FTr
.246
.444
3PAr
.384
.575
TS%
.547

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA HOU
MIA HOU
Consensus
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-108)
-8.5 (-111)
DraftKings
DraftKings $200 Bonus
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-105)
-8.5 (-115)
FanDuel
FanDuel $300 Bonus
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+6.5 (-113)
-6.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-113)
-9.0 (-107)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-105)
-8.5 (-115)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-115)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA HOU
MIA HOU
Consensus
+226
-280
+282
-351
DraftKings
DraftKings $200 Bonus
+225
-278
+275
-345
FanDuel
FanDuel $300 Bonus
+225
-275
+265
-330
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+210
-265
+280
-360
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+228
-285
+285
-365
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+225
-275
+290
-375
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
215.0 (-110)
215.0 (-110)
215.0 (-112)
215.0 (-108)
DraftKings
DraftKings $200 Bonus
215.0 (-110)
215.0 (-110)
215.0 (-115)
215.0 (-105)
FanDuel
FanDuel $300 Bonus
215.5 (-110)
215.5 (-110)
215.5 (-110)
215.5 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
215.5 (-110)
215.5 (-110)
215.0 (-113)
215.0 (-108)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
215.0 (-105)
215.0 (-115)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
215.5 (-115)
215.5 (-105)
215.5 (-110)
215.5 (-110)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
MIA
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
HOU
2-1-0
Win/Loss/Tie
2-1-0
2-1-0
ATS W/L/P
2-1-0
103
Avg Score
118
101
Avg Opp Score
108.33
2-3-0
Win/Loss/Tie
4-1-0
2-3-0
ATS W/L/P
3-2-0
104
Avg Score
120.2
105.6
Avg Opp Score
109.6
6-4-0
Win/Loss/Tie
6-4-0
5-5-0
ATS W/L/P
4-6-0
113.5
Avg Score
110.9
107.4
Avg Opp Score
107.4
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
04/05/24
MIA
217.0
-160
27
HOU
3.5
+133
27
01/08/24
HOU
219.5
+149
27
MIA
-4.0
-180
34
02/10/23
HOU
219.5
+479
29
MIA
-11.5
-674
28
12/15/22
MIA
218.0
-145
29
HOU
2.5
+121
29
03/07/22
HOU
225.0
+1085
32
MIA
-16.5
-2697
25
12/31/21
MIA
218.5
-217
41
HOU
5.5
+177
30
04/19/21
HOU
216.0
+165
28
MIA
-5.0
-199
30
02/11/21
MIA
215.0
-134
19
HOU
2.5
+111
29
11/27/19
MIA
227.0
+247
23
HOU
-7.0
-308
27
11/03/19
HOU
233.5
-156
14
MIA
3.5
+128
46

Miami Heat

01/21/25
POR
190.3
+267
30
MIA
-7.8
-335
33
01/19/25
SA
159.8
+95
22
MIA
-2.5
-113
15
01/17/25
DEN
89.6
-59
12
MIA
0.5
+51
4
01/15/25
MIA
69.7
+51
12
LAL
-1.5
-60
11
01/13/25
MIA
114.1
+143
18
LAC
-4.5
-178
15
01/11/25
MIA
100.5
-85
13
POR
0.9
+72
11
01/09/25
MIA
74.0
-70
2
UTA
0.6
+60
3
01/07/25
MIA
145.3
+205
19
GS
-6.0
-258
15
01/04/25
UTA
340.9
+437
33
MIA
-12.9
-549
33
01/02/25
IND
297.7
+148
50
MIA
-2.6
-176
33

Houston Rockets

01/22/25
CLE
378.2
-187
53
HOU
2.7
-174
65
01/20/25
DET
355.5
+389
63
HOU
-11.9
-475
46
01/18/25
HOU
323.0
-753
36
POR
15.2
+566
33
01/16/25
HOU
248.7
+174
28
SAC
-5.0
-207
29
01/15/25
HOU
73.0
-66
3
DEN
0.6
+56
2
01/13/25
MEM
123.1
+62
16
HOU
-1.3
-73
12
01/09/25
HOU
78.6
+42
15
MEM
-1.0
-49
12
01/07/25
HOU
149.3
-600
13
WAS
6.1
+409
20
01/05/25
LAL
160.5
+111
16
HOU
-3.3
-133
27
01/03/25
BOS
118.2
-86
20
HOU
1.0
+73
17

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