Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets

May 2, 2025

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 6 Pick – 5/2/2025

Game 6 of the 2025 NBA Playoffs between the Houston Rockets and the Golden State Warriors is set for Friday, May 2, 2025, at 9:00 PM EDT at Chase Center in San Francisco. The Warriors lead the series 3-2 and aim to close it out at home, while the Rockets look to force a Game 7 back in Houston.

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 6 Preview

The Rockets, seeded second in the Western Conference, have shown resilience throughout the series. In Game 5, they secured a convincing 131-116 victory to keep their season alive, with Fred VanVleet scoring 26 points and Amen Thompson contributing 25 points, 5 steals, and 3 blocks. Their defensive adjustments, particularly the use of a zone defense, disrupted the Warriors' offensive flow.

Alperen Şengün has been a consistent performer for Houston, averaging 20.8 points, 11.0 rebounds, and 5.2 assists per game in this series. Jalen Green, despite dealing with a knee issue, has had standout moments, including a 38-point performance in Game 2, where he tied a franchise playoff record with eight three-pointers.

The Warriors, holding the seventh seed, have relied on their playoff experience. Stephen Curry leads the team with 23.4 points per game, while Jimmy Butler adds 17.6 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 4.9 assists. In Game 4, Butler scored 27 points, including 14 in the fourth quarter, to lead a comeback victory.

Betting Insights

  • Point Spread: Warriors -5.5
  • Over/Under: 204.5 points
  • Moneyline: Warriors -225, Rockets +190

Betting trends indicate interest in player prop markets, particularly regarding Draymond Green's Points, Rebounds, and Assists. This prop has garnered attention, with the total opening at Under 20.5 before moving to 19.5, suggesting that sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under in this scenario.

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 6 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Houston Rockets 102.45, Golden State Warriors 107.55

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 6 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Rockets33%36%
Warriors67%64%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+5.5/-110
56% HOU
-5.5/-110
44% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+202
21% HOU
-243
79% GS

Total Pick Consensus

208.5/-110
5% UN
208.5/-110
95% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
GS
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
GS
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Offense/Defense

HOU
Four Factors
GS
eFG%
TOV%
RB%
FT/FGA

Defense/Offense

HOU
Four Factors
GS
eFG%
TOV%
RB%
FT/FGA

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

HOU
Analytics
GS
Pythag Wins
Pythag Losses
Margin Of Victory
O Rtg
D Rtg
Pace
FTr
3PAr
TS%

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
HOU GS
HOU GS
Consensus
+5.0 (-109)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-109)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-112)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.0 (-112)
-5.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-112)
-6.0 (-109)
+5.0 (-105)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
HOU GS
HOU GS
Consensus
+171
-207
+202
-243
+170
-205
+195
-238
+176
-210
+194
-235
+165
-200
+205
-250
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
204.5 (-109)
204.5 (-112)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-109)
204.0 (-110)
204.0 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
204.5 (-108)
204.5 (-112)
208.5 (-108)
208.5 (-112)
204.5 (-109)
204.5 (-112)
208.5 (-112)
208.5 (-108)
204.0 (-110)
204.0 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
204.5 (-105)
204.5 (-115)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)

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Home NBA Picks Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 6 Pick – 5/2/2025