Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets

Mar 21, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Pick – 3/21/2025


On March 21, 2025, the Houston Rockets (45-25) will face off against the Miami Heat (29-40) in a highly anticipated matchup at Kaseya Center, scheduled to tip off at 8:00 PM ET. The Rockets enter the game as a favorite, boasting an impressive eight-game winning streak, while the Heat are struggling, having dropped nine consecutive contests.

Current betting lines reflect Houston's strength, with a spread of Rockets -5.5. The Rockets' moneyline stands at -205, implying a 65% probability of victory, while the Heat’s moneyline is +180, giving them a 35% chance to win. This stark contrast in form and momentum gives bettors plenty to consider heading into game day.

Recent performances highlight the contrasting trajectories of both teams. In their latest outing, the Rockets defeated the Orlando Magic 116-108, demonstrating offensive depth and resilience. Conversely, the Heat narrowly lost to the Detroit Pistons, falling 116-113, and will be looking to reverse their fortunes in front of their home crowd.

For those interested in player prop betting, Jalen Green's Points and Rebounds have emerged as the most popular market for this matchup. Many sharp bettors seem to be leaning towards the Under, particularly at the current price of Under 26.5 Points and Rebounds (-115), suggesting they believe this line may be mispriced.

With the Rockets riding high and the Heat fighting to snap their losing streak, this game promises to provide excitement as both teams look to assert their presence in the playoff race.


Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Houston Rockets 111.49 vs Miami Heat 106.02


Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Rockets65%66%
Heat35%34%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-4.5/-108
60% HOU
+4.5/-112
40% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-184
76% HOU
+155
24% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

212.5/-110
11% UN
212.5/-110
89% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Offense/Defense

HOU
Four Factors
MIA
eFG%
TOV%
RB%
FT/FGA

Defense/Offense

HOU
Four Factors
MIA
eFG%
TOV%
RB%
FT/FGA

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

HOU
Analytics
MIA
Pythag Wins
Pythag Losses
Margin Of Victory
O Rtg
D Rtg
Pace
FTr
3PAr
TS%

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
HOU MIA
HOU MIA
Consensus
-5.0 (-109)
+5.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-109)
+4.5 (-109)
-4.0 (-108)
+4.0 (-108)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-112)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-112)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-5.0 (-107)
+5.0 (-109)
-5.0 (-107)
+5.0 (-114)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
HOU MIA
HOU MIA
Consensus
-200
+165
-184
+155
-198
+164
-180
+150
-194
+162
-186
+156
-190
+155
-180
+150
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
212.5 (-111)
212.5 (-109)
214.5 (-108)
214.5 (-112)
212.0 (-110)
212.0 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
213.5 (-108)
213.5 (-113)
212.5 (-113)
212.5 (-108)
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
212.5 (-105)
212.5 (-115)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)

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Home NBA Picks Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Pick – 3/21/2025