Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers

May 4, 2025

Cleveland Cavaliers

Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers Game 1 Pick – 5/4/2025

The Eastern Conference Semifinals tip off tonight as the Cleveland Cavaliers host the Indiana Pacers in Game 1 at Rocket Arena. Both teams enter the series with momentum, but questions surrounding player availability and contrasting styles set the stage for a compelling opener.

Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Game 1 Preview

The Cavaliers secured their spot in the second round after a sweep of the Miami Heat in the opening round of the postseason. Cleveland dominated the Heat throughout that series, including in Miami, where the Cavs blew out the Heat in Games 3 and 4 to advance to the next round. The question will be whether the Cavs can sustain that high level of play against a tougher opponent in the Pacers to open this series.

Indiana advanced by defeating the Milwaukee Bucks in six games. Tyrese Haliburton's playmaking has been pivotal, but the Pacers offense is solid everywhere, with players like Andrew Nembhard and Pascal Siakam also able to shoulder the offensive load. The question for Indiana in this series will be their defense and whether it can hold up against the dangerous offense and depth of the Cavs.

Key matchups to watch include the battle in the paint between Cleveland's Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley against Indiana's Myles Turner. Additionally, the perimeter duel between Mitchell and the Pacers' backcourt will be crucial in determining the game's tempo.

Betting Insights

  • Spread: Cavaliers -8
  • Total Points: 229.5
  • Moneyline: Cavaliers -350, Pacers +275

Cleveland boasts a formidable home record, making them favorites in this matchup. However, Indiana's recent form and depth could make them a value pick against the spread. The total points line suggests expectations of a high-scoring affair, but Cleveland's defensive prowess might keep the score lower than anticipated.

Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Game 1 Prediction

Considering the Cavs' home-court advantage and Cleveland's defensive capabilities, the Cavaliers are positioned to take Game 1. Mitchell's scoring ability, combined with the team's interior strength, gives them an edge. However, Indiana's resilience and bench depth should not be underestimated.

  1. Pick: Cavaliers to win and cover the spread (-8)
  2. Total Points: Under 229.5

Expect Cleveland to control the pace and capitalize on their home-court advantage, securing a win in the series opener.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+8.0/-112
42% IND
-8.0/-108
58% CLE

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+260
12% IND
-325
88% CLE

Total Pick Consensus

229.5/-110
13% UN
229.5/-110
87% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

IND
Team Stats Per Game
CLE
82
Games
82
43.6
FG
41.2
89.3
FGA
90.9
.488
FG%
.454
13.2
3Pt-FG
13.5
35.8
3Pt-FGA
37.5
.368
3Pt%
.359
30.4
2Pt-FG
27.8
53.6
2Pt-FGA
53.4
.568
2Pt%
.520
17.0
FT
16.5
21.6
FTA
21.1
.789
FT%
.779
9.2
ORB
11.5
32.7
DRB
32.0
41.8
TRB
43.5
29.2
AST
25.6
8.5
STL
7.8
5.5
BLK
4.4
13.2
TOV
14.5
18.7
PF
18.9
117.4
PTS
112.4

Defense/Offense

IND
Team Stats Per Game
CLE
82
Games
82
42.6
FG
44.5
89.9
FGA
90.8
.474
FG%
.491
12.9
3Pt-FG
15.9
36.3
3Pt-FGA
41.5
.355
3Pt%
.383
29.7
2Pt-FG
28.6
53.6
2Pt-FGA
49.3
.554
2Pt%
.581
17.0
FT
17.0
22.0
FTA
21.9
.773
FT%
.776
11.2
ORB
11.2
33.8
DRB
34.2
45.0
TRB
45.4
26.0
AST
28.1
7.2
STL
8.2
4.5
BLK
4.3
15.0
TOV
13.2
18.8
PF
18.1
115.1
PTS
121.9

Offense/Defense

IND
Four Factors
CLE
.562
eFG%
.528
11.8
TOV%
12.6
21.3
RB%
74.8
.190
FT/FGA
.181

Defense/Offense

IND
Four Factors
CLE
.546
eFG%
.578
13.1
TOV%
11.6
74.5
RB%
25.9
.190
FT/FGA
.187

Offense/Defense

IND
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CLE
82
Games
82
43.3
FG
41.2
88.7
FGA
90.7
.488
FG%
.454
13.1
3Pt-FG
13.4
35.5
3Pt-FGA
37.4
.368
3Pt%
.359
30.2
2Pt-FG
27.7
53.2
2Pt-FGA
53.3
.568
2Pt%
.520
16.9
FT
16.4
21.4
FTA
21.1
.789
FT%
.779
9.1
ORB
11.5
32.4
DRB
31.9
41.5
TRB
43.5
29.0
AST
25.6
8.4
STL
7.8
5.4
BLK
4.4
13.1
TOV
14.5
18.6
PF
18.9
116.5
PTS
112.2

Defense/Offense

IND
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CLE
82
Games
82
42.3
FG
44.5
89.2
FGA
90.6
.474
FG%
.491
12.8
3Pt-FG
15.9
36.0
3Pt-FGA
41.4
.355
3Pt%
.383
29.5
2Pt-FG
28.6
53.2
2Pt-FGA
49.2
.554
2Pt%
.581
16.9
FT
16.9
21.9
FTA
21.8
.773
FT%
.776
11.1
ORB
11.2
33.6
DRB
34.2
44.7
TRB
45.3
25.8
AST
28.0
7.1
STL
8.2
4.4
BLK
4.3
14.9
TOV
13.2
18.7
PF
18.1
114.3
PTS
121.7

IND
Analytics
CLE
46
Pythag Wins
62
36
Pythag Losses
20
2.23
Margin Of Victory
9.54
116.5
O Rtg
121.7
114.3
D Rtg
112.2
99.9
Pace
99.8
.241
FTr
.241
.400
3PAr
.457
.594
TS%
.607

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
IND CLE
IND CLE
Consensus
+8.0 (-109)
-8.0 (-111)
+8.0 (-109)
-8.0 (-111)
+8.5 (-112)
-8.5 (-108)
+8.0 (-112)
-8.0 (-108)
+8.0 (-110)
-8.0 (-108)
+8.0 (-110)
-8.0 (-110)
+8.0 (-108)
-8.0 (-112)
+8.0 (-108)
-8.0 (-113)
+8.0 (-110)
-8.0 (-105)
+8.0 (-110)
-8.0 (-110)
+8.5 (-105)
-8.5 (-105)
+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
IND CLE
IND CLE
Consensus
+268
-335
+275
-343
+275
-345
+260
-325
+275
-340
+285
-355
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-111)
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.0 (-112)
229.0 (-108)
229.0 (-112)
229.0 (-108)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-109)
229.5 (-112)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)

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