Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Nov 27, 2024

Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte Hornets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets Pick & Prediction – 11/27/2024

  • Date: November 27, 2024
  • Venue: Spectrum Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat -4 (-110), Charlotte Hornets 4 (-110)
Over/Under:217.5
Moneyline:Miami Heat -170, Charlotte Hornets 145


Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 61%Miami Heat - 93%
Charlotte Hornets - 39%Charlotte Hornets - 7%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Betting Preview

The Miami Heat, coming off a narrow defeat to the Milwaukee Bucks, head to Spectrum Center on Wednesday to face off against the struggling Charlotte Hornets. With both teams eyeing a rebound, the Heat, standing at 7-8, are slight favorites against the 6-11 Hornets, despite Miami facing the disadvantage of a back-to-back scenario.

The divisional rivalry between these two teams adds an extra layer of intrigue to the matchup. Both clubs have stumbled in recent outings, with Miami dropping 6 of their last 10 and Charlotte losing 10 of their last 15. The Heat are favored by 4 points, and the betting lines reflect a 61% implied win probability for Miami and 39% for Charlotte. The Heat are listed at -170 on the moneyline, while the Hornets sit at +150.

Miami's recent form may not inspire immediate confidence, but their status as road favorites indicates the market's faith in them bouncing back. For the Hornets, who recently fell to the Orlando Magic 95-84, this game presents a chance to capitalize on Miami's fatigue.

Among betting markets, Tyler Herro's performance in Points and Rebounds has attracted significant attention. Currently listed at Over/Under 28.5 (-110), this prop is generating interest among sharp bettors eyeing potential value. Additionally, many bettors are leaning towards the Over, suggesting expectations of a higher-scoring affair than the market anticipates.

Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET, and both teams will be motivated to steer their seasons back on track. While the Heat look to overcome the challenge of consecutive game nights, the Hornets aim to leverage home-court advantage in this crucial divisional contest.


Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 119.4 vs Charlotte Hornets 99.57

Get daily NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-4.5/-105
36% MIA
+4.5/-115
64% CHA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-176
81% MIA
+148
19% CHA

Total Pick Consensus

218.5/-110
27% UN
218.5/-110
73% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CHA
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
41.6
87.0
FGA
88.9
.465
FG%
.467
13.7
3Pt-FG
14.2
37.3
3Pt-FGA
40.0
.367
3Pt%
.355
26.8
2Pt-FG
27.4
49.7
2Pt-FGA
49.0
.538
2Pt%
.559
16.0
FT
16.9
20.2
FTA
21.4
.791
FT%
.790
9.7
ORB
11.3
33.7
DRB
33.9
43.4
TRB
45.2
26.4
AST
26.8
8.1
STL
8.8
3.8
BLK
5.3
13.6
TOV
13.3
15.5
PF
18.1
110.6
PTS
114.2

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CHA
82
Games
82
41.3
FG
38.3
88.6
FGA
89.1
.466
FG%
.430
13.6
3Pt-FG
13.0
37.9
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.360
3Pt%
.339
27.6
2Pt-FG
25.3
50.6
2Pt-FGA
50.8
.545
2Pt%
.499
13.9
FT
15.5
17.9
FTA
19.8
.776
FT%
.783
10.7
ORB
12.2
33.9
DRB
33.0
44.7
TRB
45.2
26.5
AST
24.3
7.5
STL
7.4
4.7
BLK
4.5
13.8
TOV
15.5
17.0
PF
18.7
110.0
PTS
105.1

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
CHA
.544
eFG%
.547
12.4
TOV%
11.9
22.3
RB%
74.5
.183
FT/FGA
.190

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
CHA
.543
eFG%
.503
12.5
TOV%
13.7
75.8
RB%
26.5
.157
FT/FGA
.174

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CHA
82
Games
82
41.5
FG
42.4
89.3
FGA
90.8
.465
FG%
.467
14.1
3Pt-FG
14.5
38.3
3Pt-FGA
40.8
.367
3Pt%
.355
27.5
2Pt-FG
28.0
51.0
2Pt-FGA
50.0
.538
2Pt%
.559
16.4
FT
17.2
20.7
FTA
21.8
.791
FT%
.790
10.0
ORB
11.5
34.5
DRB
34.6
44.5
TRB
46.2
27.1
AST
27.3
8.4
STL
8.9
3.9
BLK
5.4
13.9
TOV
13.6
16.0
PF
18.5
113.5
PTS
116.6

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CHA
82
Games
82
42.3
FG
39.1
90.9
FGA
91.0
.466
FG%
.430
14.0
3Pt-FG
13.3
38.9
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.360
3Pt%
.339
28.3
2Pt-FG
25.9
52.0
2Pt-FGA
51.8
.545
2Pt%
.499
14.3
FT
15.8
18.4
FTA
20.2
.776
FT%
.783
11.0
ORB
12.5
34.8
DRB
33.6
45.8
TRB
46.1
27.2
AST
24.8
7.7
STL
7.6
4.8
BLK
4.6
14.2
TOV
15.8
17.4
PF
19.1
112.9
PTS
107.3

MIA
Analytics
CHA
42
Pythag Wins
20
40
Pythag Losses
62
0.56
Margin Of Victory
-9.11
113.5
O Rtg
107.3
112.9
D Rtg
116.6
96.2
Pace
97.6
.232
FTr
.222
.429
3PAr
.430
.576
TS%
.537

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA CHA
MIA CHA
Consensus
-2.5 (-107)
+2.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-107)
+4.5 (-111)
-3.0 (-105)
+3.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
-2.0 (-108)
+2.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-112)
-3.0 (-109)
+3.0 (-106)
-4.0 (-109)
+4.0 (-112)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
MIA CHA
MIA CHA
Consensus
-158
+130
-176
+148
-155
+130
-185
+154
-134
+114
-178
+150
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
218.5 (-113)
218.5 (-108)
218.5 (-109)
218.5 (-111)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
217.0 (-112)
217.0 (-109)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-105)
218.0 (-115)
217.5 (-105)
217.5 (-115)
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)

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