Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Nov 27, 2024

Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte Hornets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets Pick & Prediction – 11/27/2024

  • Date: November 27, 2024
  • Venue: Spectrum Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat -4 (-110), Charlotte Hornets 4 (-110)
Over/Under:217.5
Moneyline:Miami Heat -170, Charlotte Hornets 145


Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 61%Miami Heat - 93%
Charlotte Hornets - 39%Charlotte Hornets - 7%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Betting Preview

The Miami Heat, coming off a narrow defeat to the Milwaukee Bucks, head to Spectrum Center on Wednesday to face off against the struggling Charlotte Hornets. With both teams eyeing a rebound, the Heat, standing at 7-8, are slight favorites against the 6-11 Hornets, despite Miami facing the disadvantage of a back-to-back scenario.

The divisional rivalry between these two teams adds an extra layer of intrigue to the matchup. Both clubs have stumbled in recent outings, with Miami dropping 6 of their last 10 and Charlotte losing 10 of their last 15. The Heat are favored by 4 points, and the betting lines reflect a 61% implied win probability for Miami and 39% for Charlotte. The Heat are listed at -170 on the moneyline, while the Hornets sit at +150.

Miami's recent form may not inspire immediate confidence, but their status as road favorites indicates the market's faith in them bouncing back. For the Hornets, who recently fell to the Orlando Magic 95-84, this game presents a chance to capitalize on Miami's fatigue.

Among betting markets, Tyler Herro's performance in Points and Rebounds has attracted significant attention. Currently listed at Over/Under 28.5 (-110), this prop is generating interest among sharp bettors eyeing potential value. Additionally, many bettors are leaning towards the Over, suggesting expectations of a higher-scoring affair than the market anticipates.

Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET, and both teams will be motivated to steer their seasons back on track. While the Heat look to overcome the challenge of consecutive game nights, the Hornets aim to leverage home-court advantage in this crucial divisional contest.


Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 119.4 vs Charlotte Hornets 99.57

Get daily NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-4.5/-105
36% MIA
FanDuel
+4.5/-115
64% CHA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-176
81% MIA
Caesars
+148
19% CHA

Total Pick Consensus

218.5/-110
27% UN
FanDuel
218.5/-110
73% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CHA
65
Games
65
39.7
FG
40.9
86.8
FGA
88.0
.458
FG%
.464
13.8
3Pt-FG
13.7
38.4
3Pt-FGA
39.5
.361
3Pt%
.347
25.9
2Pt-FG
27.2
48.4
2Pt-FGA
48.5
.535
2Pt%
.560
16.6
FT
17.5
20.9
FTA
22.2
.792
FT%
.789
9.5
ORB
11.1
34.0
DRB
34.1
43.5
TRB
45.1
26.4
AST
26.7
7.9
STL
8.5
3.7
BLK
5.5
13.6
TOV
14.0
15.9
PF
18.5
109.9
PTS
113.0

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CHA
65
Games
65
41.3
FG
38.3
88.9
FGA
90.0
.464
FG%
.425
13.7
3Pt-FG
13.2
38.5
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.357
3Pt%
.336
27.6
2Pt-FG
25.1
50.4
2Pt-FGA
50.7
.546
2Pt%
.494
14.3
FT
15.7
18.3
FTA
20.0
.782
FT%
.782
10.8
ORB
12.8
34.3
DRB
32.9
45.1
TRB
45.7
26.9
AST
24.0
7.4
STL
7.9
4.7
BLK
4.6
13.5
TOV
15.4
17.3
PF
19.3
110.6
PTS
105.4

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
CHA
.538
eFG%
.542
12.4
TOV%
12.5
21.7
RB%
74.8
.191
FT/FGA
.199

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
CHA
.541
eFG%
.499
12.2
TOV%
13.5
75.9
RB%
27.3
.161
FT/FGA
.174

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CHA
65
Games
65
40.7
FG
41.6
88.8
FGA
89.6
.458
FG%
.464
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.9
39.3
3Pt-FGA
40.2
.361
3Pt%
.347
26.5
2Pt-FG
27.7
49.6
2Pt-FGA
49.4
.535
2Pt%
.560
17.0
FT
17.9
21.4
FTA
22.6
.792
FT%
.789
9.8
ORB
11.3
34.8
DRB
34.7
44.5
TRB
45.9
27.0
AST
27.1
8.1
STL
8.7
3.8
BLK
5.6
13.9
TOV
14.2
16.2
PF
18.9
112.5
PTS
115.0

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CHA
65
Games
65
42.3
FG
39.0
91.1
FGA
91.6
.464
FG%
.425
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.4
39.4
3Pt-FGA
40.0
.357
3Pt%
.336
28.2
2Pt-FG
25.5
51.7
2Pt-FGA
51.7
.546
2Pt%
.494
14.6
FT
15.9
18.7
FTA
20.4
.782
FT%
.782
11.0
ORB
13.0
35.2
DRB
33.5
46.2
TRB
46.5
27.5
AST
24.4
7.6
STL
8.0
4.8
BLK
4.7
13.9
TOV
15.7
17.7
PF
19.6
113.2
PTS
107.3

MIA
Analytics
CHA
31
Pythag Wins
18
34
Pythag Losses
47
-0.72
Margin Of Victory
-7.54
112.5
O Rtg
107.3
113.2
D Rtg
115.0
96.3
Pace
97.7
.241
FTr
.222
.442
3PAr
.436
.572
TS%
.534

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA CHA
MIA CHA
Consensus
-2.5 (-107)
+2.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-107)
+4.5 (-111)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
-3.0 (-105)
+3.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
-2.0 (-108)
+2.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-112)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
-3.0 (-109)
+3.0 (-106)
-4.0 (-109)
+4.0 (-112)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
MIA CHA
MIA CHA
Consensus
-158
+130
-176
+148
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
-155
+130
-185
+154
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
-134
+114
-178
+150
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
-155
+130
-175
+145
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
-165
+140
-170
+143
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
-150
+125
-185
+150
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
218.5 (-113)
218.5 (-108)
218.5 (-109)
218.5 (-111)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
220.0 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
217.0 (-112)
217.0 (-109)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
218.0 (-105)
218.0 (-115)
217.5 (-105)
217.5 (-115)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
MIA
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
CHA
2-1-0
Win/Loss/Tie
1-2-0
2-1-0
ATS W/L/P
2-1-0
110.67
Avg Score
108.67
104.33
Avg Opp Score
113.67
3-2-0
Win/Loss/Tie
1-4-0
3-2-0
ATS W/L/P
3-2-0
113.2
Avg Score
111
108.6
Avg Opp Score
117
4-6-0
Win/Loss/Tie
4-6-0
5-5-0
ATS W/L/P
7-3-0
112.6
Avg Score
107.5
112.1
Avg Opp Score
111
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
10/26/24
MIA
223.5
-231
23
CHA
5.5
+193
23
01/14/24
CHA
225.5
+299
16
MIA
-8.5
-386
26
12/13/23
CHA
222.5
+270
23
MIA
-8.0
-336
22
12/11/23
MIA
221.0
-179
29
CHA
4.0
+146
24
11/14/23
MIA
222.0
-235
24
CHA
6.0
+191
32
02/25/23
MIA
229.0
-248
16
CHA
6.5
+204
29
01/29/23
MIA
223.5
-225
28
CHA
6.0
+185
26
11/12/22
CHA
214.5
+271
33
MIA
-8.0
-340
34
11/10/22
CHA
212.5
+418
27
MIA
-11.0
-563
32
04/05/22
CHA
225.0
+153
32
MIA
-4.5
-186
29

Miami Heat

03/12/25
LAC
295.9
+155
43
MIA
-2.9
-182
29
03/10/25
CHA
296.4
+433
29
MIA
-12.3
-553
46
03/08/25
CHI
209.3
+155
22
MIA
-5.1
-185
33
03/07/25
MIN
104.9
-76
16
MIA
0.8
+65
12
03/05/25
MIA
120.3
+321
18
CLE
-7.4
-481
20
03/03/25
WAS
75.1
+98
3
MIA
-2.9
-122
11
02/28/25
IND
294.6
-199
46
MIA
5.2
+167
38
02/26/25
ATL
225.4
+123
27
MIA
-2.9
-146
28
02/24/25
MIA
211.8
+102
20
ATL
-1.8
-121
21
02/23/25
MIA
88.4
+60
15
MIL
-1.8
-72
4

Charlotte Hornets

03/12/25
CHA
345.4
+351
42
ATL
-10.7
-431
43
03/10/25
CHA
296.4
+433
29
MIA
-12.3
-553
46
03/08/25
BKN
196.3
-203
26
CHA
4.7
+170
24
03/07/25
CLE
113.0
-685
13
CHA
3.7
+402
13
03/05/25
MIN
124.1
-209
21
CHA
2.7
+165
15
03/03/25
GS
79.4
-252
3
CHA
1.5
+180
3
03/01/25
WAS
92.9
+59
4
CHA
-1.7
-70
10
02/27/25
CHA
58.3
+113
2
DAL
-2.8
-148
2
02/25/25
CHA
369.3
+1482
31
GS
-29.7
-2622
48
02/24/25
CHA
213.7
+380
21
SAC
-10.1
-504
31

Related Articles