Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets

May 2, 2025

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 6 Pick – 5/2/2025

Game 6 of the 2025 NBA Playoffs between the Houston Rockets and the Golden State Warriors is set for Friday, May 2, 2025, at 9:00 PM EDT at Chase Center in San Francisco. The Warriors lead the series 3-2 and aim to close it out at home, while the Rockets look to force a Game 7 back in Houston.

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 6 Preview

The Rockets, seeded second in the Western Conference, have shown resilience throughout the series. In Game 5, they secured a convincing 131-116 victory to keep their season alive, with Fred VanVleet scoring 26 points and Amen Thompson contributing 25 points, 5 steals, and 3 blocks. Their defensive adjustments, particularly the use of a zone defense, disrupted the Warriors' offensive flow.

Alperen Şengün has been a consistent performer for Houston, averaging 20.8 points, 11.0 rebounds, and 5.2 assists per game in this series. Jalen Green, despite dealing with a knee issue, has had standout moments, including a 38-point performance in Game 2, where he tied a franchise playoff record with eight three-pointers.

The Warriors, holding the seventh seed, have relied on their playoff experience. Stephen Curry leads the team with 23.4 points per game, while Jimmy Butler adds 17.6 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 4.9 assists. In Game 4, Butler scored 27 points, including 14 in the fourth quarter, to lead a comeback victory.

Betting Insights

  • Point Spread: Warriors -5.5
  • Over/Under: 204.5 points
  • Moneyline: Warriors -225, Rockets +190

Betting trends indicate interest in player prop markets, particularly regarding Draymond Green's Points, Rebounds, and Assists. This prop has garnered attention, with the total opening at Under 20.5 before moving to 19.5, suggesting that sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under in this scenario.

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 6 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Houston Rockets 102.45, Golden State Warriors 107.55

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 6 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Rockets33%36%
Warriors67%64%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+5.0/-108
0% HOU
-5.0/-112
0% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+180
0% HOU
-218
0% GS

Total Pick Consensus

205.0/-110
0% UN
205.0/-110
0% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
GS
82
Games
82
42.5
FG
40.4
93.4
FGA
86.9
.455
FG%
.465
12.7
3Pt-FG
13.2
35.8
3Pt-FGA
36.3
.353
3Pt%
.363
29.8
2Pt-FG
27.3
57.6
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.518
2Pt%
.539
16.7
FT
16.4
22.6
FTA
21.4
.738
FT%
.769
14.6
ORB
10.6
33.8
DRB
33.5
48.5
TRB
44.1
23.3
AST
25.9
8.4
STL
7.6
5.0
BLK
5.4
13.9
TOV
15.7
19.0
PF
18.6
114.3
PTS
110.5

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
GS
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
40.8
88.3
FGA
90.4
.459
FG%
.451
12.3
3Pt-FG
15.4
34.5
3Pt-FGA
42.4
.357
3Pt%
.364
28.2
2Pt-FG
25.3
53.8
2Pt-FGA
48.0
.524
2Pt%
.528
16.4
FT
16.9
21.7
FTA
22.1
.759
FT%
.764
10.6
ORB
12.5
31.6
DRB
32.8
42.1
TRB
45.4
23.5
AST
29.1
7.9
STL
9.4
5.7
BLK
4.8
14.3
TOV
14.0
19.2
PF
19.2
109.8
PTS
113.8

Offense/Defense

HOU
Four Factors
GS
.523
eFG%
.541
11.8
TOV%
14.1
31.7
RB%
75.6
.178
FT/FGA
.189

Defense/Offense

HOU
Four Factors
GS
.528
eFG%
.536
12.8
TOV%
12.3
76.2
RB%
27.3
.186
FT/FGA
.187

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
82
Games
82
42.9
FG
40.9
94.2
FGA
87.8
.455
FG%
.465
12.8
3Pt-FG
13.3
36.2
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.353
3Pt%
.363
30.1
2Pt-FG
27.6
58.1
2Pt-FGA
51.2
.518
2Pt%
.539
16.8
FT
16.6
22.8
FTA
21.6
.738
FT%
.769
14.8
ORB
10.7
34.1
DRB
33.8
48.9
TRB
44.5
23.6
AST
26.1
8.5
STL
7.7
5.1
BLK
5.4
14.0
TOV
15.9
19.2
PF
18.8
115.3
PTS
111.7

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
82
Games
82
40.9
FG
41.2
89.1
FGA
91.4
.459
FG%
.451
12.4
3Pt-FG
15.6
34.9
3Pt-FGA
42.8
.357
3Pt%
.364
28.4
2Pt-FG
25.6
54.3
2Pt-FGA
48.5
.524
2Pt%
.528
16.6
FT
17.0
21.9
FTA
22.3
.759
FT%
.764
10.7
ORB
12.7
31.9
DRB
33.2
42.5
TRB
45.9
23.7
AST
29.4
8.0
STL
9.5
5.7
BLK
4.8
14.5
TOV
14.2
19.4
PF
19.4
110.8
PTS
115.0

HOU
Analytics
GS
52
Pythag Wins
49
30
Pythag Losses
33
4.51
Margin Of Victory
3.30
115.3
O Rtg
115.0
110.8
D Rtg
111.7
98.6
Pace
98.7
.242
FTr
.244
.384
3PAr
.469
.553
TS%
.568

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
HOU GS
HOU GS
Consensus
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-109)
+5.0 (-108)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-108)
-5.0 (-112)
+5.0 (-114)
-5.0 (-112)
+5.5 (-114)
-5.5 (-106)
+5.0 (-109)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-109)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
HOU GS
HOU GS
Consensus
+171
-207
+191
-228
+170
-205
+180
-218
+176
-210
+200
-245
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
204.5 (-109)
204.5 (-112)
204.5 (-109)
204.5 (-110)
204.0 (-110)
204.0 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
204.5 (-108)
204.5 (-112)
203.5 (-114)
203.5 (-106)
204.5 (-109)
204.5 (-112)
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
204.0 (-110)
204.0 (-110)
204.0 (-110)
204.0 (-110)
204.5 (-105)
204.5 (-115)
204.5 (-105)
204.5 (-115)

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