Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Nov 27, 2024

Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte Hornets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets Pick & Prediction – 11/27/2024

  • Date: November 27, 2024
  • Venue: Spectrum Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat -4 (-110), Charlotte Hornets 4 (-110)
Over/Under:217.5
Moneyline:Miami Heat -170, Charlotte Hornets 145


Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 61%Miami Heat - 93%
Charlotte Hornets - 39%Charlotte Hornets - 7%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Betting Preview

The Miami Heat, coming off a narrow defeat to the Milwaukee Bucks, head to Spectrum Center on Wednesday to face off against the struggling Charlotte Hornets. With both teams eyeing a rebound, the Heat, standing at 7-8, are slight favorites against the 6-11 Hornets, despite Miami facing the disadvantage of a back-to-back scenario.

The divisional rivalry between these two teams adds an extra layer of intrigue to the matchup. Both clubs have stumbled in recent outings, with Miami dropping 6 of their last 10 and Charlotte losing 10 of their last 15. The Heat are favored by 4 points, and the betting lines reflect a 61% implied win probability for Miami and 39% for Charlotte. The Heat are listed at -170 on the moneyline, while the Hornets sit at +150.

Miami's recent form may not inspire immediate confidence, but their status as road favorites indicates the market's faith in them bouncing back. For the Hornets, who recently fell to the Orlando Magic 95-84, this game presents a chance to capitalize on Miami's fatigue.

Among betting markets, Tyler Herro's performance in Points and Rebounds has attracted significant attention. Currently listed at Over/Under 28.5 (-110), this prop is generating interest among sharp bettors eyeing potential value. Additionally, many bettors are leaning towards the Over, suggesting expectations of a higher-scoring affair than the market anticipates.

Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET, and both teams will be motivated to steer their seasons back on track. While the Heat look to overcome the challenge of consecutive game nights, the Hornets aim to leverage home-court advantage in this crucial divisional contest.


Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 119.4 vs Charlotte Hornets 99.57

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-3.5/-108
80% MIA
+3.5/-112
20% CHA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-166
83% MIA
+140
17% CHA

Total Pick Consensus

218.0/-112
10% UN
218.0/-108
90% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CHA
15
Games
17
39.5
FG
41.2
89.1
FGA
88.1
.443
FG%
.468
14.6
3Pt-FG
13.6
38.7
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.378
3Pt%
.355
24.9
2Pt-FG
27.6
50.4
2Pt-FGA
49.8
.493
2Pt%
.555
17.7
FT
17.9
23.1
FTA
23.5
.766
FT%
.764
10.5
ORB
10.4
33.0
DRB
32.6
43.5
TRB
43.1
25.4
AST
26.3
9.4
STL
7.9
3.8
BLK
5.5
12.3
TOV
13.4
16.9
PF
19.8
111.2
PTS
114.0

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CHA
15
Games
17
40.7
FG
39.1
87.8
FGA
90.5
.463
FG%
.431
13.9
3Pt-FG
16.1
38.4
3Pt-FGA
44.0
.363
3Pt%
.366
26.7
2Pt-FG
22.9
49.4
2Pt-FGA
46.5
.541
2Pt%
.493
15.1
FT
14.8
18.6
FTA
18.7
.810
FT%
.792
11.3
ORB
12.9
35.1
DRB
33.5
46.4
TRB
46.4
26.2
AST
22.8
7.1
STL
7.6
5.7
BLK
5.1
15.6
TOV
16.5
19.1
PF
21.4
110.3
PTS
109.1

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
CHA
.525
eFG%
.545
11.0
TOV%
12.0
23.0
RB%
76.3
.198
FT/FGA
.204

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
CHA
.543
eFG%
.520
14.0
TOV%
14.3
74.5
RB%
28.3
.172
FT/FGA
.164

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CHA
15
Games
17
40.2
FG
41.7
90.7
FGA
89.0
.443
FG%
.468
14.9
3Pt-FG
13.7
39.4
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.378
3Pt%
.355
25.3
2Pt-FG
27.9
51.3
2Pt-FGA
50.3
.493
2Pt%
.555
18.0
FT
18.1
23.5
FTA
23.7
.766
FT%
.764
10.7
ORB
10.5
33.6
DRB
33.0
44.3
TRB
43.5
25.9
AST
26.6
9.6
STL
8.0
3.9
BLK
5.5
12.5
TOV
13.6
17.2
PF
20.0
113.2
PTS
115.2

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CHA
15
Games
17
41.4
FG
39.5
89.4
FGA
91.5
.463
FG%
.431
14.2
3Pt-FG
16.3
39.1
3Pt-FGA
44.5
.363
3Pt%
.366
27.2
2Pt-FG
23.2
50.3
2Pt-FGA
47.0
.541
2Pt%
.493
15.3
FT
15.0
18.9
FTA
18.9
.810
FT%
.792
11.5
ORB
13.0
35.8
DRB
33.8
47.3
TRB
46.8
26.7
AST
23.1
7.3
STL
7.7
5.8
BLK
5.1
15.9
TOV
16.6
19.5
PF
21.6
112.4
PTS
110.2

MIA
Analytics
CHA
8
Pythag Wins
6
7
Pythag Losses
11
0.87
Margin Of Victory
-4.94
113.2
O Rtg
110.2
112.4
D Rtg
115.2
96.8
Pace
97.8
.259
FTr
.207
.434
3PAr
.486
.560
TS%
.552

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA CHA
MIA CHA
Consensus
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-109)
-3.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-112)
-2.0 (-112)
+2.0 (-110)
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-106)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA CHA
MIA CHA
Consensus
-158
+130
-163
+137
-155
+130
-166
+140
-134
+114
-164
+138
-155
+130
-162
+135
-165
+140
-170
+143
-150
+125
-165
+135
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
218.5 (-113)
218.5 (-108)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-112)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
218.0 (-108)
218.0 (-112)
220.0 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
217.0 (-112)
217.0 (-109)
217.5 (-109)
217.5 (-112)
218.0 (-105)
218.0 (-115)
217.5 (-105)
217.5 (-115)
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)