Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Dec 29, 2024

Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat at Houston Rockets Prediction For 12/29/2024

  • Date: December 29, 2024
  • Venue: Toyota Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat 8 (-110), Houston Rockets -8 (-110)
Over/Under:216.5
Moneyline:Miami Heat 275, Houston Rockets -330


Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 26%Miami Heat - 23%
Houston Rockets - 74%Houston Rockets - 77%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Betting Preview

On December 17, 2023, the Miami Heat will face off against the Houston Rockets at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas, with the game scheduled to tip off at 7:00 PM ET. This matchup presents a clear contrast in recent performance, as the Rockets enter with a solid 21-10 record, having won 21 of their last 30 games. Conversely, the Heat sit at 15-14 and are coming off a tough loss to the Atlanta Hawks, where they fell 120-110.

One notable factor for the Heat is that this game marks a back-to-back scenario, which could hinder their performance. With a game played just a day prior, Miami's players may struggle with fatigue against a well-rested Rockets squad. This has implications for bettors, as the Rockets are favored by 8.0 points, with a moneyline of -330, indicating a strong expectation of a Houston victory with an implied win probability of 74%. Meanwhile, the Heat's moneyline sits at +275, reflecting a 26% implied win probability.

Bettors interested in player props should keep an eye on Bam Adebayo’s Points, Rebounds, and Assists, which has emerged as the most popular betting market for this game. Additionally, sharp money seems to be leaning towards the Under in the total points market, currently priced at Under 31.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists for Adebayo at -110, suggesting that some believe it may be mispriced and offers value.


Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 104.57 vs Houston Rockets 114.04

Stay informed with the most recent NBA news and our analytics-driven NBA picks and predictions all season long.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+8.5/-105
59% MIA
-8.5/-115
41% HOU

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+282
14% MIA
-351
86% HOU

Total Pick Consensus

215.0/-105
12% UN
215.0/-115
88% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
HOU
47
Games
48
39.8
FG
39.8
87.0
FGA
87.7
.457
FG%
.454
14.2
3Pt-FG
12.5
38.9
3Pt-FGA
34.7
.365
3Pt%
.359
25.6
2Pt-FG
27.3
48.1
2Pt-FGA
53.0
.532
2Pt%
.516
17.0
FT
16.5
21.5
FTA
22.1
.790
FT%
.744
9.4
ORB
10.8
34.4
DRB
32.0
43.8
TRB
42.9
26.5
AST
22.6
8.2
STL
7.8
3.8
BLK
5.9
13.7
TOV
15.4
15.9
PF
20.1
110.7
PTS
108.5

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
HOU
47
Games
48
41.3
FG
41.9
89.5
FGA
93.3
.462
FG%
.448
13.7
3Pt-FG
12.3
38.1
3Pt-FGA
35.8
.358
3Pt%
.343
27.7
2Pt-FG
29.6
51.4
2Pt-FGA
57.5
.538
2Pt%
.514
14.3
FT
17.7
18.2
FTA
23.4
.784
FT%
.755
11.2
ORB
14.6
34.6
DRB
33.4
45.7
TRB
47.9
27.1
AST
22.4
7.4
STL
9.0
5.0
BLK
5.1
14.0
TOV
13.7
17.8
PF
19.7
110.6
PTS
113.6

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
HOU
.539
eFG%
.525
12.4
TOV%
13.6
21.4
RB%
75.5
.195
FT/FGA
.188

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
HOU
.538
eFG%
.514
12.5
TOV%
11.7
75.5
RB%
31.2
.159
FT/FGA
.189

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
HOU
47
Games
48
40.5
FG
40.1
88.5
FGA
88.3
.457
FG%
.454
14.4
3Pt-FG
12.5
39.5
3Pt-FGA
35.0
.365
3Pt%
.359
26.0
2Pt-FG
27.5
49.0
2Pt-FGA
53.3
.532
2Pt%
.516
17.3
FT
16.6
21.9
FTA
22.3
.790
FT%
.744
9.6
ORB
10.9
35.0
DRB
32.3
44.6
TRB
43.2
27.0
AST
22.8
8.4
STL
7.8
3.9
BLK
6.0
13.9
TOV
15.5
16.1
PF
20.2
112.7
PTS
109.2

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
HOU
47
Games
48
42.0
FG
42.2
91.1
FGA
94.0
.462
FG%
.448
13.9
3Pt-FG
12.4
38.8
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.358
3Pt%
.343
28.1
2Pt-FG
29.8
52.3
2Pt-FGA
58.0
.538
2Pt%
.514
14.5
FT
17.8
18.5
FTA
23.6
.784
FT%
.755
11.4
ORB
14.7
35.2
DRB
33.6
46.6
TRB
48.3
27.6
AST
22.6
7.5
STL
9.1
5.1
BLK
5.1
14.2
TOV
13.8
18.1
PF
19.8
112.5
PTS
114.5

MIA
Analytics
HOU
24
Pythag Wins
32
23
Pythag Losses
16
0.19
Margin Of Victory
5.19
112.7
O Rtg
114.5
112.5
D Rtg
109.2
96.8
Pace
98.6
.247
FTr
.251
.447
3PAr
.383
.574
TS%
.548

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA HOU
MIA HOU
Consensus
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-108)
-8.5 (-111)
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-105)
-8.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-113)
-6.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-113)
-9.0 (-107)
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-105)
-8.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-115)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA HOU
MIA HOU
Consensus
+226
-280
+282
-351
+225
-278
+275
-345
+225
-275
+265
-330
+210
-265
+280
-360
+228
-285
+285
-365
+225
-275
+290
-375
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
215.0 (-110)
215.0 (-110)
215.0 (-112)
215.0 (-108)
215.0 (-110)
215.0 (-110)
215.0 (-115)
215.0 (-105)
215.5 (-110)
215.5 (-110)
215.5 (-110)
215.5 (-110)
215.5 (-110)
215.5 (-110)
215.0 (-113)
215.0 (-108)
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
215.0 (-105)
215.0 (-115)
215.5 (-115)
215.5 (-105)
215.5 (-110)
215.5 (-110)

Related Articles