Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets

Mar 3, 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction – 3/3/2025


On March 3, 2025, the Houston Rockets will face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder at 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center. This matchup features two teams on opposite ends of the performance spectrum, with the Thunder boasting a record of 49-12, while the Rockets sit at 37-23.

Oklahoma City enters this game as a significant favorite, currently favored by 10 points, reflecting their strong form of late. The Thunder have won 40 of their last 50 games, showcasing their dominance this season. However, they will face a challenge as this game marks a back-to-back performance after a high-scoring victory against the San Antonio Spurs, where they triumphed 146-132. The quick turnaround could hinder their energy levels, potentially impacting their performance.

In contrast, the Houston Rockets are struggling, having lost six consecutive road games. Their most recent outing resulted in a 113-103 loss to the Sacramento Kings. The Rockets' recent form away from home does not inspire confidence, and they will need to find a way to break their slump if they hope to compete.

From a betting perspective, the Rockets have an implied win probability of 19%, while the Thunder's stands at 81%. The Moneyline reflects this disparity, with the Thunder at -500 and the Rockets at +400. Sharp bettors are focusing on Cason Wallace's Points prop, which has gained traction, indicating a potential player to watch as the game unfolds.


Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Houston Rockets 111.45 vs Oklahoma City Thunder 125.75


Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Rockets19%10%
Thunder81%90%

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+14.0/-108
51% HOU
-14.0/-112
49% OKC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+641
10% HOU
-967
90% OKC

Total Pick Consensus

228.5/-112
15% UN
228.5/-108
85% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
82
Games
82
42.5
FG
37.9
93.4
FGA
87.0
.455
FG%
.436
12.7
3Pt-FG
13.5
35.8
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.353
3Pt%
.342
29.8
2Pt-FG
24.5
57.6
2Pt-FGA
47.6
.518
2Pt%
.513
16.7
FT
18.3
22.6
FTA
23.7
.738
FT%
.774
14.6
ORB
11.6
33.8
DRB
33.3
48.5
TRB
44.9
23.3
AST
24.6
8.4
STL
6.7
5.0
BLK
4.8
13.9
TOV
17.0
19.0
PF
18.1
114.3
PTS
107.6

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
44.6
88.3
FGA
92.7
.459
FG%
.482
12.3
3Pt-FG
14.5
34.5
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.357
3Pt%
.374
28.2
2Pt-FG
30.1
53.8
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.524
2Pt%
.559
16.4
FT
16.7
21.7
FTA
20.4
.759
FT%
.819
10.6
ORB
10.6
31.6
DRB
34.2
42.1
TRB
44.8
23.5
AST
26.9
7.9
STL
10.3
5.7
BLK
5.7
14.3
TOV
11.7
19.2
PF
19.9
109.8
PTS
120.5

Offense/Defense

HOU
Four Factors
OKC
.523
eFG%
.513
11.8
TOV%
14.9
31.7
RB%
74.6
.178
FT/FGA
.211

Defense/Offense

HOU
Four Factors
OKC
.528
eFG%
.560
12.8
TOV%
10.3
76.2
RB%
24.2
.186
FT/FGA
.180

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
82
Games
82
42.9
FG
37.9
94.2
FGA
86.8
.455
FG%
.436
12.8
3Pt-FG
13.4
36.2
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.353
3Pt%
.342
30.1
2Pt-FG
24.4
58.1
2Pt-FGA
47.6
.518
2Pt%
.513
16.8
FT
18.3
22.8
FTA
23.7
.738
FT%
.774
14.8
ORB
11.6
34.1
DRB
33.2
48.9
TRB
44.8
23.6
AST
24.6
8.5
STL
6.7
5.1
BLK
4.8
14.0
TOV
17.0
19.2
PF
18.1
115.3
PTS
107.5

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
82
Games
82
40.9
FG
44.6
89.1
FGA
92.6
.459
FG%
.482
12.4
3Pt-FG
14.5
34.9
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.357
3Pt%
.374
28.4
2Pt-FG
30.1
54.3
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.524
2Pt%
.559
16.6
FT
16.7
21.9
FTA
20.4
.759
FT%
.819
10.7
ORB
10.6
31.9
DRB
34.1
42.5
TRB
44.7
23.7
AST
26.8
8.0
STL
10.3
5.7
BLK
5.7
14.5
TOV
11.7
19.4
PF
19.9
110.8
PTS
120.3

HOU
Analytics
OKC
52
Pythag Wins
68
30
Pythag Losses
14
4.51
Margin Of Victory
12.87
115.3
O Rtg
120.3
110.8
D Rtg
107.5
98.6
Pace
100.0
.242
FTr
.220
.384
3PAr
.419
.553
TS%
.593

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
HOU OKC
HOU OKC
Consensus
+11.0 (-111)
-11.0 (-110)
+14.0 (-111)
-14.0 (-110)
+11.0 (-108)
-11.0 (-110)
+14.0 (-108)
-14.0 (-112)
+12.0 (-110)
-12.0 (-110)
+14.0 (-110)
-14.0 (-110)
+12.0 (-113)
-12.0 (-107)
+14.0 (-113)
-14.0 (-108)
+11.5 (-105)
-11.5 (-110)
+14.0 (-105)
-14.0 (-115)
+11.5 (-105)
-11.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-105)
-13.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
HOU OKC
HOU OKC
Consensus
+450
-627
+641
-967
+455
-625
+675
-1050
+450
-600
+700
-1100
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
228.5 (-113)
228.5 (-109)
220.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)
229.0 (-108)
229.0 (-112)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
229.0 (-112)
229.0 (-108)
222.0 (-113)
222.0 (-108)
228.5 (-112)
228.5 (-109)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
229.0 (-105)
229.0 (-115)
221.5 (-115)
221.5 (-105)
228.5 (-115)
228.5 (-105)

Related Articles