Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets

Apr 28, 2025

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 4 Pick – 4/28/2025

The Houston Rockets face off against the Golden State Warriors in Game 4 in their first-round playoff series in the Western Conference on April 28, 2025, at 10:00 PM ET, taking place at Chase Center. With the Rockets boasting a 53-32 record and the Warriors at 51-35, both teams have shown strong performances recently, winning 30 of their last 50 and 33 of their last 50 games, respectively. Golden State has a 2-1 series lead heading into this contest.

Despite Houston's solid record, they come into this game at a disadvantage due to the long cross-country travel. This road trip could impact their performance, especially against a Warriors team that is slightly favored at home with a spread of -3.5. The Warriors have shown resilience, recently defeating the Rockets 104-93 in their last encounter, which adds an extra layer of motivation for both squads.

From a betting perspective, the Warriors have an implied win probability of 61%, while the Rockets sit at 39%. The Moneyline reflects this, with Golden State at -170 and Houston at +150. Bettors might find value in the player prop market, particularly with Jimmy Butler's Points and Assists, which has garnered significant attention. Initially set at Under 26.5 Points and Assists (-115), the prop total has since dropped to 25.5 (-115), indicating sharp action on the Under.

As the Rockets look to bounce back from their recent loss, they will need to overcome both the travel fatigue and the Warriors' home-court advantage. This matchup promises to be a thrilling contest with significant implications for both teams as they head toward the postseason.

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 4 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Houston Rockets 104.23, Golden State Warriors 107.41

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 4 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Rockets39%41%
Warriors61%59%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.5/-105
34% HOU
-3.5/-115
66% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+142
20% HOU
-168
80% GS

Total Pick Consensus

203.5/-110
53% UN
203.5/-110
47% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
GS
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
GS
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Offense/Defense

HOU
Four Factors
GS
eFG%
TOV%
RB%
FT/FGA

Defense/Offense

HOU
Four Factors
GS
eFG%
TOV%
RB%
FT/FGA

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
0
Games
0
FG
FGA
FG%
3Pt-FG
3Pt-FGA
3Pt%
2Pt-FG
2Pt-FGA
2Pt%
FT
FTA
FT%
ORB
DRB
TRB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
PF
PTS

HOU
Analytics
GS
Pythag Wins
Pythag Losses
Margin Of Victory
O Rtg
D Rtg
Pace
FTr
3PAr
TS%

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
HOU GS
HOU GS
Consensus
+4.0 (-106)
-4.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-106)
-3.5 (-112)
+4.0 (-105)
-4.0 (-112)
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-106)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-106)
-3.5 (-114)
+4.5 (-108)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-108)
-4.0 (-113)
+4.0 (-105)
-4.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
HOU GS
HOU GS
Consensus
+156
-188
+142
-168
+154
-185
+142
-170
+166
-198
+140
-166
+155
-195
+145
-175
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
202.0 (-110)
202.0 (-110)
203.5 (-111)
203.5 (-109)
202.0 (-110)
202.0 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
202.5 (-112)
202.5 (-108)
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
202.0 (-109)
202.0 (-112)
203.5 (-112)
203.5 (-109)
202.0 (-110)
202.0 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)

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Home NBA Picks Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 4 Pick – 4/28/2025