Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis Grizzlies

Mar 7, 2025

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction – 3/7/2025


On March 7, 2025, the Memphis Grizzlies (38-24) will face off against the Dallas Mavericks (32-31) in a highly anticipated matchup at the American Airlines Center. This game not only features two divisional rivals but also carries significant weight as both teams are looking to break out of their recent slumps. The Grizzlies have dropped four consecutive games, while the Mavericks are on a three-game losing streak, making this contest crucial for both squads.

Memphis enters as a massive favorite, with a spread of Grizzlies -10.5 and an implied win probability of 81%. The odds reflect confidence in Memphis, despite their recent struggles, with a moneyline of -520. In contrast, Dallas sits at +410, indicating a 19% chance of victory. The Grizzlies' last outing saw them fall to the Oklahoma City Thunder 120-103, while the Mavericks were defeated by the Milwaukee Bucks 137-107.

For bettors, Ja Morant's Points and Rebounds prop market is generating buzz, as it has become the most popular betting option for this matchup. Additionally, sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under, believing the current price of Under 29.5 Points and Rebounds (-105) represents value.

With both teams desperate for a win, fans can expect an intense game filled with motivation and rivalry. The stakes are high for the Grizzlies and Mavericks as they look to turn their fortunes around and secure a crucial victory in the playoff race.


Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Memphis Grizzlies 122.45 vs Dallas Mavericks 105.78


Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Grizzlies81%91%
Mavericks19%9%

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-9.5/-112
68% MEM
+9.5/-108
32% DAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-461
89% MEM
+358
11% DAL

Total Pick Consensus

238.5/-108
46% UN
238.5/-112
54% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MEM
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
72
Games
73
45.0
FG
43.0
93.6
FGA
91.6
.481
FG%
.470
13.8
3Pt-FG
12.8
37.5
3Pt-FGA
35.3
.367
3Pt%
.363
31.3
2Pt-FG
30.2
56.1
2Pt-FGA
56.2
.557
2Pt%
.537
18.6
FT
16.5
23.6
FTA
21.2
.785
FT%
.779
13.2
ORB
12.1
34.3
DRB
33.2
47.5
TRB
45.3
28.8
AST
27.2
8.9
STL
8.0
5.8
BLK
4.7
15.8
TOV
13.4
21.0
PF
18.7
122.4
PTS
115.4

Defense/Offense

MEM
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
72
Games
73
42.0
FG
42.2
91.9
FGA
88.3
.457
FG%
.478
14.2
3Pt-FG
12.8
39.3
3Pt-FGA
34.9
.361
3Pt%
.367
27.8
2Pt-FG
29.4
52.6
2Pt-FGA
53.3
.528
2Pt%
.552
18.6
FT
17.8
24.5
FTA
22.9
.760
FT%
.777
11.7
ORB
10.3
31.6
DRB
32.8
43.3
TRB
43.1
27.1
AST
25.3
8.8
STL
7.9
5.7
BLK
5.5
15.5
TOV
13.9
20.4
PF
18.0
116.8
PTS
115.1

Offense/Defense

MEM
Four Factors
DAL
.555
eFG%
.540
13.2
TOV%
11.7
29.5
RB%
73.0
.198
FT/FGA
.180

Defense/Offense

MEM
Four Factors
DAL
.534
eFG%
.551
13.1
TOV%
12.4
74.5
RB%
23.7
.203
FT/FGA
.202

Offense/Defense

MEM
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
72
Games
73
43.5
FG
43.2
90.4
FGA
92.0
.481
FG%
.470
13.3
3Pt-FG
12.9
36.2
3Pt-FGA
35.5
.367
3Pt%
.363
30.2
2Pt-FG
30.3
54.2
2Pt-FGA
56.5
.557
2Pt%
.537
17.9
FT
16.6
22.8
FTA
21.3
.785
FT%
.779
12.8
ORB
12.2
33.1
DRB
33.3
45.8
TRB
45.5
27.9
AST
27.3
8.6
STL
8.0
5.6
BLK
4.7
15.3
TOV
13.4
20.3
PF
18.7
118.2
PTS
116.0

Defense/Offense

MEM
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
72
Games
73
40.5
FG
42.4
88.8
FGA
88.7
.457
FG%
.478
13.7
3Pt-FG
12.9
37.9
3Pt-FGA
35.1
.361
3Pt%
.367
26.8
2Pt-FG
29.6
50.8
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.528
2Pt%
.552
18.0
FT
17.9
23.7
FTA
23.1
.760
FT%
.777
11.3
ORB
10.4
30.5
DRB
33.0
41.8
TRB
43.3
26.1
AST
25.4
8.5
STL
7.9
5.5
BLK
5.5
14.9
TOV
13.9
19.7
PF
18.1
112.7
PTS
115.6

MEM
Analytics
DAL
47
Pythag Wins
36
25
Pythag Losses
37
5.64
Margin Of Victory
-0.33
118.2
O Rtg
115.6
112.7
D Rtg
116.0
103.4
Pace
99.2
.253
FTr
.260
.401
3PAr
.396
.588
TS%
.585

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MEM DAL
MEM DAL
Consensus
-8.5 (-112)
+8.5 (-110)
-10.0 (-112)
+10.0 (-108)
-8.5 (-112)
+8.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-112)
+9.5 (-108)
-8.5 (-112)
+8.5 (-110)
-10.0 (-112)
+10.0 (-108)
-10.5 (-114)
+10.5 (-114)
-10.0 (-114)
+10.0 (-107)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-115)
+10.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-115)
+9.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MEM DAL
MEM DAL
Consensus
-372
+295
-461
+358
-375
+295
-470
+360
-350
+280
-460
+360
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-111)
237.5 (-110)
237.5 (-110)
238.5 (-112)
238.5 (-108)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-112)
238.5 (-108)
239.0 (-113)
239.0 (-108)
238.5 (-109)
238.5 (-112)
238.0 (-115)
238.0 (-105)
238.0 (-110)
238.0 (-110)
237.5 (-115)
237.5 (-105)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)

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