Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Nov 27, 2024

Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte Hornets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets Pick & Prediction – 11/27/2024

  • Date: November 27, 2024
  • Venue: Spectrum Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat -4 (-110), Charlotte Hornets 4 (-110)
Over/Under:217.5
Moneyline:Miami Heat -170, Charlotte Hornets 145


Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 61%Miami Heat - 93%
Charlotte Hornets - 39%Charlotte Hornets - 7%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Betting Preview

The Miami Heat, coming off a narrow defeat to the Milwaukee Bucks, head to Spectrum Center on Wednesday to face off against the struggling Charlotte Hornets. With both teams eyeing a rebound, the Heat, standing at 7-8, are slight favorites against the 6-11 Hornets, despite Miami facing the disadvantage of a back-to-back scenario.

The divisional rivalry between these two teams adds an extra layer of intrigue to the matchup. Both clubs have stumbled in recent outings, with Miami dropping 6 of their last 10 and Charlotte losing 10 of their last 15. The Heat are favored by 4 points, and the betting lines reflect a 61% implied win probability for Miami and 39% for Charlotte. The Heat are listed at -170 on the moneyline, while the Hornets sit at +150.

Miami's recent form may not inspire immediate confidence, but their status as road favorites indicates the market's faith in them bouncing back. For the Hornets, who recently fell to the Orlando Magic 95-84, this game presents a chance to capitalize on Miami's fatigue.

Among betting markets, Tyler Herro's performance in Points and Rebounds has attracted significant attention. Currently listed at Over/Under 28.5 (-110), this prop is generating interest among sharp bettors eyeing potential value. Additionally, many bettors are leaning towards the Over, suggesting expectations of a higher-scoring affair than the market anticipates.

Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET, and both teams will be motivated to steer their seasons back on track. While the Heat look to overcome the challenge of consecutive game nights, the Hornets aim to leverage home-court advantage in this crucial divisional contest.


Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 119.4 vs Charlotte Hornets 99.57

Get daily NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-4.5/-105
36% MIA
+4.5/-115
64% CHA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-176
81% MIA
+148
19% CHA

Total Pick Consensus

218.5/-110
27% UN
218.5/-110
73% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CHA
39
Games
37
39.4
FG
40.6
86.5
FGA
87.4
.455
FG%
.464
14.3
3Pt-FG
13.8
38.8
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.369
3Pt%
.352
25.1
2Pt-FG
26.8
47.7
2Pt-FGA
48.3
.526
2Pt%
.555
17.6
FT
17.5
22.5
FTA
22.6
.784
FT%
.775
9.4
ORB
10.4
34.1
DRB
33.6
43.4
TRB
44.0
26.0
AST
26.4
8.8
STL
8.1
3.8
BLK
5.5
13.7
TOV
14.3
15.9
PF
19.1
110.7
PTS
112.4

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CHA
39
Games
37
40.9
FG
38.5
89.0
FGA
89.9
.460
FG%
.428
13.5
3Pt-FG
14.2
37.9
3Pt-FGA
41.8
.355
3Pt%
.341
27.4
2Pt-FG
24.2
51.1
2Pt-FGA
48.1
.537
2Pt%
.504
14.2
FT
15.4
17.9
FTA
19.9
.794
FT%
.771
11.2
ORB
13.0
34.6
DRB
33.4
45.8
TRB
46.4
26.8
AST
23.7
7.5
STL
8.0
5.3
BLK
4.9
14.7
TOV
16.1
18.3
PF
20.4
109.5
PTS
106.5

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
CHA
.538
eFG%
.543
12.4
TOV%
12.8
21.3
RB%
76.3
.204
FT/FGA
.201

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
CHA
.535
eFG%
.507
13.2
TOV%
14.0
75.2
RB%
27.8
.160
FT/FGA
.171

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CHA
39
Games
37
40.1
FG
41.1
88.1
FGA
88.5
.455
FG%
.464
14.6
3Pt-FG
13.9
39.5
3Pt-FGA
39.6
.369
3Pt%
.352
25.5
2Pt-FG
27.2
48.6
2Pt-FGA
48.9
.526
2Pt%
.555
17.9
FT
17.8
22.9
FTA
22.9
.784
FT%
.775
9.5
ORB
10.5
34.7
DRB
34.1
44.2
TRB
44.6
26.5
AST
26.8
8.9
STL
8.2
3.9
BLK
5.6
13.9
TOV
14.5
16.2
PF
19.3
112.7
PTS
113.9

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CHA
39
Games
37
41.6
FG
39.0
90.5
FGA
91.0
.460
FG%
.428
13.7
3Pt-FG
14.4
38.6
3Pt-FGA
42.3
.355
3Pt%
.341
27.9
2Pt-FG
24.5
52.0
2Pt-FGA
48.7
.537
2Pt%
.504
14.5
FT
15.6
18.2
FTA
20.2
.794
FT%
.771
11.4
ORB
13.1
35.2
DRB
33.8
46.6
TRB
47.0
27.3
AST
24.0
7.6
STL
8.1
5.3
BLK
5.0
14.9
TOV
16.3
18.6
PF
20.6
111.4
PTS
107.9

MIA
Analytics
CHA
21
Pythag Wins
12
18
Pythag Losses
25
1.26
Margin Of Victory
-5.89
112.7
O Rtg
107.9
111.4
D Rtg
113.9
97.0
Pace
97.9
.260
FTr
.222
.448
3PAr
.465
.574
TS%
.540

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA CHA
MIA CHA
Consensus
-2.5 (-107)
+2.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-107)
+4.5 (-111)
-3.0 (-105)
+3.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
-2.0 (-108)
+2.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-112)
-3.0 (-109)
+3.0 (-106)
-4.0 (-109)
+4.0 (-112)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
MIA CHA
MIA CHA
Consensus
-158
+130
-176
+148
-155
+130
-185
+154
-134
+114
-178
+150
-155
+130
-175
+145
-165
+140
-170
+143
-150
+125
-185
+150
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
218.5 (-113)
218.5 (-108)
218.5 (-109)
218.5 (-111)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
217.0 (-112)
217.0 (-109)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-105)
218.0 (-115)
217.5 (-105)
217.5 (-115)
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)